Follow

The Hawks are already an incredibly dangerous team at home. Now they get to play a full game against the Heat without Lowry? Don’t get me wrong, the Heat have the talent to win this game. However, they’re put in a tight spot without their starting point guard. The Heat played 10 games against teams that would make the playoffs without Lowry this season, they went 5-5. That includes a loss in Atlanta back in January. The key here is that Lowry is no longer guarding Young. In that one game that Lowry didn’t play against the Hawks this year, Young went for 28. I expect a similar out come today. I like the Hawks and the free bucket at home with Heat without Lowry.

Sure Duke beat Texas Tech but Tech's offense was anemic. I'm beating on the older more seasoned team here and thats Arkansas as Duke's starting 5 averages 19.7 years of age. Plus I think this Hogs offense can keep pace. This should be a great game that could go either way. I want the points in my pocket here.

***BREAKING*** GET YOUR AKRON 1st Half Bets in https://www.si.com/college/2022/03/12/mac-suspends-four-kent-state-mbb-players-for-conference-title-game

Wright State advanced with a Thursday win over Oakland, which was the Raiders’ third W in a row. WSU on the season went 15-7 and two of those seven losses were to Cleveland State. The Vikings are the No. 1 seed but haven't overwhelmed this year with only a 15-6 record. They defeated No. 10 Robert Morris in a Thursday quarterfinal after going 2-3 over their last five regular-season games.

So while Cleveland State has had WSU's number this season, it's Wright State that comes into this matchup as the hotter team. Give me the free point with the hotter team right now and that's Wright State.

The OVER 147 is worth a look - Cleveland State (75.9 points per game) and Wright State (75.4 PPG) are the two highest-scoring teams in the Horizon League, so expect fireworks.

Slight lean on Rams here as I think they are built to beat TB who is short handed at receiver and RB. Liking this total at 48 as I expect something of a shootout with more possessions than usual as both teams look to throw first. Two top shelf defenses but pace of game will be fast and we will see points here in what should be a back and forth affair.

Score Prediction: Rams 28 - TB 27

16.5 points?? Las Vegas you have lost your mind. The Jets played a great game against the Buccaneers last week. They’ll have another solid outing, but it won’t be enough to stop the Bills on their snowy home turf. Going to be freezing and wind blowing 20MPH so I also love the UNDERS here.

16.5 points?? Las Vegas you have lost your mind. The Jets played a great game against the Buccaneers last week. They’ll have another solid outing, but it won’t be enough to stop the Bills on their snowy home turf. Going to be freezing and wind blowing 20MPH so I also love the UNDERS here.

Regardless of OSU's opt outs, we can't forget that across the board there is a giant talent gap between the Buckeyes and the Utes and I am hoping that the youth of the Ohio State roster is able to take it up a notch today.

Cleveland Browns players out with COVID-19

OFFENSE (10)

Quarterbacks (two): Baker Mayfield*, Case Keenum

Running back (one): Kareem Hunt^

Line (three): tackles Jedrick Wills Jr.*, James Hudson III*; Drew Forbes (injured reserve)

Wide receivers (two): Jarvis Landry*, JoJo Natson (practice squad)

Tight ends (two): Austin Hooper*, Ross Travis (practice squad)

DEFENSE (12)

Line (three): ends Jadeveon Clowney*, Ifeadi Odenigbo; tackle Malik McDowell*

Linebackers (three): Jacob Phillips^, Mack Wilson Sr.^, Tony Fields II

Cornerbacks (two): Troy Hill*, A.J. Green

Safeties (four): John Johnson III*, Ronnie Harrison Jr.*, Grant Delpit^, Nate Meadors (practice squad)

SPECIALIST (one)

Punter (one): Jamie Gillan

Cordarrelle Patterson has been a nice weapon for the Falcons recently but tight end Kyle Pitts has been erased in recent weeks. Atlanta beat up on the lowly Jags last week, but prior to that they got blown out by 40 points against Dallas and blown out by 25 points against New England. The Bucs offense is terrifying with Rob Gronkowski back on the field and they love to run up the points.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers might not be rolling on all cylinders just yet, but they've 68 points in back-to-back wins. Double-digit spreads in favor of road teams in divisional matchups can be sketchy, but I'm leaning TB -11 here....buyer beware.

The Seahawks should find some success at home against a banged up Cardinals team with both Kyler Murray (ankle) and DeAndre Hopkins out for this game. The Seahawks are more talented than their record indicates. They've lost three games by a field goal or less, and Wilson, of course, missed multiple weeks. Not to mention the Hawks can still obtain a NFC wild-card spot but they've got to have this game. Give me the Hawks and the free 1.5 points here, but treading lightly.

The Raiders looked like a different team offensively last week against an average Chiefs defense. The Bengals might not be playing much better, but at least they've had the bye week to clear their heads. Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd should be difference-makers against a vulnerable pass defense. Got to take Cinci here even if more of a fade of a downward spiraling Raiders team.

The fact that the Cincinnati Bengals are laying 2.5 points at home against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday indicates that oddsmakers view these teams as equals. But Cinci has the better record and Cleveland is missing 2 starters to injury and obviously w/o OB3 here today. Picking the injured Browns on the road against a quality opponent is a bridge too far.

🔒 ***MNFL PROP LOCKS***

🏈 Daniel Jones o253.5 Passing

🏈 Daniel Jones o22 rushing

🏈 Sterling Shepard o4.5 Catches

And taking the points tonight!

BOL!

Michigan State has the nation's leading rusher in Kenneth Walker III, but Michigan averages 51 more rushing yards per game than Michigan State and has only allowed three sacks all year.

Both defenses have been solid against the run, and Michigan State has been particularly good with its pass rush (3.7 sacks per game). However, this will be the stiffest test either defense has faced.

But the reason I'm going with the Spartans is their considerable advantage at wide receiver. MSU's receivers Jayden Reed and Jalen Nailor rank top-10 in the Big Ten in receiving yards, while Michigan's leader in receptions is running back Blake Corum with 18. Advantage MSU.

At the end of the day, this is going to be a great game, and Michigan St could surprise here.

Prediction: Michigan State 27, Michigan 24

Let's not kid ourselves, CU is a bad football team. Against FBS opponents who have won a game this season, Colorado is 0-5 and has averaged 7.4 points and 183.8 yards of total offense. Oregon has had some unusuallu close calls this season, but it will ride Kayvon Thibodeaux to a near shutout over the anemic Buffs.

Prediction: Oregon 38, Colorado 6

Geno Smith just isn't bettable. While Smith has been somewhat serviceable the Seahawks have averaged just 18.5 PPG on 213.5 PYPG across the last two weeks.

I’ll lay the points with the Saints here, as New Orleans has racked up 28 points or more in three out of five games so far this season and I highly doubt the Seahawks’ will keep pace for 4 quarters in this game.

🏈***NCAAF EARLY WORMS 10/18*** 🐛

Scanning the opening lines vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/ and these games caught my attention. 🔒

🏈WAKE -3.5 - Army tough team but Wake more tested + better offense

🏈SYRACUSE +3 - Orange over VT - The Cuse' 9 points away from being 4-1 this year and have played a tougher schedule.

🏈PITTSBURGH -2 - Clemson is legitimately not good.

🏈Oklahoma -38 - KU has thrown in the towel. Sooners will score 60+

🏈OK STATE +7 - This line should be ISU -3 IMO

🏈UTSA -6.5 - I'm sold on this UTSA offense, plus La Tech has been bad last 2 weeks (coming off loss to UTEP).

You see anything that jumps off the page at you this week?

DROP YOUR CFB PICKS ⬇️

You know Philly didn't look as bad against the Cowboys on MNF as the score (and media) might have indicated. There were 2-3 plays that really made that game look like a blowout. The Eagles Jalen Hurts looked good at times last week and Philly has a legit receiving corp, but the issue for Philly bettors today is the Eagles are banged up on both the O-line and D-line.

Patrick Mahomes and Co. are pissed and looking to make a statement today, but we can't forget that the Chiefs defense has been very suspect this season and I think Philly will score against KC.

Contrarian pick but I like Philly to make this a game here today and do just enough to get the cover.

Chiefs 30, Eagles 24

The big news here is that Tampa will be w/o Antonio Brown today after he tested positive for COVID and possibly w/o Jason Pierre-Paul (hand/shoulder) who didn't practice this week. But Tampa Bay are riding a 10-game winning streak with an average margin of victory of 15.3 points. I think these two NFC powerhouses give us an early look at a potential conference title game here in Week 3, but even without AB I'm not ready to jump off the Tom Brady bandwagon just yet. It's a homer pick but I'm taking Tampa Bay here but treading lightly.

Terrible game for Utah bettors. :(

I'm losing confidence in Iowa. SMH

With Eagles loss to 49ers, every NFC East team has now lost.

Win vs. Chargers would bring Cowboys back into a tie atop division.

New England has their backs against the wall following another tough loss to Miami, and I expect Belichick and Co. to unload on a New York Jets team quarterbacked by rookie No. 2 overall pick Zach Wilson on Sunday.

Also the Jets just lost their best offensive lineman in Mekhi Becton last Sunday. And sure the Dolphins got the win over the Patriots last week, but the Pats outgained Miami 393-259 as penalties (8 for 84 yards) and turnovers (two) plagued New England. Don't expect a Belichick team to play that sloppy 2 weeks in a row and Zach Wilson proves today why he's QB1 in New England.

It is neither easy nor common to drop four spots in the AP rankings after a win, but that's how unimpressive Notre Dame looked while needing to erase not one but two fourth-quarter deficits at home against Toledo. And it certainly doesn't help the Irish's case that the team they beat in overtime in Week 1 (Florida State) lost to Jacksonville State this week.

Big plays have been a big problem for the Notre Dame defense. The Irish have already allowed four plays (two rushes, two passes) that went for at least 60 yards, putting them in a tie with Arkansas State for worst in the nation. Now they face a Purdue team that has one of the best wide receivers in the nation in David Bell, as well as a defense that held its first two opponents (Oregon State and Connecticut) without a passing touchdown.

Maybe I'm being too linear but everything points to Purdue here and I'm putting Notre Dame on upset alert.

Prediction: Purdue 35, Notre Dame 27

Fresno State is looking like a team that could make a run at the Group of Five's spot in the New Year's Six bowls. The Bulldogs held a fourth quarter lead at Oregon before letting that major upset slip away, and they won their other games against Connecticut and Cal Poly by a combined score of 108-10. Quarterback Jake Haener has gotten out to an excellent start, already boasting more than 1,000 passing yards and 11 total touchdowns. And even in the loss to Oregon, the Bulldogs displayed solid defense.

UCLA is good this year and the Bruins should get the job done at home, though. The backfield tandem of Zach Charbonnet and Brittain Brown has thrived early, and you just know Dorian Thompson-Robinson is going to make a couple of huge plays on any given night.

I predict this game is a grudge match and comes right down to the wire. I've got to take the 11 points here as double digits feels like too many based on how Fresno St looked against Oregon.

Prediction: UCLA 38, Fresno State 31

It took 25 minutes for UAB to get on the scoreboard in its 31-0 victory over Jacksonville State, and the Blazers may well go the full 60 minutes without reaching paydirt against Georgia's elite defense. Even against the Tigers and even without most of his top receiving threats, no one expected to see JT Daniels struggle that mightily. Things should go much better this weekend for what was one of the top preseason Heisman candidates. At any rate, there will be a lot of people legitimately concerned about the Bulldogs offense if that don't light it up against UAB.

Prediction: This is a homer pick but taking Georgia and that nasty Bulldog defense. I don't see UAB scoring more than 7 points in this game. Georgia wins a 37-6.

Laying the points with the Bills. I think this Steelers team has been turning down for last 3-4 years and it's going to crescendo this year. I think a 6 win season is in store for the Steelers. Najee Harris will provide some spark but 1 player isn't saving this team. Plus Big Ben is used up. Buffalo gets right back to last season's winning ways.

The Irish had an 18 point lead on Florida State last weekend but they just didn't keep their foot on the gas. I don't think Brian Kelly's going to let that happen a second week in a row especially at home. The Irish are going to show out for this one. The defense is going to step it up. How could you not after your coach says he wants to execute you? Toledo's going to be great in the MAC this year.. this just isn't the MAC

I don't have anything to copy and paste like the guys under me, but I saw wind is blowing out on a warm day at Wrigley field. 51% of Giants runs come via the Home Run. Both team home run total Over 2.5 is sitting at Even[+100]. I would like to bet on the Giants going 3-0 in Bullpen games this year, but this scrappy Cubs team could pull something out of their Bear Cave and pull a W. My prop bet here is over 2.5 total dingers, Good Luck!