Well it's not the same Heels team we are used to and the gen public certainly hasn't a clue. They're bad. Elijah Hughes is a monster and will have a 20/10 game.
The Rockets are 22-12 against teams with losing records. Of teams in position to make the playoffs, only the Nets (21-13) have a worse record against teams below .500. Translation? Houston is a hard team to gauge.
The Timberwolves are 23rd offensively and have ranked last in the NBA defensively since the All-Star break. KAT is out so I don't see Minny keeping it close all night but I do like them on a 1Q spread to cover. Overall though - Houston pulls away in the 2nd half.
The Under is 20-11 at home for the Pacers this season who will likely be playing a slower pace tonight as well. I think Boston comes out and plays tough defense as well after a brutal loss to OKC which likely motivated this roster of winners.
Points should be at a premium in this matchup as both teams rank inside the Top 5 in scoring defense, with Boston allowing the fewest points per game at 106.8. The Celtics are also second in 3-point defense (34.1 percent) and fourth in overall field goal defense (44.1 percent).
I don't have a clear angle on the spread but the total should go Under based on stats and betting histories.
The road team has won in each of the three prior meetings. Not tonight. Knicks beat the Pistons most recently but aren't a team that get hot or go on winning streaks - not on the road. two possessions against a bad team as the spread? I'll take that all day, Sportjaw Fam! No Ish Smith but Beal has a bounce back game here after shooting 8 for 24 against the Heat.
Kings are a good ML play here. the Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on two days' rest, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on zero days' rest, 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.
Lakers been great as underdogs - theyâ€™ve excelled in this spot this year, going 6-1 (ATS). The Lakers have done it almost entirely through defense, which has ranked second over the past two weeks, allowing just 101.0 points per 100 possessions. The Clippers have also been incredible defensively in that time frame, ranking third, but theyâ€™ve also been top-five on offense. The Lakers? Just 25th in Offensive Rating.
I'm siding with the UNDER AND CLIPPERS on the ML.
I like Harrell +14.5 points as this small ball experiment isnâ€™t going great for Houston in the paint as theyâ€™re 29th in points in paint allowed since the All Star Break. Harrell is averaging 15 ppg and has topped this number in 6 of his last 7. Heâ€™s an offensive rebound machine as is Morris (+4.5 rebounds is a nice play too). Houston too small to win this game.
Bulls are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
T-Wolves are desperate for a win. While the Bulls beat the Timberwolves, 117-110, on January 22 to end a three-game losing streak in the series, I think the Wolves end their losing ways tonight.
Minnesota has won its last four home games against Chicago for its third longest active home winning streak against any opponent and Coby White will be outplayed by DLo.
The Bulls were somehow worse than Minny in February going 1-9 (vs Minny at 2-9). Still no Lavine for the Bulls.
In their last 10 games, Wiz are 4th best point margin in 1st quarter vs Kings who are 21st. Beal is on fire, almost literally.
Sacremento is 26th in effective fg % in their last 10. Wiz are 5th in 3 pts hit in that same time frame.
Kings also play methodically, half court (for some odd reason). Oh and there's also this - Washignton is 1st in 1Q opponent turnover percentage in their last 10.
They've held up with good teams lately. Kings are a bad team.
I personally like the UNDER here with the Lakers as one of the best defensive units with or without Brow and the Sixers down 3 of their top 4 starters. I think it's a half-court style type of game that the Lakers ultimately win. The total has also gone UNDER in 9 of the last 13 games between these two and I don't see why the Lakers don't flex their muscle in this one.
I'll take Denver at home in this one to win handily. Malone called his players soft after the beatdown to the Clippers and now they'll be up against a Toronto team that may be without Ibaka and Vanfleet. Toronto lost to Charlotte at home. Yikes.
Denver has covered 6 of their last 7 at home and win by an avg. of 6.1 points at home where they're 23-7 SU. Nugs bounce back/ Raptors woes continue.
Simmons is expected to be out at least ten more days, and Embiid will not be evaluated until next week so the team is aware of who they are going into this one.
I think Horford and Tobias Harris returning to his old stomping grounds are actually quite capable of leading the Sixers to a cover. LA will rotate and allow for the length of O'Quinn, Horford and Harris to bother Leonard and PG13 getting to the lane. I like Philly to keep it close and just barely cover but the #4 offense in the league will get hot in the 4th and get a comfortable win.
LAC 121 PHI 112
At the same time the Bucks are 21-4 straight up when playing as an away favorite and 12-7 record against the spread on the road against losing teams.
Charlotte has lost their last three games against the Bucks by more than 13 points. Only way you could really back Charlotte is if your confident starters rest early on a backend cover.
Gary Harris and Will Barton, are just 6â€™4 and 6â€™6 and more slight in stature. Can they play competent defense against Leonard and George? I personally don't think they can and certainly will have their troubles scoring as well. Joker should get his so look for his props but I personally like the Clippers -6 here based on wing play. Clippers fully healthy and this is the biggest game of the year likely for both teams as the season winds down.
Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 overall.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
So to sum it up...— T.J. McBride (@TJMcBrideNBA) January 31, 2020
The Nuggets left Pepsi Center at ~midnight MST after beating the Jazz.
Plane had to be de-iced before leaving.
They landed in Milwaukee at 3:54am local time.
Got into their hotel at 4:30am local time.
Now they play in less than 16 hours vs the Bucks.
BETTING PREVIEW Brooklyn Nets 18-21 (18-21 ATS) are playing Philadelphia 76ers 25-16 (17-23-1 ATS) on ... http://bit.ly/36WCuvb