dtownsend

***UNDER 59*** Ohio State will win, but this won't be its fourth consecutive game with 52 or more points. Indiana has faced a murderer's row of opponents, losing to Iowa, Cincinnati, Penn State and Michigan State, but the Hoosiers have held those four highly ranked opponents to 29.0 points and 320.0 yards of total offense per game. Indiana has a legit defense.

But Indiana's offense is a mess and the passing game has been particularly horrendous and has thrown 10 interceptions already this season.

I still have my doubts that stifling the offenses of Akron, Rutgers and Maryland was proof that Ohio State's defense has improved significantly since the loss to Oregon, but the Buckeyes should have little trouble keeping the Hoosiers from running up the score.

Prediction: There's not a ton of value on the side here IMO, but I do like the UNDER 59 in this matchup. Indiana will keep the OSU potent offense in check and Indiana's anemic offense won't score more than 14 points. I'm predicting a Ohio State 35, Indiana 13 type of game.

Texas was lucky to escape with a win last night, but I expect the Rockies to light up Lyles tonight. Gomber will do enough against this 28th ranked Texas offense. And look for Trevor Story to have another big night at Arlington. This line could have been -160 and I wouldn't have blinked.

Don't look now but KC has got their offense going, scoring 21 runs over last 5 games. But I like Keuchel to take care of business here, he's been better than Minor all season. Sox win 6-4.

The Clippers shot out of their minds without Kawhi on Wednesday night. It’s tough envisioning them shooting 51.2 percent from the floor again against a desperate Jazz team. Utah is nicked up a bit but I just don't see them losing 4 in a row. This series is going 7.

With Mitchell back from injury, the Jazz appear to be a dominant force again. Utah scored 141 points in a Game 2 win, and the Jazz are elite on both ends of the floor.

Let's hope Shoei Ohtani doesn't get stuck in traffic on the way to tonight's game — he's got history to make.

The Hawks just beat the Wizards on Monday 125-124 behind a strong 36 point performance from Trae Young. I don't see Trae Young having another shooting night like that and this game could really go either way or will at least be close, give me the 6 points.

The Warriors finish the rest of the regular season at home, where they are 20-11. They have won three of their last four games and just beat the Thunder by 21 in OKC. The Thunder have only one win in their last 20 games. Second verse same as the first, GSW win by double digits but I think this spread is about right so treading lightly.

The Bulls remain without Zach Lavine in this one, and they have lost 4 straight games. They have failed to eclipse the 100-point mark during that stretch. The Bulls won the first two in this series, but Nikola Vucevic was a big part of their last win and he is likely out tonight. If he does play it will likely be in a limited fashion. The Hornets are also injured but recently welcomed back LaMelo Ball. Pick: Charlotte ML +120

The Astros are going to struggle to score in this game. NY Yankees -1.5 (RL) -115. Simple.

Zack Wheeler has been inconsistent this year, In two of his last three starts he has given up four runs. In the last start against the Mets he went seven innings giving up seven hits and four runs. The Brewers offense is going to get to Wheeler.

Houser was a bit shaky in his season debut against the Twins but when he's on he is a ground ball machine.

Martinez going for the Red today and he has a good slider but batters have been hitting his cutter. Martnez was perfect through three innings his last time out before getting bit by Nick Castellanos - twice.

Coin toss game, but with two guys that tend to get hit hard, I like this one to go over 8 runs.

The Reds have Miley on the bump who is their fifth starter, but they’re still a good play here. The Pirates haven’t faced a southpaw yet this season and they will be w/o their best hitter, 3B Ke’Bryan Hayes (wrist).

The Pistons are in last place in the East but have the eighth-highest cover percentage in the league at 55.6%. They are 12-9 ATS at home this season.

ORLANDO +7 - With both LeBron and AD still sidelined, you have to give Orlando a punchers chance in this one. On Friday, Orlando was unable to take advantage of Damian Lillard’s absence during a 112-105 home loss versus Portland, but all five Orlando starters scored in double figures. The Magic's offense is always a concern but still should have enough offensive firepower to keep pace with the short-handed Lakers.

UNDER 208 - You also have to look at the Unders as I don't see a lot of offensive output from either side here.

The Blue Jackets -1.5 (+180) are worth backing with a chance to nearly double up, as the Red Wings offense has been rather anemic, not only over the past three games but really for the entire season.

The Suns defeated the Wolves 118-99 Feb. 28 have won 18 of their last 21 games and still own the league’s best ATS record at 26-12. But the Timberwolves have been playing better since the All-Star break. This spread feels about right but will take Phoenix at home.

The Under 229.5 is a big total, the Suns only have had 5 other games with a total set this high. Minnesota averages only 109.4 points per game (23rd in the league), so I'm leaning unders here - the Wolves won’t score enough to get over this big number.

Difference here is Denver's 7th ranked offense against Indiana's 15th ranked offense. And Denver is the hotter team - Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last six games. Indiana is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games. Plus the Pacers have the league’s third-worst cover percentage at 40.5%.

With Ohio State's resume, I don't know how you don't take the 7 points here. This line is an over reaction to what Clemson did to ND in the ACC Championship. ND played terrible in that game and I don't think the Tigers have seen an offense like Ohio State's. #Buckeyes

I feel both teams rely on their defense. Ravens main RB is Lamar it seems haha and he cant run all game, and if he tries to I think Browns will adjust and make stops. There will be a few explosive plays, with a little fixation from the refs (of course) but I still think this one goes under. Field goals and running is what I foresee. BOL

Bye bye Brady... no respect for the game and the game won’t respect you. Not shaking hands when beat by bears and rams is a bitchass move. Mohomie got your # he’s gonna make you burn in hell for your sins 😂

For real though, how can the chiefs not cover -3 vs this old fart.

The signs are not pointing towards the Cowboys here. Yes, they won last week at Minnesota, but so did Washington. And that team got a full practice in and isn't going through the emotional distress of losing an assistant coach. Plus, Washington actually dominated the first meeting between these two teams, 25-3. So everything suggests the Cowboys will lose ... but they won't. Just not gonna happen on Thanksgiving Day at AT&T Stadium. The return of Zack Martin and Joe Looney to the lineup will help today. The passing game will be better, mainly because of the O-line, the weather and one of the best receiving corps in the NFL. The defense will get turnovers and I think the Cowboys ride the emotional roller coaster to a 27-17 win to take the lead in the NFC East

Did anybody dissect these prop bets tonight?

Max Duggan has been efficient but TCU offense has produced just six aerial touchdowns all season and the Frogs only average 211.7 passing yards per game (85th in FBS). Things won't get any easier against West Virginia defense ranked fourth in the nation in passing yardage allowed.

My money is on WVU QB Jarrett Doege who is a fourth-year talent that can really spin it and has opened up this Mountaineers offense this season. Last 3 games Doege has had 300-yard games without a pick.

I like West Virginia to bounce back after tough loss to improved Horns team last week. WVU 31- TCU 24

Love Liberty getting all these points.
This team has been getting better year after year and they finally are getting some recognition! VT will struggle with this squad.

Take LIBERTY +17

Bobcats are favored for a good reason on the road here. Bobcats return many more starters from last season. They also have a transfer QB from my current school UNLV. I watched Rogers play in person and he really can be electrifying and difficult to contain.

Take Ohio -1

I thought this line would be closer to Central Floria -6 or -7. Houston has struggled to run the ball this year and UCF has been virtually unstoppable on offense. I look for UCF to have success through the air against Houston's struggling secondary. UCF 45-35.