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Eagles: 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS on Thursdays, and 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS in Game Sixes, including 5-0 ATS with a sub .500 record… Buccaneers: 0-5-2 ATS last seven games versus NFC East opponents, and 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS on Thursdays.

At the beginning of the season some people wouldn't have thought Atlanta would end up where they have thus far, this season. At this point, the Braves have won 8 out of the L10 games, resulting in a 3.5 game lead over Philly. Now these two teams meet at the end of the season in a series that can make or break Philly in just a few days. Atlanta has Fried on the mound who is 2-0 in his L3 w/ a 1.23 ERA, in the L7 he's 3-0, 1.65 ERA and in the L15 starts he is 8-3 with a 2.44 ERA. Fried hasn't lost a decision since July, going 6-0 in his 10 starts in August & September. Playing behind Fried the Braves are 9-1 in his L10 overall & L10 @ H (including 8 straight @ H), and Atlanta is 11-1 in his L12 as the F. The Braves have also played very vs. familiar opponents, goign 20-5 in the L25 as a F vs. the DIV, 4-2 @ H vs. Philly, & 12-1 vs. RHP w/ ERA > 4.2. Philadelphia on the other hand has Nola throwing, who has a 5.32 ERA on the road this season, on top of a team that is 7-21 in the L28 vs. LHP when the line is between 130 & -150, they are also 0-4 in the L4 in Nola's starts as a D. Take the Braves!

Matz with better road numbers than at home (3.69 ERA & 1.21 WHIP)

Matz in L8 starts (one bad) allowed NINE runs in other 7 starts

Pineda’s numbers worse at home (3.94 vs 3.41)

Minnesota 14-35 vs lefties (28.6%)!!

Blue Jays 24-10 off a loss when a Fav or dog to +105

Take the Blue Jays!

Garcia with a 2.19 home ERA and 0.96 WHIP

Junk making his third start going 8 innings in two starts

LAA 5 straight losses and avg 3.4 runs/gm the L7

Houston avg 7.7 runs L7

Take the Astros!

Straight up underdog, but it’s the hunt for October but recently that “underdog” has the bigger bark & bite. Seattle looks like they are a team that is determined to make the play-offs, and they have to be kind of excited that they are going up again Oakland. The Athletics have Irvin on the mound, but Irvin is 10-13 with a 3.94 ERA, not horrible but vs. SEA this season he 0-3 with a 8.49 ERA and in September opponents are hitting .318 off the lefty. The team is also 4-11 in his starts vs. the division, and 2-6 @ H vs. the division with a line ≥ -200. Oakland as a whole has been on a little off as of late, they are 4-10 vs. Seattle this season (including 7 straight losses ; 1-6 @ H), 1-6 in the L7 off B2B losses as a favorite, alongside a 2-8 record vs. RHP off B2B losses @ H (w/ -180 < line < 150). Seattle has the additional bonus of having their stud on the mound in Flexen. Flexen is 6-1 on the road with a 4.32 ERA in 13 starts, in his L7 appearances he is 2-1 with a noticeably lower ERA posting a 3.21 average, and in his only start @ Oakland this year, he took the W at the end of August, allowing only 1 ER in 6.2 IP. Seattle is 9-2 in Flexen‘s L11 going up against a LHP (including 3-0 on the road, and 8-0 when the total is > 8) and going 5-0 in his night starts on the road w/ line

We are closing in on October baseball and tonight’s action may just give us a little sneak peak at what is to come. I doubt these two will be playing each other in the playoffs, but this series is definitely important to these teams, Philly is 3 GB off the division & 2.5 back off the wild card, while the Mets are still fighting too, 5.5 GB of the division and 5 games back of the wildcard. Philly has Wheeler on the mound, who has kept his ERA under 3.00 this season, with a 1.02 WHIP, in his L3 starts Wheeler is 3-0 with a 2.41 ERA, and since the break he‘s 7-4 with a 3.81 ERA, and in 4 starts vs the Mets, Wheeler is 2-1 with an ERA of 2.15! Philly is 7-3 in his L10 road starts, and including B2B W’s H2H vs NYM. The Phillies are also 12-4 as a F vs the division (including 9-1 when the line < -123 ; 7-0 as a F vs. RHP), not to mention they are 9-2 in the L11 off B2B W’s & 3-1 in the L4 off a W by 8 or more! The Mets on the other hand have a pitcher who hasn’t won a decision since before the All-Star break, posting a 7.38 ERA in those 10 starts. The Mets are 1-8 in Walker’s L9 starts & 0-5 in his L5 at Citi Field. New York is also 1-5 following a game where they allowed more then 10 runs, 4-7 H2H w/ PHI when the total is >7 (including dropping 4 straight), on top of a 2-7 record in the L9 as a HD vs a RHP (going 1-6 in the L7). Take the Phillies!

Right off the bat Seattle has taken advantage of Boston on the run line in recent games, they are 6-1 in the L7 as a D < 175, and 4-1 on the RL vs. BOS TY. Marco Gonzales in on the mound and he is looking to continue the trend, he may have an ERA over 4.00 but since the all-star break he has been one of the best pitchers there's been, going 7-0 with a 2.34 ERA in his 10 starts since the break. In his L7 he is 5-0 w/ a 2.20 ERA and just in the L3 games, Gonzales' has won all 3 starts with a 3.50 ERA, allowing opponents to hit a measly .197 in his day starts. In the L7 Gonzales starts as a D, SEA is 7-0 on the RL, going along with a 16-5 record on the RL as a HD vs. NDIV opponents, 19-9 as a HD vs. RHP, and 28-9 on the RL as a D vs. RHP w/ a line < 148. Boston on the other hand, may be one of the better teams on the year (may be not so much as of late..) but on the RL they have struggled and Houck on the mound with ERA over 4.00 on the road AND in day games, doesn't exactly help, along with Boston's RL records of 4-7 in Houck's starts, 2-6 as a F in his L8 starts, 0-5 as a F w/o a DH w/ a line > -200 in his 5 starts. Boston is also 7-17 on the RL as an AF, 1-5 on the RL in the L6 as AF vs. LHP, 4-14 on the RL as AF vs. NDIV opponents (INCLUDING 1-10 W/ A LINE > -150)! Take the Mariners +1.5!

Fading the Mets off that MASSIVE NYY series playing the 9/11 game then Sunday Night Baseball.

STL of 2-0 win and they are 11-3 their L14 road games

STL 15-7 vs L as a Fav of Dog to +120

Wainwright off bad start but only 5 runs in previous six starts

Hill with 4.22 ERA at home compared to 3.41 on road

Take the Cardinals!

Take the +6 Cleveland Browns

A’s a couple of games back in Wildcard

A’s off B2B wins and talk is that gave them some momentum

Texas best chance to make ground

Take the Rangers +1.5!

Hauser on an AWESOME run allowing one run or less in 5 of last 6 starts

Morgan with a 7.53 home ERA and 1.56 home WHIP in 8 starts

Indians a horrible 8-20 as a HD including 3-14 the L17

Brewers 26-9 as an AF of 120+

Take Milwaukee!

Parlay Toronto and Houston

Toronto 9-12 away & 7-10 away vs L

Berrios is last 4 starts allowed 13 runs in 3 starts and had a good putting but vs Detroit

Cortes Jr with 4 home starts - 1.72 ERA & 0.93 WHP

Take the Yankees!

Fedde with a 5.29 ERA and 1.49 WHIP

Nationals 4.9 runs/game last 7 games

Braves now .349 (29-83) against Fedde in his career

Ynoa with a 4.62 ERA and 1.43 WHIP

Take the O9

Miami 1st 5

O8

When CIVALE starts Cleveland is 12-3 against the money line in all games this season.

CLEVELAND is 26-8 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season.

CLEVELAND is 26-9 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season.

MINNESOTA is 4-18 against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.

Take the Indians!

Take Milwaukee!

ATL 1st 5

U9

Don't hesitate to take Milwaukee!

Arrieta (as well as the Padres) are not what they used to be in the previous seasons (or for SD, as they were earlier this year). Arrieta is 5-12 with a 7.13 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP, in his only start with SD he allowed 5 ER on 7 hits in just 3.1 IP, he is 3-7 @ night with a 8.80 ERA & a .333 opponent batting average. Even just in his L4 starts since the All-Star Break, Arrieta is an unbelievable 0-3 with a 11.15 ERA and…. A .479 OPPONENT BATTING AVERAGE. Urquidy, on the other hand, is 6-3 with a 3.38 ERA and a WHIP under 1.00. He is 2-0 in his last 3 starts, and even though he has been injured, this season Urquidy has been impressive @ night, going 4-0 in 8 starts with a 2.42 ERA and an opponent batting average of .174. The Padres haven’t faired well against top caliber RHP, and now with a struggling offense, things may get worse, they are 2-11 in the L13 games vs. a RHP w/ a WHIP under 1 when the line is > -115, and they are 1-4 in the FGS as a D vs. a RHP. The most remarkable thing is that the Padres have lost 10 STRAIGHT games as a dog vs. a RHP, and in those 10 games, SD only scored 4 or more runs 3 times (all 3 of those games were 4 runs) and they have only held opponents to less then 4 runs ONCE in those 10 games! While Houston is hot, especially in the opening game of a series, they know how to make a good first impression, going 12-2 in the L14 series openers on the road (including 9-2 in the L11 as a AF), and they are 21-7 as a F > -240 in the opener. The Astros are also 8-0 in Urquidy’s starts with a line between (-300) & (-105) and they are 6-2 vs. a SP w/ an ERA>6.00 when the line is < -110. Take the Astros!

Anderson on the mound for the Brewers is 2-6 in his L15 starts with a 4.50 ERA and on the road this year opponents are hitting .277 off the LHP, leading to a 5.00 ERA in 12 starts! The Brewers are 2-5 in his L7 starts @ NGT w/ a line > -145 (including 0-5 w/o his 2 DH starts), 2-7 in his L9 overall w/o DH, and they are 0-3 coming off B2B2B W’s in Anderson’s starts (3-6 overall). The Giants on the other hand have Gausman on the mound who has a 2.49 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP, including a 6-3 record @ H (where opponents are hitting .186 off him) and the Giants are 17-8 in his L25 starts (including 6-3 in the L9 @ H and 12-6 as a favorite). SF is also on a 107-58 run as a favorite & a 101-53 run as a HF (including 21-9 as a HF vs a non-divisional opponent w/ a line >-250). Take the Giants!

A 9-8 record w/ a 4.38 ERA isn't exactly top of the line, but in his last 15 starts, Gomber is 7-4 w/ a 3.51 ERA, a noticeably better stat-line of late. In his L11 starts the Rockies are 7-4, they are 10-3 in Gomber's starts w/ a line < 150, 6-2 in his L8 night starts, and they are 7-3 in his L10 NDIV starts w/ line < 150. Going against a pitcher like Lyles, the Rockies are also looking to continue a record of 11-1 (in a 9 inning game) vs. RHP w/ an ERA over 5.00 when the line is less then 130, they are 20-5 vs. a SP w/ a WHIP > 1.40 w/ a line ≤ 120, and they are 11-2 in the 2nd game of a seres w/ a line ≤ 100. As mentioned before, Lyles is 6-11 TY with an ERA over 5.00 (5.70) and a WHIP over 1.40 (1.49), in his 12 home games he is allowing an opponent BA of .300 with a 5.27 ERA, in night games he is 4-9 with a 6.00 ERA in 20 games w/ a .297 opponent BA, and since the All-Star Break Lyles is 1-6 with a 7.49 ERA in 8 starts!! In Lyle's L15 starts the Rangers are 4-11 (including 3-11 w/ a line ≤ 230) and they are 4-13 in his L17 starts @ night with a line under +230. The Rangers are also 12-26 in the L38 as a HD w/ a line ≥ 120, and they are 16-40 @ H vs. a SP w/ a WHIP under 1.25. Take the Rockies!

The one and only game of the year in the MLB has got to be on Gerrit Cole. The 4 time All-Star and former strikeout leader is sitting at just a favorite of (-141). Cole is 12-6 in 23 starts with an ERA under 3.00 and a WHIP under 1.00! In Cole’s 14 starts at night he is 10-2 with a 1.87 ERA (19 ER in 91.2 IP) and in his L8 night starts w/ a line > -250, the Yankees are 7-1. While Manaea isn’t “easy” competition statistically the Yankees are 25-9 vs. a SP w/ a ERA > 3.50 (including 15-2 in the L17!) and they are 11-1 in the L12 vs. a SP w/ a WHIP > 1.20. Manaea has lost his L2 starts vs. NYY, including one game earlier this year, in his L7 starts overall he has posted an ERA of 5.56 and a 2-2 record. Outside of the pitching match-up the Yankees are 27-8 in the 2nd game of the L35 series (including 20-5 in the L25 as a F and 8-2 as a road favorite), and when they are in the 2nd game of a series vs. a non-divisional opponent they are 18-4, including 7-1 vs. LHP, 9-2 vs. a SP w/ ERA > 3.50, and 6-1 as a favorite! On top of the fact that after a game like Thursday, they are 10-2 in the second game of a series after scoring more then 5 runs in the opener (9-1 w/ line < 120) and 12-2 after hitting more then 1 HR in the opener (5-0 after hitting more then 2 HR). The Yankees have also won 13 out of the L17 games vs. a LHP from a non-divisional opponent when the line is < -135. The Athletics on the other hand are 2-13 vs. a SP w/ an ERA under 3.00 w/ a line > -150 (including 1-10 vs. a non-divisional opponent), and they are 1-8 vs. a RHP from a non-divisional opponent when the line is > -120 (and they are 0-7 w/ 145 > line > -120). Oakland is also 5-12 @ H vs. teams over 55% win percentage, they are 1-5 vs. a team w/ a win percentage over 55%, with a starting pitcher w/ an ERA under 3.00, and 2-7 when the team is over 50% w/ an ERA < 3.00. Take the Yankees!

Buehler is holding his own at one of the top pitchers in a rotation full off accolades. He’s got a 13-2 record this year, in the last 15 starts he is 10-2 with a 1.74 ERA. He’s faced SD twice this year and has left with a ND each time, but allowing 4 runs in 13 innings, on the road this year Buehler has been impressive, to say the least, he is 5-0 in 10 starts with a 2.07 ERA, and in his 7 starts since the All-Star break he is 4-1 with a 1.50 ERA. LA is 17-8 in his starts this year, including 8-2 in the L10 on the road, 5-1 his L6 starts vs. a LHP, 9-1 in his L10 starts vs. a SP w/ an ERA > 4.00 (in those games they are outscoring opponents 7.64 - 2.82) and they are 11-1 in his L12 vs. an ERA over 3.5. Regardless of the pitching, the Dodgers are 7-1 in their L8 on the road, 13-2 in the L15 overall, and there may be one or more reasons why this team is happy to see Snell on the mound. LAD is 12-3 in their L15 vs. a LHP w/ an ERA over 4 (including 6-1 in the L7 on the road), they are 7-1 in the L8 vs. a SP w/ a WHIP > 1.50 (including 7-0 when the line is < -110), and this isn’t the first time they have seen Snell, but the Dodgers are 7-2 when the line is under -125, on the road vs. a SP who beat them last time out (including 5-1, and 4 in a row vs. a LHP who beat them). Snell has been solid at home, BUT since the All-Star break, Snell hasn’t seem to have the same second half, he is 3-2 but in 7 games his ERA is at 4.50, and the Padres are 2-4 in his L6 as a dog (including 0-4 vs. RHP), and they are 1-5 in the L6 Snell starts vs. a pitcher w/ an ERA under 3 when the line is > -180, not to mention 2-5 in the L7 vs. a divisional opponent when the line is > -180. The Padres have also struggled against good RHP, they are 4-11 vs. a RHP w/ an ERA < 2.5, when the line is between 160 & -180. SD is 2-9 vs. RHP w/ a WHIP < 1 when the line is > -115 (including losing 8 out of the L9). This is also only the 7th time SD has been a HD and they are 2-4, including 1-3 vs. RHP, they are 0-8 in the L8 as a dog vs. RHP. Take the Dodgers!

Take the Indians!

JT Brubaker may be the biggest key to this play, 4-13 on the year with a 5.49 ERA, but in the L15 games he is 1-11 with a 6.92 ERA, in the L7, 0-5 with a 9.09 ERA (allowing 33 ER in 32.2 IP), and in the last 3 games, his ERA is 12.86!! Brubaker is 2-8 @ NGT with a 5.69 ERA in 14 starts and since the All-Star Break, he has gone 0-4 with an 8.78 ERA in 6 starts. Playing behind Brubaker, Pittsburgh is, 3-16 in his L19 starts (including 1-15 when the line is > -120) and they have lost 8 straight games when Brubaker is matched-up vs. a LHP pitcher. Lefties have been a weakness for PIT TY, they are 1-12 vs. a LHP w/ ERA > 4.00 and the line is under 150, 2-13 in L15 as a D vs. LHP, they are 1-7 @ H vs. LHP and 1-10 in the L11 @ ARI. Arizona also has a stud on the mound in Bumgarner, even though he may be a few years removed from his prime, he hasn't allowed more then 2 runs in a start since June, and the Diamondbacks are 5-1 in his L6 starts. Take Arizona!

San Francisco is sitting at almost 65% winning percentage TY & 60% on the road. Alex Wood on the mound for San Fran may have a 4.14 ERA but he sits at a record of 10-3 with the runs SF can put up. Wood is 3-0 in his L7 starts, on the road he is 3-1 in his 8 starts away from home, 6-3 w/ 4.18 ERA in 13 night starts. and he is 2-0 in his 6 starts after the AASB (with the team going 5-1, including 5-0 in the L5). The Giants offense has definitely backed up Wood this year, they are 15-6 in his 21 starts, including 4-0 in the L4 as an AF, 14-3 as a F (including 10 out of L11 & 8 in a row), they are 15-3 in his starts vs. RHP, and 14-1 vs. RHP w/ ERA > 3.00 (13-0 w/ a line < -110). Outside of Wood's starts the Giants are 14-3 on a day of rest, including 12-1 in the L13, and 14-2 when the line is less then 180 (including 8-1 vs. RHP), 6-1 when an opponent is off a W without rest (5 in a row) and they are 11-2 in the FGS vs. a RHP from a non-divisional team (including 11-1 w/ a line > -170). While Oakland is throwing Kaprielian, who has had an ERA of 6.32 in the L3 starts and the Athletics are 1-3 in his L4 night starts. The Athletics have struggled vs. left handed pitching as well they are 6-10 @ H vs. LHP w/ a line > -175 (including 4-8 in NDIV games, and 6 out of the L7), they are 1-6 in the L7 in the opening game of a series vs. LHP (including 0-6 when the line is > -200), they are 2-5 in the L7 in the first game of a series vs. non-divisional opponents. With the stats Wood has, you may not expect what you are getting, but even with his stat line it looks like the Athletics could struggle, they are 3-7 in the L10 vs. a LHP w/ a WHIP < 1.25 and a line ≥ -120 (including a 2-5 record when the line is also < 120), they are also 5-10 vs. LHP w/ an ERA > 4.00 (including 1-5 vs. WHIP < 1.25). Not to mention that the A's are 1-6 off a W when they got outhit w/ line > -150 and they are 0-3 w/o a day of rest and the opposing team coming off a day of rest. Take the Giants!