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Villanova has a couple of strength-on-weakness edges in this matchup against Ohio State:

1.) Ohio State is a pretty good 3-point shooting team and has a very good offensive FT/FGA rate. But Villanova ranks higher in defensive FT/FGA rate than Ohio State does offensively (per KenPom) and is 38th in defensive 3-point shooting percentage.

2.) Villanova ranks in Top 10 in ball security whereas Ohio State’s defense ranks 327th in turnover rate.

3.) The Wildcats are a good offensive rebounding team, while the Buckeyes are 199th in defensive rebounding rate (KenPom).

4.) Villanova is one of the most experienced teams, with mostly Jr's and Sr's and a 5th year starter.

5.) Ohio State also lacks the size to take advantage of Villanova’s small frontcourt.

I like the Wildcats by double digits, lay the points.

The Blue Devils are just far too gifted to bet against here. Coach K’s team has so many different weapons who can get it done and the Spartans shouldn’t be much of a threat. I predict a close game for most of the game but the cream will rise late in the 2nd half and Duke ekes out the cover.

Pick: Duke -6 (-120) buying the half point here just in case.

Middle Tennessee State is 23-9 on the year and are 21-7 against the spread. I think will be a battle but I see UAB coming out on top but 7 points just feels like too here as I just don't think there is that much that separates these two teams.

This looked like a horrible matchup for the Spartans when the bowl matchups came out. MSU’s bad pass defense up against Pitt quarterback Kenny Pickett. But the Spartans got great news with Pickett decided to skip this game and head to the NFL. Unfortunately for MSU, so did Kenneth Walker III. But the Spartans should get several players back from injury. Which sets everything up for Payton Thorne to have a great day.

The pick: Michigan State 31, Pittsburgh 24

The Tennessee is averaging 78.4 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 59.3 points on 38.7 percent shooting. The Vols are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.8 rebounds per game.

Alabama is averaging 82.9 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 73.3 points on 43.1 percent shooting. The Crimson Tide are allowing 30 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game.

Alabama has been a bit sluggish since their win over Houston, and it will be interesting to see how the break impacted them. The Tennessee Volunteers have probably been the more impressive team up to this point, so give me the 2.5 points here in a game that could go either way.

This spread seems a bit thick considering Tampa was crushed by injuries last week and will be w/o Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Leonard Fournette and Lavonte David. Sam Darnold is likely back today and I think the backdoor will be ajar here against a banged up Bucs team.

7.5 just feels too rich. Points and sprinkling the OKC ML.

I like BYU to continue unbeaten here, although it'll certainly get a test from Utah State's #10 ranked offense. The Aggies are a solid team offensively who could catch the Cougars in the right moment with a backup QB at the helm. BYU QB Jaren Hall went down with a lower leg injury on the final drive against Arizona State in Week 3. But backup QB Baylor Romney stepped right in and led a scoring drive, and then took the team to a win last week against USF. I expect Baylor Romney to even be more comfortable here tonight against an Aggies defense that ranks 124th in the nation.

BYU 37 - Utah State 24

TOO MANY POINTS - This is a quirky Bulldog team with just enough good parts to pull this off. Miss State came up with a whopping 46 rebounds in the win over South Carolina a few days ago including ten on the offensive glass. The shots have been dropping lately, hitting close to 50% from the field over the last four games. Yeah, Alabama is great on the boards, but the Bulldogs were dead even in rebounding margin in the first game. This spread just doesn't pass the eye test, I like the points and putting $25 on the ML.

San Diego State was able to win the first meeting in overtime and they didn't shoot well from three. The Aztecs have a suffocating defense and if they shoot well from 3 point land today they will bury Boise.

Kentucky has won four games in 2020. The four opponents it has beat have a combined record of 9-31. Yet, the Wildcats are 2 1/2-point favorites over No. 23 N.C. State?? Makes no sense. NC STATE +3.

I need Justin Tucker to score more than Harrison Bryant.

Nick Chubb woke up feeling dangerous

Buehler? Bueheler? Buuehler?? Are the Dodgers holding Buehler back for a possible game 7, the Devil Rays have their ace Snell on the bump tonight. Its going 7 boys. Too much money to be lost on TV ads.

Am I the only guy that hammered titans with 2k ? Y’all really hyping the bills on this board. Public and favorites get killed in prime time games !

Arizona can run hot or cold, but they should have no problem mopping the flood with the Jets today. The Cardinals are playing consecutive road games on the on the opposite coast, which is tough to do. Unless it's against the Jets. The Jets are awful and Arizona lost a game they shouldn't have last week in Carolina. They get back on track here.

Too many points, I'll take Vegas and the 11 points. This is a big number for a divisional tilt and I expect the Raiders offense to keep them in this game. The Chiefs rank down at 28th in the NFL against the run and surrendered 185 rushing yards against the Patriots last week. The Chiefs were lucky to cover last week against the Pats and I think these double digit numbers catchup with the bookmakers today.

UCF sometimes gets overvalued in these American Athletic Conference games (2-6 against the spread last 8 games), and this tag is perhaps worth waiting on for a price drop, I would like this line a lot more at 27.5 but UCF should kick the shit out of a bad ECU team today.

Celtics win this game with a big performance from Brown. Jaylen Brown prop bet OVER 20.5 points. Brown has topped the 20-point mark in each of the last three games of the series, shooting 60 percent from the field and 53.8 percent from three-point range. Miami content with doubling Jayson Tatum and I like Brown to go off tonight.

We saw 140 points in game 1 and 208 points in game 2, and I'm leaning towards taking the OVER 214 in game 3. The Nuggets rank 11th this postseason in defensive efficiency and have to push the pace offensively to have any chance here.

When these two teams squared off in Tulsa last year, the Golden Hurricane hung around for a while until the dam burst in the second half. The Cowboys eventually prevailed, 40-21. TU probably doesn't have as much chance this season to keep it close. Oklahoma State is a different team at T. Boone Pickens Stadium and I predict they pour on the points early in the game and then cruise to a win and cover. Prediction: Oklahoma State 42, Tulsa 17

Syracuse's difficult start continues with a road game against Pitt. On paper, just like the Tar Heels last week, the Panthers are by far the better team in multiple aspects and should roll but 21 points is a really big number. I think Pittsburgh is a bit overvalued after its shutout win, while Syracuse) is underrated after the atrocious showing against a really good UNC team. My Prediction is this one is closer than Vegas is predicted, I've got Pittsburgh winning a 31-17 type of game.

Berríos has left his shaky start to the season behind hime (let's hope). He has held opponents to a .183/.272/.280 slash line across his last four starts, during which he has 31 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings. I like Berrios to win the starter battle in this game and put Minnesota in a good position for a win.

The Oakland Athletics are a team I was very high on entering this season and even have a future bet on them for the World Series, but Minor hasn't been good this season, and the A's are running into a red hot Mariners club.

Betting Under 6.5 takes balls. Darvish and Bauer + wind blowing in 12 mph and both the Cubs and Reds lineups are in the bottom-5 in batting average and the starters don’t walk many hitters. This total is 6.5 for a reason. 3-2 type of game.

What a crazy half!!! Any thought on 2nd half ? I am thinking the over. Seem like none of the teams want to play defense

Texans +7 2H. Crap shoot game but +7 is the right side

OKC was the sucker bet of the year. And I bit. SMH 🤦🏻‍♂️

Leaning Houston -2.5 on the spread but I think the value bet here is on the UNDER 44. The Bills have the stronger defense while the Texans will be extra motivated if Watt is able to line up along the defensive line. It’s also the first career playoff game for Allen under center and predict the Texans’ pass rush could force some costly mistakes. Bills are much improved but I think they are a year away from making any real noise and Houston is over due for a playoff win.