The big news for the Rebels is that they’ll be without head coach Lane Kiffin, who tested positive for COVID-19 and is away from the team. The Rebels have yet to name a fill-in coach for the game, but I suspect Lane will be coaching remotely and his absence shouldn’t affect the play of the Rebels tonight. Bottomline in this one is ACC is not the SEC and the Cardinals are simply mediocre, and will struggle to get to a 6 win season. Ole Miss has a potent offense lead by Matt Corral and was the most prolific offense in all of college last year.
Pick: Like this total suggests, I expect we see a pile of points scored tonight, but I suspect both offenses come out a little sluggish, like we saw with so many teams in their opener this past weekend. I’m playing UNDER 38 for the first half and will take Ole Miss here -9.5 to get things going in the 2nd half.
The Thunder have a lengthy injury list, and theyâ€™re not playing very well. Detroit won its most recent game as a favorite April 1 topping Washington 120-91. Lay the points with the healthier Pistons team and maybe a little on the OVER 213 here as both teams have been giving up a ton of points recently.
Big Blue's offense is rolling, getting through the shootout against Ohio State with a brilliant performance against Iowa and a workmanlike blowout over Indiana. The team is at another level at its all-around ability to keep the O going, but the defense keeps on stepping up its game, too, dominating over the second half of the season.
Iowa and Indiana couldnâ€™t do much form three, the Wolverines are fine enough on the boards to hang with the Illini, and when it comes to trying to outshoot and outgun this team, bring it on. Michigan will win but this line (-8) feels spot on to me, but I would play MU if forces to bet it.
UCF has defeated Auburn, Florida State and Cincinnati but they are going to have their hands full against undefeated Houston who has knocked up Top 10 Texas Tech. Houston has a KenPom rating of 10 and UCF has a KenPom rating of 91, with a KP projected score of Houston 71-64 today. Central Florida has been good from behind the arc this season shooting 37.5% from 3 point land but I think they've out kicked their coverage and don't see them hitting this % against Houston's stifling defense. Slight lean on the Cougars today.
AUBURN MONEY LINE +255?? Overall, I like Auburn in this one, and I donâ€™t really see how Georgia is getting a touchdown in this game, unless you really believe last week was week one jitters. I think the Auburn playmakers get enough done on offense to post up a few scores, and something tells me whoever is taking snaps for Georgia is going to have a long night. Auburn breaks the drought in Athens, 27-23.
Last 5 games, there has been an average of 6.2 goals per game (5, 5, 7, 9, 5). In the regular season, the Lightning were the highest-scoring team in the league, with 3.47 goals per game and 243 total goals. The Stars werenâ€™t quite up to that level, but in the postseason theyâ€™ve had the most total goals among all teams that have competed, even if their goals per game puts them at 7th. There have been an above average number of shots on goal in this game and averaging 6.2 goals per game in this series. I like Tampa Bay to win tonight but not at the current prices, so following the trends and going OVER 5 here as the best bet.
UNDER 9.5 here, really like getting the hook above 9 runs. With Chad Wallach behind the plate for his past two starts, LÃ³pez is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings, so I like him to cool the Braves hot bats. Ian Anderson had a bit of trouble with his control against the Mets, but he's got a 2.36 ERA and should be able to stymie Miami here.
Cincinnati has the edge here with Gray in the starting pitching matchup. Grayâ€™s slash line vs. current Brewers hitters is a lot better than Andersonâ€™s against the Reds. Plus the Reds are rolling right now..
Jose Quintana (6.00 ERA) Quintana (left lat) will come off the 10-day IL for his first start of '20. He has made a pair of three-inning relief appearances this year. Quintana (4.19 ERA vs. Pirates in '19) will likely be limited to around 50 pitches.
Steven Brault (4.04 ERA) - Brault is coming off the best start of his career and the Pirates' best outing of the season: a complete-game two-hitter against the Cardinals at PNC Park. That outing lowered Brault's ERA as a starter to 3.03 in nine outings this season
The Pirates anemic offense is always a concern, but I think the Pittsburgh +138 odds is worth the price here as Brault is in better form than his ERA might suggest. Let's get that plus money.
The Lakers went 3-1 against the Nuggets this season, but throw the one loss out as LeBron didn't play in that game. In two of the games, the Lakersâ€™ bench outscored its Nuggets counterparts 80-55, including a plus-33 showing from guard Alex Caruso. Lakers are the more rested team and I don't think lightning will strike twice here for Denver in this series.
Iâ€™m going Royals -104 here at a virtual pick em'. Kansas City has been playing well over the last week and Duffy has been really solid, in his last outing he threw 5 2/3 innings of shutout ball against the Indians. As for Boyd, he was showing promising signs prior to his last start, where he imploded for seven runs in three-plus innings. I think the Royals stay hot and get er' done.
Mitchell Trubisky is a pedestrian quarterback at best, but somehow he has always found a way to win against the Lions. In his last four meetings, he has thrown for 314 or more yards in three of them and has three touchdown passes in the last three â€“ all Bears wins.
Beyond Trubisky's record against Detroit the kicker for me is Detroit is nicked up at receiver with WR Kenny Golladay (hamstring) doubtful WR Danny Amendola (hamstring) questionable.
Buying the hook and putting something small on Chicago +3.
Both defenses returning a slew of talent and the fact that neither offense inspires confidence as a unit capable of a breakout performance then I predict we see little scoring here. It's going to take the Seminoles time install and execute everything new coach Mike Norvell wants to do, and for that reason, it's tough to see Florida State scoring enough to pull away. Georgia Tech's running game should generate enough punch to score at least a couple of times, burn clock and keep the Yellow Jackets inside the number.
I have a hard time not taking the Fighting Irish. The Irish beat Duke 38-7 last season in Durham, North Carolina, and I don't think enough has changed for either team to expect this year's contest to go much differently. The Irish should roll em' up like a booger here today.
The Jays are without their home run leader in Hernandez, but Ryu gives the Bluejays big edge on the mound today. The under 9 runs is worth a look here as three of Ryuâ€™s last six games have been 2-1 finals, while the other three totaled 9 runs apiece.
I like the Unders here - three of Uriasâ€™ four home starts this season finished with 9 or fewer runs scored, while both of Castellaniâ€™s road starts finished with 5 runs total. Plus, thereâ€™s a chance some regulars will get the night off since itâ€™s the final game of the series.
Atlantas turned to Tomlin out of desperation for one of their rotation spots and he has done well. He wonâ€™t eat a ton of innings, as he is still getting stretched out, but he has a high strikeout rate and is pitching much better than Corbin overall. Give me the Braves -126
Eastern Kentucky isn't the sexy pick here but they are going to be contenders in the Ohio Valley Conference. The Colonels will be replacing OVC rushing champ Darryl McClesky Jr. but returns Alonzo Booth who will give them experience in the back field. Eastern Kentucky has different options at quarterback, but Parker McKinney should be under center to start the game. The right side of the O-line is particularly experienced and will help free up time to get the ball to No. 1 wide receiver Keyion Dixon.
The Thundering Herd will start redshirt freshman at QB but it should help him with last year's Conference USA Most Valuable Player in running back Brenden Knox in the backfield.
I don't think we see an upset here but I do think Eastern Kentucky is going to surprise and keep it closer than the 24.5 point spread.
DOG OF THE DAY - Take the value with Detroit +140 as sizable home dogs. Dobnakâ€™s numbers are far too good for how well he has actually pitched this season and some major regression is in store for his remaining starts. The Twins are also dealing with a multitude of key injuries.
Big number here but the Nets season is cooked. They were already undermanned, and with Joe Harris leaving the bubble, they were left with Caris LeVert and journeymen essentially. The Raptors took advantage of this in Game 3, and will do the same today. This game will get ugly early. Lay the big number.
I am more confident in the under because besides the game one where ORL won, it is 9-0 on the under. Both teams run slow relative to pace but the big kicker for me is that both teams are top 10 in defense and efficiency. gotta roll with the under a bit more than MIL