Not prudent to ever lay -300 odds in any circumstance so looking to the total here as the value play. Houston going to light up Thomas Eshelman like a Christmas tree today (again). I predict double digits.
I'm fading the Rockets while they are without Wood. Houston was flying under the radar and had a winning record before he got injured. It has only been three games, but the Rockets are below-average defensively in opponentâ€™s eFG%, FTA rate, turnover percentage and offensive rebounding rate.
Wood is Houston's best defensive big and the numbers prove it. With him not in the paint as a shot blocker and rebounder the Rockets defense will have issues against Miami. Don't judge Miami by their 24th ranked offense as they have played much better of late. The Heat still has the eighth-highest eFG% and excels at getting to the foul line (sixth in free-throw rate) while Houston is 22nd in opponentâ€™s FTA/FGA rate.
When the confetti falls on Sunday, weâ€™ll all realize that the Chiefs arenâ€™t just the most talented team in modern football, but theyâ€™re also the best-coached team in the league. Weâ€™ll understand that theyâ€™ve got the collective willpower and talent to win a second consecutive Super Bowl title. And theyâ€™ll do so with a flourish, ushering in the NFLâ€™s newest dynasty. CHIEFS WIN 37-24
Presuming that Mahomes is good to go on Sunday, we should be set for a high-scoring showdown. Although I expect it to be closer than their Week 6 matchup, the result will ultimately be the same. Mahomes will outlast Allen, and the Chiefs head to Tampa Bay, looking to secure a second consecutive Super Bowl. Kansas City 34- Buffalo 27
Even with the Tigers offense rocking and rolling, the defense keeps having problems putting games away. Itâ€™s getting the job done, but the D is one of the worst in the conference allowing 477 yards per game â€“ and thatâ€™s after having no problems with the anemic USF and Stephen F. Austin offenses over the last few weeks. Give me Navy and the points and buying the hook here to +14 (-120)
The weather is going to be nice in Houston today and both offenses like to air it out and should find success against each secondary. UCF has the sixth-most yards per play of any team thatâ€™s played more than one game and QB Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 400-plus yards in four of the Golden Knightsâ€™ five games.
Somehow a bad passing team like Navy passed for 206 yards on the Cougars last week and it is 95th in opponentâ€™s passing yards per attempt. Neither Houston or Central Florida are great running teams and UCF should have trouble agains the Houston because the Cougar's defensive line is much nastier.
I give Houston the edge in pass rushing and defensive line, and think they surprise at home today. Give me Houston ML +115 here.
Tulane will be looking for its first win of October against Temple in New Orleans this Saturday. The Green Wave just completed one of their toughest stretches of games in recent years, playing SMU, Houston, and UCF, in their previous three match-ups. If Tulane wants to salvage this season, they have to take advantage of their three very winnable upcoming games, starting with the Owls this weekend.
It looks more-and-more likely as the week goes on that Anthony Russo will not be playing against Tulane on Saturday, and if he does he will not be 100% healthy. Tulaneâ€™s pass defense has been abysmal lately, so Russo sitting out this weekend would be welcome news for the Green Wave. If Tulane can move the football on offense like they have over their past three games and if their defense can finally slow down an opponentâ€™s passing attack, even marginally, the Greenies should get their first conference win on Halloween tonight.
Doesnâ€™t it seem when a team wins an all-or-nothing, deciding series game â€“ like the Rays (-150) did Friday in a Game 5 against the Yankees â€“ it usually loses the first game of the next series? I was certainly hoping for Astros Yankees series here but guess when there's only catfish on the menu, you have to eat catfish.
Will there be a Game 4 tonight? Not if you believe local meteorologist Joe "Joestradamus" Cioffi, who told ESPN.com, "My guess is yes they will cancel. Rain develops by 5 p.m. then heavy rain [Wednesday] night." Who are we to argue with Joestradamus?
Atlanta is red hot right now and Washington has lost 4 of their last 5. Got to go with Teheran here over Austin Voth. Voth earned his chance to stick as the teamâ€™s fifth starter after tossing six innings of two-run ball with seven strikeouts on June 23 against the Braves in his 2019 debut. Give me ATL -136 all day long.
this is a great dog spot. Giolito was once considered the front runner for the Cy young but had some mid season skids that set him back. Teheran has his moments but this guy can get rocked and i've seen this sox team come alive. I'm taking the plus odds
DODGERS MAX BET - In four June starts, Greinke is 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA. He faced the Dodgers on Opening Day and allowed four homers. Clayton Kershaw is coming off seven dazzling scoreless innings against the Giants and he's getting an extra day of rest for this start.
Bailey gave up 0 runs in 7 innings pitched against Cleveland. Domingo German is one fo the Yankees aces but at -200, I think the betting value is with KC +180. If Bailey pitches descent then this should be a low scoring game. Heavy on UNDERS and chip bet on KC +180
Arizona State is on the bubble and they need to get past the Bruins otherwise they might be headed to the NIT. UCLA looked good at times against Stanford, but they are young and the Bruins have struggled against the spread, losing five of their last six neutral site games. Neither team plays much defense so expect to see some offense tonight, but in the end it's too much offense from Luguentz and Remy tonight.
When these teams met last month, it was decided by just two points. Also both recently played Oral Roberts, Bison won by 15 and Leathernecks won by 9. Western Illinois is the better rested team here tonight- don't love it but I'm taking the points.
As solid as Memphis is on defense, they're going against Stephanie, Klay, and Cupcake/Snake...they can put up points on any defense. This double digit spread is plausible as I think Warriors will take care of business but imo this Over/Under is kinda low.
The Hawks were supposed to fall apart when the Legion of Boom disbanded. That collapse never happened as expected- Bobby Wagner has anchored a defense that has been good enough to power Seattle to the 10th-best point differential in the league. Both teams are fighting for wild-card spots, so there is plenty of motivation to go around, should be a good game but Seattle has the better offense, better defense and playing at home. Easy decision for me.
Rosen is showing that heâ€™s a rookie QB who needs a lot of work and this Cards offense is the worst in the NFL. I fully expect the Chargers to bounce back in strong fashion after that ugly loss in Denver. Joey Bosa will be revved up and a little angrier after the loss to the Broncos. Chargers win 31-14.
Nathan Eovaldi was originally expected to start for Boston tonight but he pitched in relief again in Game 3, the third time in three games this series, which rules him out for Game 4 tonight. Instead, the Red Sox figure to roll with Drew Pomeranz or Chris Sale on short rest. Rich Hill is expected to go for the Dodgers. He posted a 3.66 ERA during the regular season and he has only allowed 3 runs in 10 post season innings. I'm going to pick the Dodgers to win Game 4 because I don't trust Pomeranz and I don't trust short-rest Sale given his velocity issues since coming back from the DL. Dodgers win tonight 6-3.