Ok, Yanks are skidding after a long winning streak...playoffs are coming...
Toronto has plenty of weapons to do damage. Yanks are at home, so lets look to say, Yanks win 4-2. I am definitely pushing the under here.
Taillion needs to go at least 6+, Yanks pen is a mess. Look for him to bounce back a bit, after a rough last 3 starts, which saw him last on avg of 4.2 innings...and letting up 14 earned runs over that span. He has a decent amount of K's 15 over those games, but it takes more than that to get the W!
Taillon has been pretty solid of late - last 3 games he's only given up 3 runs over 18 innings of work. But Zach Thompson comes into this game with an ERA of 2.45 and will get more run support from his offense. Yankees at -145 are over priced yet again.
Itâ€™s a tight line, but betting on the Suns as underdogs is not going to be an opportunity that presents itself often. But after watching five games, Iâ€™m not sure Phoenix has the closers on its roster to see this series, especially not on the road. With that, the +420 return on the Clippers to win this series looks very attractive. If ever there was a team still remaining in the postseason that could battle back from a 3-1 deficit and win, I think it's the Clippers. LA have already gone into Dallas for Game 6 facing elimination and come out on top. They also won four straight against a Jazz team. Thereâ€™s no way Iâ€™m betting against Paul George at the very least extending this series to a seventh game.
The Clippers have been in all three of their losses as the average margin in their 3 losses is 3.75 points. If they would have made a few more free throws this series could easily be 3-1 LA. Hoping this number goes back to 6 or 6.5 before tip but I like LA and the points here.
Baltimore has lost 13 of their last 14 games, but I think they are still better than what we've seen over the past month. Dean Kremer is 0-6 this season but he has been improved in his last 2 starts. Plus the O's actually have the higher rated pen here in this matchups. Bottomline - Anthony Kay is abysmal as well and I just don't think Toronto deserves to be -193 favorites here. Playing Baltimore +175 and Baltimore +1.5 (+110). Let's Go O's!
The T-wolves have won four games in a row and they have proven that when healthy they are a team that can compete. I'll ride the hot hand and sticking with Minnesota here...maybe something small on the ML.
The Suns are playing great basketball and getting great contributions from Ayton. They have not lost at home since March 19, a 10-game streak. The Spurs have struggled against teams in the West overall, going 14-20 in such games. Since March 23, the Suns have alternated covering the spread and then not covering it, a stretch of 14 games. They did not cover the spread in their win over the Sacramento Kings, they are due to cover tonight.
This spread feels about spot on and you could make a case for either side. Iâ€™m going to stick with Clemson. The Tigers had been playing pretty well defensively in their 5-0 stretch, allowing 61 or fewer points in four of those matchups. As for Pitt, theyâ€™ve had a few good scoring outings here and there but have been pretty choppy when it comes to allowing points. Clemson is has been the more consistent team this season, but 8 points is a tough number.
South Carolina struggles this season come from the defensive end, allowing 78.6 points per game ranking 325th in the country in scoring defense. Opponents are shooting 46% from the field and 36.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 287th and 302nd respectively. The Gamecocks are 93rd in KenPom adjusted defense.
Kentucky and their high-profile, athletic recruits have managed to be a solid defense allowing 70.3 points per game ranking 181st in the nation in scoring defense. Kentucky is blocking a nationâ€™s best 6.1 shots per game, and holding opponents to 41.1% from the field, 61st in field-goal defense. Kentucky is 31st in KenPom adjusted defense.
Although Kentucky has struggled on the offensive end, they should be able to find some success against the dismal South Carolina defense. The Gamecocks have lost eight of their last nine games and the matchup of Kentuckyâ€™s solid defense vs South Carolinaâ€™s offense is won by the Wildcats as they get the win at home.
West Virginia is playing well with the firepower and offensive push to keep up the pace. Itâ€™s as consistent a shooting team as any in the country, and itâ€™s amazing on the offensive glass averaging a whopping 13.5 rebounds per game.
How did Kansas roll the Bears? The defense was a big factor, but it also came up with 12 offensive rebounds and won the rebounding margin by 18. West Virginia will ramp up the production down the stretch to pull off the home upset against a Baylor team thatâ€™s not quite back at full strength.
I predict the Mountaineers hand Baylor their 2nd loss in row.
Clemson dropped out of this weekâ€™s Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll after suffering three straight losses (by an average margin of 24 points) from Jan. 16-23. The Blue Devils are 1-6 ATS over their last seven games as a home fav but they are averaging 76 points per game and as bad as Duke has been this season I like them at home today to get the win and cover.
Utah has been lights out defensively and Pelicans have been running warm or cold offensively. The Pelicans clearly have an advantage on the boards with Adams and Williamson, but the Jazz have three capable scoring guards in Mitchell, Conley, and Clarkson, and Rudy Gobert is one of the best rim protectors and rebounders in the league. Utah has won and covered their last 5 games, got to follow the trends here.
Look for Nevada to find success with their passing game, as QB Carson Strong is one of the top quarterbacks in the Mountain West Conference. Tulaneâ€™s pass defense allowed 279.4 passing yards per game, just 115th in the nation. Nevada could win this game especially with not having Johnson or Williams (and potentially Sample) up front today.
The Chargers have played all three games down to a single score, so you know they love a white-knuckler. But last Sunday Teddy Bridgewater completed 78 percent of his passes against the already-depleted Chargers secondary, which has been without All-Pro safety Derwin James. The bad news got worse when cornerback Chris Harris Jr. went down with a foot injury that landed him on injured reserve where he will miss at least four games. He's one of five defensive starters currently on IR for the Bolts. Ugh that's tough to bet on.
Old man Tom Brady and the Bucs looked stout against Denver and with all of the injuries to Chargers, I'm laying the touchdown...