Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs
Cal Poly MustangsPredictions & Preview

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Look to Extend Winning Streak Against Cal Poly Mustangs

On Thursday, the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (13-9, 5-6 BW) will take on the Cal Poly Mustangs (8-15, 2-9 BW) at the Motts Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, California. Hawaii comes into the game following a convincing win against CSU Fullerton, snapping a three-game losing streak. They currently sit 5 games behind first place in the Big West conference. On the other hand, Cal Poly suffered a loss to UC Riverside, ending a two-game winning streak. The Mustangs have struggled recently, losing eight of their last 10 games and are eight games behind first place in the conference. Both teams are injury-free heading into the matchup. Hawaii is the betting favorite at -2, with the line remaining steady. For a detailed prediction of the Hawaiian Rainbow Warriors vs Cal Poly Mustangs game, be sure to check out our analysis.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Rainbow Warriors -125 | Mustangs +104
• Spread: Rainbow Warriors -2 (-110) | Mustangs +2 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 152 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Hawaii will win straight-up is 56%.

Hawaii vs Cal Poly Stats

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have an average of 72.4 points per game, ranking them 239th in scoring offense. On defense, they allow an average of 69.8 points per game, ranking them 126th in scoring defense. The team shoots 46.0% overall and 33.4% from 3-point territory, ranking 117th and 208th respectively. Hawaii's defense holds opponents to 42.8% shooting overall and 34.1% from 3-point territory, ranking 135th and 230th. Gytis Nemeiksa is the team's leading scorer with an average of 12.5 points per game on 50.3% shooting. Tanner Christensen is second in scoring, averaging 10.6 points per game on 60.5% shooting. Kody Williams leads in assists with 1.9 per game, and Christensen leads in rebounds with 7.2 per game. The Rainbow Warriors have a power ranking of 126, ranking 238th in offense and 128th in defense. They have a 13-9 record this season. Offensively, they shoot 46.02% from the field and 72.69% from the free-throw line. Defensively, they allow opponents to shoot 42.78% from the field and 73.38% from the free-throw line.

Cal Poly Mustangs Analysis

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a power ranking of 352 and are currently ranked 76th in offense, scoring an average of 78.87 points per game. However, their defense is ranked 361st, allowing an average of 84.00 points per game. The team has a record of 8-15 overall. The Mustangs shoot 44.97% from the field and 33.75% from three-point range, ranking 170th and 190th respectively. On defense, they allow opponents to shoot 45.84% from the field and 34.87% from beyond the arc, ranking 303rd and 273rd. Owen Koonce leads the team in scoring with an average of 17.3 points per game, followed by Jarred Hyder with 13.3 points per game. Hyder also leads in assists with 3.2 per game. The team averages 35.3 rebounds per game, with Koonce leading in that category as well with 5.3 rebounds per game. Isaac Jessup leads in steals with 1.7 per game, while Mac Rinker averages 0.8 blocked shots per game.

Hawaii's Defensive Dominance Shines in Victory Over Cal Poly

The primary disparity between these two teams lies in their respective defensive capabilities. Hawaii's defense limits opposing teams to an average of 69.8 points per game on 42.8% shooting, whereas Cal Poly allows an average of 84.0 points per game on 45.8% shooting. Of particular concern is Cal Poly's weak perimeter defense, as they allow opponents to shoot 34.9% from beyond the arc. These defensive deficiencies have resulted in Cal Poly failing to cover the spread in seven of their last ten games. On the offensive end, Hawaii averages 72.4 points per game with solid shooting percentages of 46.0% overall and 33.4% from three-point range. In their previous matchup, Hawaii emerged victorious with a 68-55 win, holding Cal Poly to 34% shooting overall and 23% from three-point territory. Additionally, Hawaii outrebounded Cal Poly 41-31, including eight offensive rebounds, providing the Rainbow Warriors with numerous second-chance opportunities.

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