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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. UC San Diego Tritons vs Cal Poly Mustangs
Thu 10:00 PM ET
UC San Diego Tritons logo
UC San Diego
Tritons81
23-11
versus
Cal Poly Mustangs logo
Cal Poly
Mustangs67
14-19
Final
Team12T
UC San Diego Tritons423981
Cal Poly Mustangs343367
NCAAB · UC San Diego Tritons at Cal Poly Mustangs

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UC San Diego Tritons vs Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 20, 2025 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Mott Athletics Center — San Luis Obispo, CA

Article updated Feb 20, 1:15 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In this UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly prediction, the (22-4, 12-2 Big West) UC San Diego team will face off against the (10-16, 4-10 Big West) Cal Poly team in an in-state

Game outlook

In this UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly prediction, the (22-4, 12-2 Big West) UC San Diego team will face off against the (10-16, 4-10 Big West) Cal Poly team in an in-state conference battle. UC San Diego previously defeated Cal Poly by 27 points earlier this season. UC San Diego is coming off a dominant 85-60 victory against UC Davis, while Cal Poly recently lost a close game to Cal State Northridge. The current betting line favors UC San Diego at -13.5. Tipoff is set for 10:00 EST. Keep reading for more insights on this upcoming matchup.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Tritons -950 | Mustangs +615

Spread: Tritons -13.5 (-110) | Mustangs +13.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 159.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that UC San Diego will win straight-up is 90%.

UC San Diego Tritons

UC San Diego Tritons are currently tied at the top of the Big West with UC Irvine, with both teams having 12-2 records. The Tritons have won their last seven games, including four out of their last five away games. In their most recent game, they were led by senior guard Tyler McGhie, who scored 22 points and had five assists. McGhie is the second leading scorer for the team at 16.8 PPG. Their top scorer is Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones, a senior guard averaging 19.8 PPG. Nordin Kapic, a junior forward, is the top frontcourt player for the team. Ranked 40th overall according to KenPom, UC San Diego is projected to be an 11-seed in the NCAA Tournament. Their offensive and defensive rankings are 44 and 11, respectively. Offensively, they are shooting 46.57% from the field and 75.61% from the free-throw line. Defensively, they are allowing 40.83% of field goals and 72.80% of free throws. The Tritons have been strong on the boards, averaging 33.76 rebounds per game. To secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament, they may need to win the Big West Tournament.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Cal Poly Mustangs Analysis

The Cal Poly Mustangs have faced a challenging season, starting with a series of losses but managing to win some key games recently to improve their standing in the league. Owen Koonce has been a standout player for the team, leading in scoring and rebounding. He is supported by Jarred Hyder and Isaac Jessup, who have also made consistent contributions to the team's performance. Despite their efforts, the Mustangs still have a way to go to advance further in the season. Their offensive and defensive stats show areas for improvement, particularly in field goal percentage and defensive rebounds. Cal Poly will need to continue their strong performance and potentially win the conference tournament to move forward in March.

Cal Poly Mustangs Poised to Cover Point Spread in Upcoming Game

The Mustangs have demonstrated their ability to score efficiently in the current game, indicating a strong likelihood of meeting the point spread as they exhibit improved performance on the court. Despite experiencing a challenging start with eight consecutive conference game losses, Cal Poly has recently displayed a notable turnaround by securing victories in four out of their last six matchups, showcasing a heightened level of competition. Noteworthy triumphs against Bakersfield and Hawaii, both teams ranked ahead in the standings, underscore the team's resurgence. With a fast-paced guard-oriented approach that ranks them third nationally in pace of play, Cal Poly poses a formidable challenge for opponents. In contrast, UC San Diego's preference for a slower tempo may be disrupted by Cal Poly's relentless tempo, impacting their strategic game plan. The scenario presents UC San Diego with a potential pitfall of underestimating their opponents, risking a failure to cover the spread even in the event of a victory. Cal Poly's recent track record of covering in five of their last six games further supports the projection of another successful cover in this instance. I recommend taking Cal Poly to cover in this game.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#UCSanDiegoTritons#CalPolyMustangs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Tritons vs Mustangs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Tritons vs Mustangs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · UC San Diego Tritons-950 → -950Unchanged
  • Moneyline · Cal Poly Mustangs+615 → +600Moved
  • Spread · UC San Diego Tritons-13 (-110) → -12.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Cal Poly Mustangs+13 (-110) → +12.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over160.5 (-110) → 160.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under160.5 (-110) → 160.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

UC San Diego Tritons
23-11 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cal Poly Mustangs
14-19 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-02-20T06:15:23.953Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-01-09Cal Poly Mustangs 68 · UC San Diego Tritons 95
  • 2024-03-09Cal Poly Mustangs 87 · UC San Diego Tritons 92
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 81-67

UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 81-67 on February 20, 2025, a 14-point decision in the series. UC San Diego Tritons' strongest period was the 1st half, when it outscored its opponent 42-34. Against SportsJaw's recorded UC San Diego Tritons -12.5 (-110) spread, UC San Diego Tritons covered, while the 148 combined points finished under the recorded total of 160.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

No graded public tipster picks were recorded for this matchup.