UC San Diego Tritons vs
Cal Poly MustangsPredictions & Preview

UC San Diego Favored to Win Against Cal Poly in Big West Showdownemer,_prediction=true

In this UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly prediction, the (22-4, 12-2 Big West) UC San Diego team will face off against the (10-16, 4-10 Big West) Cal Poly team in an in-state conference battle. UC San Diego previously defeated Cal Poly by 27 points earlier this season. UC San Diego is coming off a dominant 85-60 victory against UC Davis, while Cal Poly recently lost a close game to Cal State Northridge. The current betting line favors UC San Diego at -13.5. Tipoff is set for 10:00 EST. Keep reading for more insights on this upcoming matchup.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Tritons -950 | Mustangs +615
• Spread: Tritons -13.5 (-110) | Mustangs +13.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 159.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that UC San Diego will win straight-up is 90%.

UC San Diego vs Cal Poly Stats

UC San Diego Tritons

UC San Diego Tritons are currently tied at the top of the Big West with UC Irvine, with both teams having 12-2 records. The Tritons have won their last seven games, including four out of their last five away games. In their most recent game, they were led by senior guard Tyler McGhie, who scored 22 points and had five assists. McGhie is the second leading scorer for the team at 16.8 PPG. Their top scorer is Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones, a senior guard averaging 19.8 PPG. Nordin Kapic, a junior forward, is the top frontcourt player for the team. Ranked 40th overall according to KenPom, UC San Diego is projected to be an 11-seed in the NCAA Tournament. Their offensive and defensive rankings are 44 and 11, respectively. Offensively, they are shooting 46.57% from the field and 75.61% from the free-throw line. Defensively, they are allowing 40.83% of field goals and 72.80% of free throws. The Tritons have been strong on the boards, averaging 33.76 rebounds per game. To secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament, they may need to win the Big West Tournament.

Cal Poly Mustangs Analysis

The Cal Poly Mustangs have faced a challenging season, starting with a series of losses but managing to win some key games recently to improve their standing in the league. Owen Koonce has been a standout player for the team, leading in scoring and rebounding. He is supported by Jarred Hyder and Isaac Jessup, who have also made consistent contributions to the team's performance. Despite their efforts, the Mustangs still have a way to go to advance further in the season. Their offensive and defensive stats show areas for improvement, particularly in field goal percentage and defensive rebounds. Cal Poly will need to continue their strong performance and potentially win the conference tournament to move forward in March.

Cal Poly Mustangs Poised to Cover Point Spread in Upcoming Game

The Mustangs have demonstrated their ability to score efficiently in the current game, indicating a strong likelihood of meeting the point spread as they exhibit improved performance on the court. Despite experiencing a challenging start with eight consecutive conference game losses, Cal Poly has recently displayed a notable turnaround by securing victories in four out of their last six matchups, showcasing a heightened level of competition. Noteworthy triumphs against Bakersfield and Hawaii, both teams ranked ahead in the standings, underscore the team's resurgence. With a fast-paced guard-oriented approach that ranks them third nationally in pace of play, Cal Poly poses a formidable challenge for opponents. In contrast, UC San Diego's preference for a slower tempo may be disrupted by Cal Poly's relentless tempo, impacting their strategic game plan. The scenario presents UC San Diego with a potential pitfall of underestimating their opponents, risking a failure to cover the spread even in the event of a victory. Cal Poly's recent track record of covering in five of their last six games further supports the projection of another successful cover in this instance. I recommend taking Cal Poly to cover in this game.

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