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Tue Feb 13 7:00PM

Iowa St. Cyclones vs
Cincinnati BearcatsPredictions & Preview

#14 Iowa State Cyclones to Face Cincinnati Bearcats in Highly Anticipated Big 12 Basketball Matchup

On Tuesday night, the #14 Iowa State Cyclones will be facing off against the Cincinnati Bearcats in an anticipated Big 12 basketball matchup. Iowa State, with a record of 18-5, demonstrated its strength in a recent home victory over TCU where they won 71-59 as 8.5-point favorites. Cincinnati, on the other hand, put up a valiant fight against #5 Houston, losing 67-62 but managing to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. This is the sole meeting between these teams this season, as Cincinnati was not yet part of the Big 12 last year. The game is scheduled to tip off at 7:00 EST at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati and will be broadcast on ESPN2. Currently, Cincinnati is considered the betting favorite, opening at -1 and with the current line at Cincinnati -1.5.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Cyclones +110 | Bearcats -128
  • Spread: Cyclones +1.5 (-110) | Bearcats -1.5 (-110)
  • Total: Over/Under 137 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cincinnati will win straight-up is 56%.

Iowa St. vs Cincinnati Stats

Cyclones vs Bearcats prediction infographic
View stats & injuries for Cyclones vs Bearcats

Iowa St. Cyclones

The Iowa State Cyclones have seen significant success recently, rising to 14th in the AP Polls and performing well in conference play. They have won five out of their last six games, with their only loss being a narrow defeat to #18 Baylor on the road. Notably, they have defeated two ranked opponents, #19 TCU and #7 Kansas. In their most recent game against TCU, forward Tre King led the team with 15 points in a victory.

Key players for the Cyclones include junior guard Keshon Gilbert, who leads the team in scoring with 13.9 points per game. Gilbert also contributes 4.7 rebounds per game and 4.2 assists per game. Another important player is sophomore point guard Tamin Lipsey, who averages 13.2 points per game and stands out with impressive statistics such as 5.6 assists per game, 5.0 rebounds per game, and 3.0 steals per game. Freshman Milan Momcilovic is the team's top shooter, with 45 made threes on a 40.2% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. Senior Curtis Jones provides additional scoring from the wing, averaging 9.8 points per game.

Statistically, the Cyclones are ranked 9th overall according to KenPom. They excel defensively, ranking 3rd in efficiency, while their offense ranks 45th in efficiency. Their style of play is not particularly fast-paced, as they have the 165th fastest tempo in college basketball. In terms of projected performance, they are currently predicted to be a four seed in the NCAA Tournament according to Bracketology. There are no reported injuries that would impact the team's depth chart.

In terms of overall performance, the Cyclones have a power ranking of 73. They rank 56th in offense, scoring an average of 79.41 points per game, and 7th in defense, allowing an average of 62.27 points per game. Offensively, they have a shooting percentage of 47.55% from the field, 68.73% from the free-throw line, and 35.51% from three-point range. They average 35.50 rebounds per game and have 16.77 offensive assists and 10.95 turnovers per game. Defensively, they allow opponents to shoot 40.19% from the field, 72.34% from the free-

Cincinnati Bearcats Analysis

The Big 12 conference has a strong presence this year with 14 members, and it is anticipated that 10 of them will receive bids to the NCAA Tournament. Despite their current 4-6 conference record, Cincinnati is still projected to secure one of the remaining at-large bids. Their fate in the tournament can swing depending on their performance in upcoming games. In their previous match against Houston, guard Dan Skillings Jr. led the Bearcats with 13 points, although they ultimately lost.

Cincinnati relies on a balanced offensive strategy, with five players contributing between 9.3 and 12.2 points per game (PPG). Skillings Jr. leads the team in scoring with an average of 12.2 PPG and also contributes 6.0 rebounds per game (RPG). He has maintained strong scoring performances in his last five games, including a 21-point game against UCF. Viktor Lakhin, a 6'11 center from Russia, is the second-highest scorer with 11.1 PPG and 7.0 RPG. However, he has struggled recently, only scoring a total of four points in the past three games. Day Day Thomas, a 6'0 junior point guard, leads the team in assists with an average of 3.2 per game and also contributes 10.7 PPG. The top shooter on the team is Simus Lukosius, a 6'8 junior forward, who has made 39 three-pointers this season while averaging 9.3 PPG.

According to KenPom rankings, Cincinnati currently holds the 32nd overall position. They rank 66th in offensive efficiency and 20th in defensive efficiency. Their playing style is slightly slower, as they rank 199th in tempo. In the current Bracketology predictions, Cincinnati is listed in the "Last Four In" section as a 10-seed in the First Four.

Injury Report: G CJ Fredrick (6.9 PPG) is out.

Analyzing their overall performance, the Cincinnati Bearcats have a power ranking of 157. Offensively, they are ranked 101st, averaging 76.95 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked 57th, allowing an average of 66.82 points per game. They hold an overall record of 15-8 (12-11 against the spread). In their last three matchups against Iowa

Iowa State Listed as Underdog, Presents Favorable Betting Opportunity Against Uncertain Cincinnati

As of the most recent update on Monday night, it is worth noting that Iowa State is currently listed as a one-point underdog, presenting an opportunity for Cyclone supporters to benefit from a potentially more favorable moneyline. It is important to recognize that Iowa State has significantly outperformed Cincinnati in conference play this season, securing the second position in the rankings while Cincinnati languishes in the eleventh spot. Furthermore, Iowa State has demonstrated their ability to flourish in away games, defeating higher-ranked teams in the Big 12 standings such as Texas and TCU on the road. However, there appears to be some uncertainty surrounding Cincinnati, particularly regarding their top player Viktor Lakhin, who has experienced limited playing time and failed to score in two of his last three games despite being free from any injuries. Additionally, Cincinnati lacks a reliable standout player capable of taking charge during critical moments. In light of these factors, it is reasonable to anticipate that Iowa State's recent successes, winning five out of their last six games and covering the spread in the same number of instances, will persist in this matchup. Overall, it is advisable to place your faith in Iowa State to emerge victorious.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 4 ] [ 5 ]

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