| Â | 1 | 2 | T | ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUBRN | 29 | 48 | 77 | 142 |
| W.VA | 45 | 35 | 80 | -4 |
Auburn vs West Virginia Prediction, Odds and Best Bets
Auburn is on the road playing West Virginia at the WVU Coliseum stadium on Saturday, 1/28/2023 @ 12:00pm EST. West Virginia -3.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.
In an SEC/PAC 12 Challenge, the West Virginia Mountaineers (12-8) will host the Auburn Tigers (16-4). The last time these two Power-5 schools met on the hardwood was in 2007, when West Virginia won 88-59.
The Auburn Tigers are looking to bounce back from their loss
Despite losses to Memphis and USC, Auburn started the season 10-2 in non-conference play. Auburn has a 6-2 record in the SEC. Despite winning five straight games, Texas A&M defeated them 79-63 on Wednesday. With just 3 of 16 three-point attempts from the floor, Auburn struggled from long range against the Aggies. After Tennessee, Alabama, and Arkansas, the Tigers are ranked 24th according to KenPom. The Tigers rank 15th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 66th in adjusted offensive efficiency. Ranking 15th in the AP Top 25, they are a bit higher than last year. As of today, Auburn would be a No. 7 seed in the NCAA Tournament, according to Joe Lunardi.
Their record is better than theirs
West Virginia had a successful start to the season with 10-2 in non-conference play, with two losses coming against Purdue (No. 5 KenPom) and Xavier (No. 19 KenPom). Since losing their first five games of the season, West Virginia has won two of their last three games in the Pac 12. As a 3.5-point road dog, the Mountaineers defeated Texas Tech 76-61 on Wednesday. West Virginia's bench scored 50 of the team's 76 points, led by Joe Toussaint's 22. On the season, Toussaint averages 10.6 points per game, which is the third highest point total on the team. According to Joe Lunardi, the Mountaineers are projected to be a No. 11 seed in the NCAA Tournament if the season ends today. Their adjusted offensive efficiency is 27th, their defensive efficiency is 37th, and their strength of schedule ranks 10th.
As rated by the College Basketball Power Index, West Virginia has faced the No. 7 strength of schedule, while Auburn has faced the No. 63 strength of schedule. Despite the tough competition, the Mountaineers are better at protecting the basketball, shooting twos, shooting threes, and making free throws than the Tigers. Additionally, West Virginia has the advantage of home court, defense, and rebounding. Wins and losses heavily influence public perception of West Virginia, despite their good metrics. Despite their current record, the Mountaineers need a win like this in order to make their case for a possible NCAA at-large bid before they get back to their Big 12 schedule. Auburn falls short because it has not been battle-tested as much as West Virginia.
Auburn Highlights
With a power ranking of 102, Auburn is ranked #168 in offense (scoring an average of 72.15 per game), #34 in defense (allowing an average of 63.40 points to be scored against them per game) and are 16-4 (9-11 ATS) this season.
West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia Mountaineers has a power ranking of 276 and are #67 for offense (scoring an average of 76.95 per game), #168 for defense (giving up an average of 63.40 points per game) and 12-8 (10-10 ATS) overall. Auburn went 1-0 (1-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against West Virginia.
Curated Picks & Predictions
- From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be AUBRN 74.5, W.VA 67.5.
- The SportsJaw community predicts Auburn Tigers to cover (54%)
- OddsShark predicts Auburn will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.
- 66% picked Auburn Tigers on Covers.com
- Our ScoreCaster predicts Tigers 75 to Mountaineers 67.
Staff Prediction
Our prediction: Tigers 75 to Mountaineers 67.
Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAB Predictions
Current Odds[ - ]
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Power Rankings[ - ]
Last 10 Games Stats[ + ]
Auburn
West Virginia
Betting Trends[ + ]
Auburn Tigers
- Auburn are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games.
- Auburn are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
- Auburn are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games played in January.
- Auburn are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games played on a Saturday.
- Auburn are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Saturday when playing on the road.
West Virginia Mountaineers
- West Virginia are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 7 games.
- West Virginia are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
- West Virginia are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
- West Virginia are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
- West Virginia are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games played in January.
- West Virginia are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games played on a Saturday.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of West Virginia's last 7 games played on a Saturday when at home.
Injuries[ - ]
Auburn
- There are no injuries listed at this time
West Virginia
Infographics & Predictions[ - ]
I like Auburn on the road to cover here today! They are 4-1 ATS their last 5 on the road & 8-2 ATS their last 10 after a straight up loss! While WVU is 3-4 ATS their last 10 overall, & 1-5 ATS their last 6 home games! Plus I think the SEC is going to prove that they are a really strong conference in this SEC-Big12 challenge!!!!!!
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Win
1 MO
The Mountaineers have a slightly better offense and the Tigers have a slightly better defense. The Mountaineers won more games straight up and against the spread over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Tigers 74 to Mountaineers 68.
1 MO