Cincinnati Reds vs
Cleveland GuardiansPredictions & Preview

Cincinnati Reds Look to Continue Dominance Over Cleveland Guardians in Two-Game Series Opener

On Tuesday evening, the Cincinnati Reds (76-81) will face off against the Cleveland Guardians (90-67) in the first game of their two-game series at Progressive Field. The Reds will have Jakob Junis on the mound, boasting a 4-0 record and a 2.61 ERA in his six starts in 2024. The Guardians will counter with Tanner Bibee, who holds an 11-8 record and a 3.56 ERA in his 30 starts this season. The Reds and Guardians previously split a series played in Cincinnati. The game is scheduled for 6:40 PM Eastern time, with Cleveland opening as the betting favorite at -164. The line has remained unchanged as of now.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Reds +145 | Guardians -164
• Spread: Reds +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+130)
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cleveland will win straight-up is 62%.

Cincinnati vs Cleveland Stats

Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds were unable to complete a sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates, ultimately falling 2-0 in the series finale. Leadoff hitter Jonathan India managed two of the team's three hits in the game. Despite a strong pitching performance from Hunter Greene, who returned from the IL, the Reds could not secure the win. The team's pitching staff has shown improvement recently, holding opponents to three runs or less in three consecutive games. However, the Reds currently rank 19th in the majors in ERA with 4.12. Reds manager David Bell has been fired with five games left in the season, as the team's playoff drought continues since 2012. Key injuries are not affecting the team at this time. The team is ranked 14th in power ranking, with an offense averaging 4.44 runs per game and a defense allowing 4.34 runs per game. Their current record for the season is 76-81.

Cleveland Guardians Analysis

Over the weekend, the AL Central-leading Guardians suffered a series loss to the Cardinals, including a close 2-1 defeat in the finale. Despite a strong performance from starter Gavin Williams, who limited the Cardinals to one run over 5.2 innings, reliever Tim Herrin took his first loss of the season. The Guardians struggled offensively, only scoring one run on a squeeze bunt by Austin Hedges in the sixth inning. The team has already secured the AL Central title and is aiming for a first-round bye in the playoffs. However, their offense has been struggling recently, scoring two runs or less in three of their last four games. Outfielder Steven Kwan remains on the IL with a back injury. Looking ahead, the Guardians are ranked 10th in power rankings and 15th in offense, averaging 4.43 runs per game. They have a strong defense, ranking 3rd in the league, giving up an average of 3.89 runs per game. The team's overall record is 90-67. In their previous matchup against Cincinnati, the Guardians went 2-1. Starter Bibee has faced the Reds once before, with a 0-2 record, 3.57 ERA, and 1.19 WHIP in three prior starts.

Cincinnati Reds Poised for Victory Against Cleveland Guardians on the Road

The Cincinnati Reds have demonstrated a strong record against the Cleveland Guardians, winning five out of their previous eight matchups, with a particular advantage at Progressive Field where they won three out of four games. Reds pitchers have shown proficiency while playing away from home, ranking seventh in the league with a 3.71 ERA. In contrast, the Guardians have struggled to perform offensively at home, batting .234 with a .386 slugging percentage in their past ten games, consistently scoring fewer than three runs in their last five games at Progressive Field. Additionally, the Reds have been successful in covering the spread this season, boasting a 55.2% win rate against teams with sub-.500 records. Considering these statistics and trends, it is advisable to bet on a Cincinnati victory against the spread on the road this Tuesday.

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