Preview & PredictionsMinnesota Twins vs
Cincinnati Reds

9/19/2023 @ 6:40PM

Minnesota Twins Injury Report Significantly Changes Chances of Victory over Cincinnati Reds

CF Byron Buxton, 2B Luis Arraez, DH Nelson Cruz, and 1B CJ Cron are all sidelined for Minnesota. Cincinnati's injuries include CF Nick Senzel, LF Jesse Winker, and C Tucker Barnhart, with C Curt Casali being questionable.

Game Info

• When: Tuesday, 9/19/2023 @ 6:40pm EST
• Where: Great American Ball Park Stadium

Twins vs Reds Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Twins -145 | Reds +132
• Spread: Twins -1.5 (+105) | Reds +1.5 (-121)
• Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Minnesota will win straight-up is 59%.

Minnesota vs Cincinnati Score Prediction

Minnesota Twins

• Twins won 3 of 4 games against White Sox with a comfortable seven-game lead in the AL Central over second-place Cleveland • 12th in offense with 4.70 runs per game, 21st in batting average (.242); 10th in OPS (.747), 5th in homers (213) and 23rd in stolen bases (81) • 6th in pitching staff ERA (3.89); 4th in WHIP (1.20); league-leading 72 quality starts • Maeda 2-5 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in 11 road outings this season; picked up a win over Chicago in last start, holding the Southsiders to two runs and four hits with eight strikeouts in seven frames • Power ranking of 2; 79-72 this season

Cincinnati Reds Analysis

In Cincinnati's return from the 15-day injured list, they allowed 3 runs and 4 hits in 4.1 innings versus the Tigers.

-Cincinnati went 2-1 against the Mets in New York -The Reds rank #11 in Offense and #23 in Defense -Cincinnati averages 4.7 runs per game and have a .737 OPS -The Reds have hit 176 dingers and stolen 173 bases this season -Their pitching staffsports a 4.72 ERA and 1.41 WHIP -Lively is 2-2 with a 3.93 ERA and 1.14 WHIP at home -Cincinnati overall is 79-73

Minnesota Shines over Cincinnati in Tuesday Matchup Thanks to Maeda's Dominance

On Tuesday, Minnesota appears to have the edge against Cincinnati based on Maeda's recent success against Chicago, striking out eight batters for the first time since July 24. Whereas in the second half of the season, the Reds have posted a .233 batting average/.305 on-base percentage/.405 slugging percentage/.710 OPS in 60 games played and the Twins a .262/.349/.460/.809 this month. Furthermore, with the Reds' decimated starting rotation and Lively having given up 13 runs on 13 hits in one of his three August outings, backing Minnesota appears to be the most logical move.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] [ 4 ]

Written by Mikehuff
Published on 09/19/2023
Category: MLB Picks

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