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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Tue 7:20 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies3
C. Sanchez LHP
versus
Atlanta Braves logo
Atlanta
Braves9
S. Strider RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Philadelphia Phillies0000030003
Atlanta Braves10024

Phillies Take Central Matchup with Braves, Narrow Wild Card Race

Game time: September 19, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET

Venue: Truist Park — Atlanta, Georgia

Article updated Sep 18, 6:20 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Although they have gone 7-3 against the Phillies over the season, the teams split a four-game series in May, suggesting a competitive match-up. The game starts at 7:20PM

Game outlook

Although they have gone 7-3 against the Phillies over the season, the teams split a four-game series in May, suggesting a competitive match-up. The game starts at 7:20PM EST.

Game Info

When: Tuesday, 9/19/2023 @ 7:20pm EST

Where: Truist Park Stadium Phillies vs Braves Betting Odds Moneyline: Phillies +194 | Braves -215

Spread: Phillies +1.5 (-110) | Braves -1.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Atlanta will win straight-up is 68%.

Philadelphia Phillies

•Philadelphia won two of three games vs. St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend •Offense scored five or more runs in each game of the series •Phillies sit in 1st place in NL Wild Card standings (3.5 game lead) •Enyel Sanchez has produced a 82-68 record, 3.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP over previous three starts •No reported injuries that will affect the offense •Philadelphia ranked 9th in offense (4.90 avg. points per game), 13th in defense (4.41 avg. points against per game), and an overall 81-68 record this season Bohm Run! #RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/OCGFa4J2Pf

Atlanta Braves Analysis

• Atlanta Braves have been swept by the Miami Marlins during a three-game road series, allowing 36 runs total • Charlie Morton was hit hard, allowing six earned runs on eight hits and five walks • The Braves are playoff-bound and resting certain starters, including Ronald Acuna, Jr, is day-to-day with a calf injury • Strider has a 95-54-1 record with a 6.32 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in his previous three starts • Atlanta are 17th in power ranking with an average of 5.83 runs per game and 8th for defense, allowing 4.26 runs per game • Philadelphia Phillies have 2-1 record in their previous three matchups against Atlanta EDDIE!!! @eddierosario09 | #ForTheA pic.twitter.com/BoBrB94x6K

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MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

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Phillies Poised to Take Showdown with Braves at Truist Park, Narrow Wild Card Race

Sanchez has been highly efficient on the road this season, with a 1.29 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in his four starts. In 21 innings pitched, he's allowed only 12 hits and one home run. The Phillies have performed impressively in their past five road games, batting .284 with a .477 slugging percentage. Their record on the road is impressive as well, winning five of seven and three of four series. The Braves haven't been as successful, losing four of their last six, and two out of three series, including one to the Cardinals. Strider had a rough outing at home in his last start, permitting six earned runs in 2.2 innings. At this point in the season, the Phillies are four games ahead in the Wild Card standings and are alive in the race for a playoff berth. The trends suggest the Phillies are likely to take this game at Truist.

Written by Jtpham Published on 09/18/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I apply several statistical and situational models to find the best probable winners with the highest percentage odds of winning and that offers the best chance of making a profit.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PhiladelphiaPhillies#AtlantaBraves

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Phillies vs Braves archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Phillies vs Braves matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies+194 → +190Moved
  • Moneyline · Atlanta Braves-215 → -220Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies+1.5 (-110) → +1.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Spread · Atlanta Braves-1.5 (-110) → -1.5 (-109)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Phillies
82-68 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Atlanta Braves
95-54-1 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-09-18T22:20:55.917Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

•Philadelphia won two of three games vs. St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend •Offense scored five or more runs in each game of the series •Phillies sit in 1st place in NL Wild Card standings (3.5 game lead) •Enyel Sanchez has produced a 82-68 record, 3.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP over previous three starts •No reported injuries that will affect the offense •Philadelphia ranked 9th in offense (4.90 avg. points per game), 13th in defense (4.41 avg. points against per game), and an overall 81-68 record this season Bohm Run! #RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/OCGFa4J2Pf

• Atlanta Braves have been swept by the Miami Marlins during a three-game road series, allowing 36 runs total • Charlie Morton was hit hard, allowing six earned runs on eight hits and five walks • The Braves are playoff-bound and resting certain starters, including Ronald Acuna, Jr, is day-to-day with a calf injury • Strider has a 95-54-1 record with a 6.32 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in his previous three starts • Atlanta are 17th in power ranking with an average of 5.83 runs per game and 8th for defense, allowing 4.26 runs per game • Philadelphia Phillies have 2-1 record in their previous three matchups against Atlanta EDDIE!!! @eddierosario09 | #ForTheA pic.twitter.com/BoBrB94x6K

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-09-18Philadelphia Phillies 7 · Atlanta Braves 1
  • 2023-09-13Atlanta Braves 4 · Philadelphia Phillies 1
  • 2023-09-12Atlanta Braves 7 · Philadelphia Phillies 6
  • 2023-09-11Atlanta Braves 5 · Philadelphia Phillies 7
  • 2023-09-11Atlanta Braves 10 · Philadelphia Phillies 8
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Atlanta Braves defeated Philadelphia Phillies 9-3

Atlanta Braves defeated Philadelphia Phillies 9-3 on September 19, 2023, a 6-run decision in the series. Atlanta Braves' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-110) spread, Atlanta Braves covered, while the 12 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • TphamMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +194Win
  • MackintoshMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +194Loss
  • MickeytMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +194Loss
  • JtphamMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -215Win
  • 2738694229Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +185Loss
  • BtMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -218Win
  • BtRunline · Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-110)Win
  • MiamimikeMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -218Win
  • DerekFisherTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • 1707662905Moneyline · Atlanta Braves -218Win
  • RcollinsMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +188Win
  • RoycejacobsTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • 2387960509Runline · Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-111)Loss
  • 1559166799Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • 1559166799Moneyline · Atlanta Braves -218Win
  • JohnTharpRunline · Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-115)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +188Loss
  • PurplebloodMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +188Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +188Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -215Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -215Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Atlanta Braves -215Win