Brewers Aim to Secure Series Win Against Nationals with Pitching Advantage: Game Preview and Prediction

In the upcoming Brewers vs. Nationals game on Sunday afternoon, Milwaukee will be looking to secure a series win after a decisive victory in the first game. Jacob Misiorowski will start on the mound for the Brewers with a solid 2.70 ERA, while Brad Lord will be pitching for Washington with a 3.27 ERA. The game is set to begin at 1:35 EST. Stay tuned for our prediction and more updates on this matchup.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers -180 | Nationals +152
Spread: Brewers -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Milwaukee will win straight-up is 64%.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers are currently leading the NL Central with a one game lead over the Cubs and are eight games ahead of the Reds. They have the most wins in the MLB with 65 and recently put up 16 runs in a win. In Friday's game, Blake Perkins hit two homers, filling in for Jackson Chourio who is on the 10-day IL with a hamstring injury. Christian Yelich leads the team with 20 home runs and 70 RBIs, while William Contreras has nine home runs and 47 RBIs. Rookie pitcher Jacob Misiorowski, with a 4-1 record and 2.70 ERA, will make his 8th start. In his last start, he gave up two runs in four innings in a win over the Cubs.

Washington Nationals

On Friday, the Washington Nationals lost by seven runs despite scoring nine runs in an MLB game. Luis Garcia Jr. had an RBI single in the first inning as Washington briefly took the lead, but the Brewers rallied with five runs in the 3rd and 7th innings to secure the win. The Nationals are currently last in the NL East, two games behind the Braves for fourth place, and are unlikely to make the playoffs.

Luis Garcia Jr., who batted cleanup and played second base, is in his sixth season with the Nationals and has nine home runs and 48 RBIs this season. James Wood leads the team with 24 home runs and 71 RBIs as a 22-year-old outfielder. CJ Abrams, the team's shortstop, has the best batting average at .280 and batted leadoff on Friday.

Brad Lord will make his 9th start of the season after primarily coming out of the bullpen with 29 appearances this season. He has a 3.27 ERA and a 59-24 strikeout to walk ratio. Lord started in the Nationals' last two wins over the Reds and Astros.

Brewers Favored Over Nationals on Runline Due to Pitching Disparity

In this situation, the most strategic decision to maximize potential value is to back the runline, given the significant pitching disparity present in the upcoming game. Misiorowski, despite being a rookie, has demonstrated considerable skill, garnering recognition as an All-Star following a mere five starts. With an impressive 4-1 record and an ERA of 2.70, his performance has been commendable. On the contrary, the Nationals are facing challenges with their starting rotation, resorting to bringing Lord from the bullpen in an emergency capacity. Lord's recent performance, where he allowed six hits in just four innings against the Reds, raises concerns. Furthermore, with the Brewers' offense excelling, evidenced by their recent 16-run feat on Friday, they are poised to secure a substantial lead and secure victory. Therefore, it is advisable to support the Brewers on the runline for this matchup.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]

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