Mets Poised to Dominate Marlins in NL East Showdown at Citi Field

The Miami Marlins (62-70) are set to face off against the New York Mets (71-61) in an NL East showdown at Citi Field in Queens, New York on Thursday, August 28, 2025. The Mets have a 4-2 record against the Marlins in 2025 and have previously won a couple of three-game series against Miami in April. Stay tuned for our Marlins vs. Mets prediction and MLB picks for Thursday's game, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Marlins +208 | Mets -261
Spread: Marlins +1.5 (+105) | Mets -1.5 (-125)
Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 72%.

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins faced the Atlanta Braves in a three-game series, with the Marlins winning the opener 2-1 but suffering a heavy defeat of 11-2 in the middle game. The Marlins have been struggling recently, losing seven consecutive series and dropping out of playoff contention. Pitcher Janson Junk, with a 6-2 record and 4.09 ERA this season, is set to start against the Mets at Citi Field. It is hoped that he will be ready to go after leaving his last start due to arm discomfort.

New York Mets

The New York Mets defeated the Philadelphia Phillies in the first two games of a three-game series, with a 13-3 victory in the opener and a 6-5 win in the middle game. The Mets have won three of their previous four series and are currently five games behind the NL East-leading Phillies. They hold the bottom wild card spot in the National League, three and a half games above the Cincinnati Reds. Clay Holmes is set to pitch for the Mets on Thursday night, with an 11-6 record, 3.60 ERA, and 1.32 WHIP in 26 starts in 2025. He has a 2-0 record with a 4.50 ERA in August and a 2-1 record with a 4.05 ERA in two career starts against the Miami Marlins.

New York Mets Poised for Victory Over Miami Marlins as Challenges Mount for the Latter

The Miami Marlins are facing challenges in the latter half of the season. The team has experienced setbacks with the loss of LF Kyle Stowers to injury, impacting their overall offensive performance as seen in their recent stats with a .225/.296/.368 slash line and an 84 wRC+ over the last 10 days. On the other hand, the New York Mets have shown significant offensive strength with a .319/.404/.546 triple-slash and a 167 wRC+ during the same period. Considering these factors, there is a favorable outlook for the Mets to win by the runline. Clay Holmes has delivered strong performances in three out of his last four starts, while Janson Junk has struggled with a streak of giving up three or more earned runs in seven consecutive outings. If Junk is sidelined, the Marlins will be relying on their bullpen, which has posted an average 5.16 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in the past 10 days.

Sources: [ 2 ] [ 3 ]

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