Astros vs. Red Sox: Houston to Face Boston in Final Game of Series, Delano Offers Predictions

The Houston Astros are set to host the Boston Red Sox in the final game of their three-game series, which has become a reunion with Alex Bregman returning home and Carlos Correa rejoining the Astros. For insights and predictions on Wednesday's matchup, David Delano offers his analysis in the Red Sox vs. Astros prediction. If you're seeking guidance with your MLB picks, be sure to explore our collection of free picks.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Sox +146 | Astros -168
Spread: Red Sox +1.5 (-150) | Astros -1.5 (+130)
Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)
Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Houston will win straight-up is 63%.

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox are currently 4.5 games behind in the AL East but hold the second Wild Card spot in the American League. They have struggled on the road this season with a 26-33 record away from Fenway Park. Despite entering Tuesday's game on a three-game losing streak, they have upcoming games with Walker Buehler starting on Wednesday. Buehler has a 7-6 record with a 5.40 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. In 10 road games this season, he is 4-4 with a 6.52 ERA, but the Red Sox have won his last three starts. The Boston bullpen ranks fifth in MLB with a 3.37 ERA.

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros are currently second in MLB with a .259 batting average and 133 home runs, despite Yordan Alvarez being limited to 29 games this season. Key players like Jose Altuve, Jeremy Peña, Christian Walker, and Yainer Diaz have been leading the team in hitting and power. Even with a season-ending injury to Isaac Paredes, Carlos Correa has stepped up to fill the void. In their upcoming game on Wednesday, Hunter Brown will be starting with an impressive 9-5 record, 2.51 ERA, and 0.98 WHIP. Brown has performed well at home this season and had a strong outing against Boston on Aug. 1. The Astros bullpen has also been performing well, ranking fourth in MLB with a 3.35 ERA.

Houston Astros Hold Advantage in Starting Pitching and Home Field, But Boston's Strong Offense and Bullpen Depth Could Upset Odds

The Houston team currently holds the advantage in starting pitching and home-field advantage, however, Boston's extensive bullpen depth and powerful offense give cause for pause when considering betting on the Astros despite their high odds. While Houston is slightly ahead in the AL West standings, their recent home game record of 3-6 raises questions about their ability to secure a definitive victory. On the other hand, the Red Sox have shown strong performance with a 10-5 record in their last 15 games, with only three losses by a narrow margin. Therefore, opting for Boston +1.5 at -150 to keep the game close before considering a safer bet on Houston to win outright at -165 may be the more prudent choice in this matchup.

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