Astros Favored to Win Against Nationals in MLB Matchup at Daikin Park

The 2025 Major League Baseball season will see the Washington Nationals face off against the Houston Astros on Monday, July 28 at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. The Nationals have a history of upsetting the Astros, winning two out of three games last year. In this Nationals vs. Astros matchup, the Astros are favored to win with a -240 moneyline and a total of 7.5 runs. The game will start at 8:10 PM ET as part of a 15-game card for the day. Stay tuned for our MLB picks and predictions for this game.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Nationals +195 | Astros -230
Spread: Nationals +1.5 (-110) | Astros -1.5 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Houston will win straight-up is 70%.

Washington Nationals

The Washington Nationals faced the Minnesota Twins in a rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday, with the Nationals leading 7-2 in the top of the fifth inning. Despite being 13.5 games behind the bottom wild card in the National League, the Nationals were looking for their second straight series victory after defeating the Cincinnati Reds. The team will miss the playoffs for the sixth straight year, but the young players are determined to finish the season strong. Brad Lord, a 25-year-old rookie right-hander with a 2-5 record, is projected to start on Monday night after a solid performance in his last outing against the Reds.

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros faced the Oakland Athletics in a four-game series over the weekend, with the Astros looking to avoid a sweep after being outscored 25-6 in the first three games. Despite this, the Astros were still leading the AL West and had the second-best record in the American League. Framber Valdez was set to pitch on Monday night, boasting an 11-4 record with a 2.67 ERA this season. Valdez had a strong performance in his last outing and has had success against the Nationals in the past.

Houston Astros Favored to Win Against Washington Nationals on Runline Based on Performance and Statistics

Based on the current performance and statistics of both teams, the Houston Astros appear to be the favorable choice to win against the runline. Framber Valdez of the Astros has been excelling this season, maintaining an impressive record of no losses in his last 13 consecutive starts. Throughout these wins, Valdez has demonstrated outstanding performance with a 1.86 ERA and 2.61 FIP. Conversely, the Washington Nationals have shown difficulties in batting against left-handed pitchers since the All-Star break. Their low .513 OPS and 48 wRC+ indicate a challenge in effectively facing Valdez. Furthermore, the Astros have displayed a strong offense against right-handed pitchers in the second half of the season, providing additional support for their potential victory. In conclusion, considering these factors, the Astros are the recommended choice to win against the Nationals on the runline.

Sources: [ 2 ] [ 3 ]

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