The betting markets still haven't caught up to how much better this Harvard team is now that they've got their best player Bryce Aiken back from an injury that caused him to miss their first 13 games of this season. Since Aiken has returned to action the Crimson have went 7-1 overall with their lone loss being against Cornell in a game they blew a 15 point 2nd half lead and they were without one of their better players in Justin Bassey who was out with an injury but is now back and healthy. It took a few games for Aiken to shake the rust off but he's been nearly unstoppable of late (averaging 32 points per game the last four games). Aiken was a big time recruit for Harvard and the Ivy League and in his only fully healthy season he won Ivy League Freshman of the Year and was just the 2nd freshman ever to be selected to the All-Ivy first team as well. He's clearly healthy now and he makes the Crimson a much better team overall now that he's back.
These two programs have been far apart over the past decade. Brown comes into this game having lost 19 straight times to Harvard and they have finished behind them in the Ivy League standings each of the previous nine years going into this season and it looks like it will be ten straight years as they are currently three games behind the Crimson in Ivy League play this year. Despite all of that this point spread makes it where Harvard basically just needs to win this game. Brown has played four Ivy League games this season against teams ranked 135th or higher at Kenpom (Harvard is ranked 116th currently) and the Bears lost all four of those games and by an average of 11 points per defeat including losing to this Harvard squad earlier this month by 21 points. I'm shocked to see the line in this game as low as it is.
My Pick: Harvard -2
The Falcons won the first meeting between these two teams by 19 points. I think that they can get another double-digit win here on the road. Bowling Green has won three in a row and five of six. They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. This team is tied for first place in the Mid-American Conference and should get this win here. Ohio has lost six straight games SU and ATS and they are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games. Bowling Green is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 gams and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference games. Ohio is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 league games and 16-33 ATS in their last 49 games overall. Take Bowling Green.
My Pick: Bowling Green -4
How can you not take BGSU here? When are they going to get the love they deserve? I have been riding with them for a while now on games they should cover and they haven't let me down yet. Let's lay down the facts here. BG is tied for 1st in the conference and beat Ohio by 19 earlier in the year. They are 5-1 on the road in conference play with an average margin of +11 ON THE ROAD!!! Ohio is next to last in their entire conference and have a 2-4 home record in conference play. They average losing by 5.3 AT HOME, not to mention they are on a 6 game losing streak. BGSU is ave 78.9 ppg against Ohio's 69.2. Ohio will not be able to keep pace with BGSU. I'm throwing down a decent chunk of change on this one. Good luck to all!!!
My Pick: Bowling Green -4.5
Both teams have high octane offenses and both teams give up a ton of points on the defensive end of the floor. The Flames are a better team at home (11-3) but the kicker for me in this matchup is the fact that Wisc. Green Bay beat UIC in their first meeting this year, 90-85 and they should have the offensive fire power to keep this game close. In what amounts to a coin flip of a game, you have to love the 4.5 points here today.
My Pick: Wis.-Green Bay +4.5
Harvard does a good job of controlling the offensive glass and they have the top 3-point shooting percentage in the conference. Bryce Aiken is giving Harvard a boost offensively averaging 21.6 points per game in his eight games played. Combine the recent play of Aiken and the fact that Harvard also recently beat Brown by 21 points (47-68) last month and you have to like the Crimson to win and cover the 2 points.
My Pick: Harvard -2
Indiana has been a wildly unpredictable team at many points during the year, and they seem to have a tendency to play upor downto their opponents. The key for this game is the fact that Indiana only lost by 5 points the last two times these two teams met, falling at home 77-72. Then Indiana proceeded to get drilled 84-63 by Minnesota two games later before nearly beating Purdue 48-46. Go figure. Most common sense would dictate this should be another close game, so Im going to take Indiana to stick around and cover with the 7 points here tonight.
My Pick: Indiana +7
McKillops team simply has too much at stake and playing a Rhode Island team that is struggling to put up points on offense at the moment. Grady and Gudmundsson should be able to get Davidsons offense going early. When you look at previous matchups of same played teams (Dayton and Fordham) the point differentials point to Davidson. The number looks light to me which tells me to just go with the better team with the low line - the betting value is with Davidson here tonight.
My Pick: Davidson -2
Bowling Green blew out Ohio by an 82-63 margin at home earlier this season and as I think theyll have success against the Bobcats again tonight. Bowling Green is the hotter team, coming into this matchup winning 5 of their last 6 games and ranked 50th in scoring offense. Ohio has lost 8 of their last 10 games and currently rank just 274th in scoring offense and and abysmal 245th in scoring defense. Bowling Green doesnt get the attention that Buffalo or Toledo does in the MAC, however, the Falcons are a team that has enough talent to make a deep run in the MAC Championship this season. I look for the better team Bowling Green to cover this low line on the road today.
My Pick: Bowling Green -4.5
Loveeeeeee the Hawkeyes in this spot. Though the Hoosiers played better in their last game, one gets the sense that late bucket by Purdues Matt Haarms may have been the knockout blow to their NCAA Tournament hopes. Indiana is 2-8 on the road while Iowa is 13-3 at home. Playing an up-tempo team like Iowa is dangerous because the Hawkeyes have the firepower to run teams out of the gym. Iowa is eager to bounce back from a tough loss itself and is playing at a level Indiana cannot equal at this moment.
My Pick: Iowa -7
This is a huge number yes but I still like it. The Bulls have been practically invincible at home and won all six of their conference home games by 12 or more points. Buffalo is playing for an NCAA Tournament seed as opposed to playing to just be in the field of 68. If the Bulls want to stay as a No. 8 seed or better, they have to keep winning. Kent State has lost back-to-back conference road games but also dropped home games to Bowling Green and Buffalo, showing the gap between the teams. The Bulls should be good value to cover here.
My Pick: Buffalo -15.5
.@TheAndyKatz shares his thoughts on Zion Williamson, and takes us back to a January conversation he had with the @DukeMBB freshman. pic.twitter.com/6amHCMGzBE
— NCAA March Madness (@marchmadness) February 21, 2019
Factor casa sumado a un mejor sembrado y una mejor ofensiva y defensiva equilibrada, da la ecuacion perfecta para agarrar este juego los puntos y en moneyline y teaser a Portland State
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House factor added to a better seeding and a better balanced offensive and defensive, gives the perfect equation to grab this game the points and in moneyline and teaser to Portland State
My Pick: Portland St. -5.5
UCLA is 20th this season in FGs per game. The Beavers D doesn't force a ton of turnovers and therefore opponents get a good amount of shots off. UCLA is 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 against the Beavers. They cover in LA tonight!
My Pick: UCLA -2
College basketball picks: Bet on Cal vs Arizona | SI.comOur three favorite bets from Thursday's college basketball slate include a winless Pac-12 underdog, a Big Ten favorite and a Pacific Northwest showdown. https://www.si.com/college-basketball/2019/02/21/college-basketball-odds-cal-michigan-seattle?xid=socialflow_twitter_si&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sinow&utm_source=twitter.com
No. 1 Seeds
— NCAA March Madness (@marchmadness) February 21, 2019
Last Four In
First Four Out
Region-by-Region
Time for another bracket breakdown with @TheAndyKatz! pic.twitter.com/S1yZwQTM16
My favorite bet in this one is the unders. Williams is out for Arizona and I think their offense will come to a halt and Cal can't hit the water from a boat.
My Pick: Under 139
Pretty simple pick for me. Backing the Trojans at home. Trojans are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 home games against teams with losing road records. Now the Ducks are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games. I know you're saying but look at the records, the Ducks are a better team. But, they no longer have Bol Bol and the Trojans have plenty of depth to counter.
My Pick: USC -2.5
This could get interesting but I'll take Panthers to cover. Bottom line is Panthers cover and Mountaineers struggle to cover ATS. Both teams have some offensive power but Appalacian St has a weaker defense. Georgia St is a more balanced and reliable team, eventhough they haven't done great on the road. They should be able to get 2 points over on App St.
My Pick: Georgia St. -2 & Over 158.5
Tennessee-Martin is on their high horse winning 4 in a row and allowing about 12 fewer points per match. But they're still one of the worst defenses in the country and Murray St is arguably the best mid-conference team in America. I'd say they're definitely the best offensive mid-major. I think they blow Tenn-Martin out of the arena. Lay 'em!
My Pick: Murray St. -14.5
I like the under in this one tonight. This clearly isn't going to be a close game so it comes down to the second units. But zaga has limited their opponents to under 7 points their last 9 and these two teams have gone under in four of their last five matches.
My Pick: Under 154.5
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