BETTING PREVIEW & PICKS:
Denver Nuggets 28-12 (18-19-3 ATS) are playing Golden State Warriors 9-33 (19-22-1 ATS) on Jan 16, 2020, 10:35pm ET at Chase Center. The Warriors opened at +8 in Vegas and the current line is GS +4.5.
A pair of Western Conference teams at opposite ends of the spectrum take the court on the West Coast. The Denver Nuggets take their show on the road on a back to back to face the Warriors. Denver was in action at home against Charlotte last night. Golden State was blown out 124-97 at home by the Mavericks in their last game Tuesday night. The Nuggets lead the all-time regular season series between the teams 95-81 but the Warriors have won the last three matchups. That includes a 116-102 home win in the most recent meeting on April 2, 2019.
Denver normally is a better team at altitude but this year they have been great on the road in stead of at home. This will still be a tough task as they played at home last night and it was a vintage defensive win only allowing 86 points. They will need a similar effort in this one to cover after being down shorthanded. Still the Nuggets average 109.2 points per game while allowing 107.1 points a night n the road. Denver is 4-2 in the second game of a back to back, averaging 109.8 points while allowing 108.7 points per contest in those situations. The Nuggets are 7-2 against Pacific Division teams on the year. They enter this contest 20th in the league by averaging 109.1 points per game on the year. Denver is 19th in rebounding by collecting 44.4 boards per night and 4th in assists by dishing out 26.2 dimes a night. The Nuggets are 5th in the league in scoring defense as they allow 105.4 points per contest this season. Jamal Murray is second on the team with 17.9 points plus 4.2 rebounds and 4.7 assists per contest this season. This team might be short handed though as Jamal Murray rolled his ankle last night and others were sitting out as well. Their depth will be tested in this back to back.
Golden State was blown out by Dallas at home in their last game and it was ugly. Add salt to the wound and the Warriors now have nine straight losses. Statistically it doesnt look good for this team. They are 28th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 104.5 points per game on the year. Golden State is 21st in rebounding by collecting 43.9 boards a night and stands 15th by dishing out 24.3 assists per contest. The Warriors have been terrible defensively as well, ranking 19th in the league as they allow 113.2 points per game. They shoot 42.8 percent from the floor as a team on the year, which is 30th in the league. The Warriors are 30th in the league as they connect on 9.8 three-pointers a night while ranking 26th as they are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc. How the mighty have fallen. At least a lot of their young guys are getting quality minutes every night
The Warriors are clearly nothing like the team we’ve seen the past five years. They rank in the bottom of the league in almost every category. It is tough to watch them play basketball at times. Even with the Nuggets being shorthanded they still have more weapons then this team. Nuggets take care of business as they have proven they can handle themselves in this spot. Nuggets -4.5:
With the injuries nuggets have, I have to take a shot with the warriors playing at home on national tv. They will bring it tonight but the best play to me is the under. Light wager on warriors and a bigger wager on that under . Good luck guys !
Harris (groin) will not play Thursday against the Warriors, T.J. McBride of MileHighSports.com reports. ANALYSIS Harris is set to miss a second straight game as he continues to battle a strained right adductor. Torrey Craig should pick up another start in his absence, while Malik Beasley could also benefit from increased run.
Millsap (knee) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Warriors, T.J. McBride of MileHighSports.com reports. ANALYSIS Millsap will miss a fifth consecutive game as he recovers from a bruised left knee. Jerami Grant should draw another start in his absence, while Michael Porter could benefit from increased run as well with Gary Harris (groin) also unavailable.
I'm loving Denver in this spot. GSW offense is awfull & they're playing against a legitimate top 3 defensive team (if Jokic comes to play).
GSW scored an avg of 105 & allowed an avg of 115 on their last 5 at home. Denver scored an avg of 114 & allowed an avg of 119 on their last 5 on the road. Denver shot 48% from the field compared to the Dubs' 39% on their last 5. Denver is 4-2 SU & 1-5 ATS on zero days of rest. GSW is 7-22 SU & 14-15 ATS & get outscored by an avg of 7 on one day of rest. GSW is 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS one on days of rest playing against an opponent on zero days of rest.
Denver is coming off of a 'successful' home series as they won against the Clippers & dominated the Hornets. Meanwhile, the Warriors started their home series getting clapped by the Mavs. Denver holds the advantage in the paint, they have the more consistent frontcourt and a defense not to be underestimated. A loss against the GSW is the last thing on their agenda.