BETTING PREVIEW & PICKS:
Boston Celtics 27-12 (22-15-2 ATS) are playing Milwaukee Bucks 36-6 (24-18 ATS) on Jan 16, 2020, 8:05pm ET at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks opened at -8.5 in Vegas and the current line is MIL -9.
Two of the top Eastern conference teams square off in this one as the Celtics take to the road and face the Top ranked Bucks. The Celtics have lost 3 straight road games in this series.
High expectations for the Celtics this year have people talking about where this team stands. Kemba is back but at what percentage and contribution. But still the Celtics have played well this season. they are not as sharp on the road and come into this game on a two-game road losing streak. Plus they havent played well in this builiding losing their last three games. This team has played well offensively, averaging 111.4 points per game. The team is shooting 45 percent from the field and 35 percent from three-point range. They will be playing their second game on consecutive nights and likely won’t be as sharp on the offensive end in this game due to fatigue. Regardless of fatigue this team has been one of the best defensive teams in the league, holding opponents to 104.3 points per game, which is second-best in the league. They are holding opponents to 102.7 points per game on the road and will need to keep playing well defensively if they want to beat the Bucks.
The Bucks have been the best team in Basketball record wise and there play in the Eastern Conference has showed that. This is an important game for them in end of the year standings as it will probably come down to these two teams. But if the Bucks can win the head to head match ups that will be crucial considering they want to avenge their December loss to the Celtics when they play on Thursday. The Bucks are one of the best offensive team in the league, averaging 119.4 points per game. The team is shooting 47 percent from the field and 35 percent from three-point range. They finished with 128 points in their last game. They have also been killers on defense as they are holding opponents to 106.8 points per game. They gave up 102 points in their last game and will need a similar effort to beat the Celtics on Thursday.
I think the Bucks end up winnings this game but 9 points is a lot and this Celtics team is still a good team. The Celtics have the depth to rotate bodies on the Greek Freak an should be able to score some points on offense. Gimme the Celtics to at least keep this thing in double digits. Celtics +9:
Brown (thumb) is questionable for Thursday's game against the Bucks, Jared Weiss of The Athletic reports. ANALYSIS Brown suffered a right thumb sprain during Wednesday's loss to the Pistons, leaving his status up in the air for the second half of Boston's back-to-back set. His availability should clear up closer to tip-off. If Brown is unable to go, Marcus Smart would likely start in his place.
The Bucks have been steamrolling teams recently (and all season really); they are 9-1 in their last 10, including three straight wins of 20-plus points. Boston is a bad team and dealing with a couple of injuries here, I like the read hot Bucks by big double digits at home tonight.
Bucks won 4 of the last 5 H2H's and will be out for revenge as they lost the most recent one. Bucks have won 5 straight at home. Celtics have lost their last 2 on the road and find themselves on the end of a back to back here facing a team that ranks first in offense and 9th in defense.
Bucks out-rebound opponents by an avg of 10 on their home court. Bucks are 23-5 SU & outscore opponents by an avg of 12 on one day of rest. Boston are 3-3 SU & outscore opponents by an avg of 2 on a back to back. Bucks are 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS at home after a win. Boston are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS on the road after a loss. Bucks outscore opponents by an avg of 12 & allow a FG% of 41 as a < 10 pt favourite
I'm definitely taking the bucks as outrights here but I suggest you stay away from the spread.
Celtics avg'd 113 ppg last 5. They've given up 112 pts defensively. Bucks avg'd 117 ppg last 5 and giving up 106 defensively. The difference in trend between the pts being scored is 4. The difference in defensive scoring is 6. If these trends follow suit, I'll take Celtics to keep this game close and maybe another outright upset but they won last time in Boston.