Don't let this pitching matchup confuse you about which team is better. The Rangers generally rely on their hitting and yes Lynn is one of their better starters. I don't think this will be an easy game but I believe the Astros outlast the Rangers here tonight.
I like the Rangers to open up the second half of the season with a win at home. Lance Lynn has turned himself into the guy for the Rangers going 11-4 on the year with a sub 4 ERA. He has especially been good over his last 10 starts, posting a 2.81 ERA with nine walks and 79 strikeouts over 67.1 innings of work. That is a big sample size of significant data. That has lowered his ERA from 5.48 to 3.91 and the FIP number (2.98) shows that there still may be some positive regression to come. Houston has plenty of fire power in their lineup but Lynn has pitched well against the Astros in his career. The Rangers are also 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the trend for the Astros is that they are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Gimme the Rangers here at plus money
This may seem like a slam dunk for the Rangers because of Valdez's problems on the mound but I think that might not be the case here. Both teams have been off a week and it may not seem like much but the all-star break is notorious for causing teams to come back off their game. Lynn can be off just as much as Valdez and I think Houston is better managed than Texas.
With Brad Peacock on the shelf it looks like Houston will go with Valdez here tonight which doesn't bode well for Houston. Houston has plenty of talent in their lineup but Lynn has pitched well against the Astros in his career and is the much better hurler here tonight. With an edge on the mound here and hotter bats, you have to like the plus money with the Rangers in this matchup.
I'm a little confused as to why the money is coming in on Houston in this game, this line opened at -105 and is now -133. Doesn't make sense as Valdez has been hit hard in his last 2 games giving up 11 runs in just 6 innings of work. Texas has one of their best pitchers going here tonight in Lance Lynn....Lynn is 9-2 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in his last 13 starts. Lynn is one of the best pitchers in the American league and Texas has the 6th best offense in MLB right now. I'll take Texas and the plus money all day in this spot.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - 7/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction | Sports Chat PlaceThe Houston Astros and the Texas Rangers will be meeting up on the MLB diamond to kick off the second half of the season on Thursday. https://sportschatplace.com/picks/mlb/texas-rangers-vs-houston-astros-7-11-19-mlb-pick-odds-and-prediction
Betting Prediction for Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers on July 11, 2019, 8:05 PM ET
Free Betting Prediction: Texas will Win and the Total will go Under .
The Texas Rangers hope that the all-star break was a bit of a reset for them as they dropped six of their last eight heading into the break but are -140 favorites today with the visiting Houston Astros coming back at +120. The Rangers send Lance Lynn to the hill while the Astros counter with spot starter Framber Valdez. At Globe Life Park the total is elevated at 11 runs.Astros vs Rangers Game Center. Original matchup: http://bit.ly/2S4e4Jy