godfather

This Wake Forest team is all Jr.'s and Sr's and you can tell this group has been playing together for a while. The Demon Deacons are mean this year and as long as they stop Malik Cunningham on the ground and force him to throw, then Wake will win this game by double digits.

If you build it, they will come..

This is going to be a fun game tonight. Some people say it's just a little too.. Corny. 🌽

The wind is blowing out today. Kevin Millar, said he expects both teams to have double digit scores. I dont know if I could take it that far though. Lance Lynn is coming in with an extra day of rest. Sox haven't been able to get the RBI the last two games, going 0-7 with runners in scoring position, but the 4 games before that they had a combined 32 runs scored. So we know the Sox can hit the ball. Andrew Heaney has a high fly ball rate and with the wind blowing out I can see a high sox score. Yanks have been wishy washy and can't be trusted, especially with so many of their key players out due to Covid-19 protocol. Either way it's gonna be a fun game!

White Sox Total Score over 5[-115]

White Sox Total Score over 5.5[+115]

This is a great game, both starting pitchers got the wild hair up their nose.

Alright boys, nothing weird!

The Pelicans allowed just 82 in the first meeting to the Cavs on March 12, but the Pels put up 116 points. But the 82 points was an anomaly as New Orleans are allowing 115.1 PPG to rank 27th defensively. Eight points just feels like too many here for Cavs at home, the Pelicans just beat (and covered) against Philly but they haven't covered in back to back game all season. New Orleans 115 - Cleveland 109

Yo that dude with that 20k ticket sheesh

I really thought the Hogs would be 3 or 4 point favorites here.

St. Louis beat LSU early in the season, and St. Bonaventure whacked the Billikens two weeks ago. I wish we were getting a few more points here with St. Bonnie but if they shoot well today it's certainly a game they can win.

The Tigers couldn’t seem to get going against Mount St. Mary’s, but down ten at halftime they came back roaring for a 60-52 win. This is an up-tempo, high scoring team that showed off its style in that second half run, and while it’s a mega-task to deal with Michigan, it has the ability to get up and down the floor and score in bunches. Feels like a shit load of points against this athletic Texas Southern group.

This is a bad, bad fit for #15 Iona. Alabama is going to start taking threes from the start and will keep taking them. Iona doesn’t have the ability to bomb its way back into the game once the Tide get going. The Tide could have this one covered by halftime.

Houston has the league’s worst ATS record at 12-24 this season although they did cover the spread in their loss Friday. The Rockets are missing some key scorers today, so would lean laying the points with Boston.

Under 221 is probably the best bet here. Houston has the second-lowest Over percentage in the league at 37.1% and is missing almost all their capable scorers. They will struggle to even get to 100, while the Celtics average 111.6 points per game.

Houston can always blow out another team in their conference by more than 20, but you gotta find the right games. Cincy is easily a top team in their conference which makes them seem like a real challenge. Although both these teams can struggle to score, Houston is inconsistent with their bad games, while cincy is typically in a close game whether its bad or good for them to be there. In this matchup, cincy is missing a big scorer in their starting lineup, and having a backup matchup with one of the better Houston players wont keep them in the game. Cincy cant always keep up, and I see a blowout finally here

Florida State is in real danger of having their 23-game home win streak vs. ACC broken in tonight's matchup with #9 Virginia.

The Gators are a really good team, especially at home, but Virginia is statistically better, according to KenPom. Not by much but they aren't favored here; they are getting points so it's like icing on the cake.

Usually, I would pass because it could be a very close game but the home team has probably not shaken off all the effects of the covid and quarantine. It took them OT to beat (but not cover against) a pretty weak Wake Forest team. Remember, Wake Forest had only eked out a 4 point win against Boston College the game before that. B.C. still only had 6 scholarship players available in their second game back after quarantining for covid protocols.

Fla St. is probably close to being back and that would be good enough against a lot of teams but right now Virginia is firing on all cyclinders.

Virginia with the points, and under 130.

Virginia enters on a 4-game win streak since falling at Virginia Tech 65-51 for its only ACC loss. The Cavaliers beat North Carolina 60-48 as 7-point home favorites Saturday. Florida State needed overtime to fend off upset-minded Wake Forest 92-85 Saturday, failing to cover as a 13-point home favorite. But at home FSU is a different team and has the talent to upset Virginia here and is why Vegas has the FSU as a 2 point fav. The Noles don’t lose in Tallahassee.

The Lakers are on the end of a back to back and coming off a tight game last night against the 76ers. The points are tempting but bottom line is the Pistons have only won 4 games all year and one of the worst (if not the worst) team in the NBA.

Bottom line: The Bills are undoubtedly one of the better teams in the AFC conference, but the playoff experience and talent that this Chiefs team has is unmatched.

Chiefs win 35-24

Clemson ranks 23rd defensively but 285th offensively and Clemson is one of the slower teams in the nation, averaging just 66.2 possessions per contest and averaging only 66.5 PPG (15th in the ACC). Florida State is more talented and versatile at both ends and should be able to cover this low line here.

Aaron Rodgers won't turn the ball over 4 times like Brees did and defense wins championships, and GB has the MUCH better defense. Green Bay wins 35-27

Lots of points and lots to be optimistic about with the Browns after this one. Cleveland's offensive line was banged up against Pittsburgh but apparently nothing long term as their front 5 is back today.

Despite being 10-point favorites, the defending champion Chiefs took part in a ton of close games before resting their starters back in Week 17. And after Cleveland demolished the Steelers the logical thing is to bet on Cleveland getting 10 points here right? NOT SO FAST. Pittsburgh dirtied the diaper in that game with 4 turnovers, so that was more of a function of a bad Steelers team than it was a good Cleveland team. And Cleveland is limping into this game against a dangerous (and rested) Kansas City with a very thin offensive line. If Cleveland had a healthy offensive line then I would take Browns and the points but they don't and that's the difference here for me. Kansas City wins 34-17.

LA skirted by last week but the QB situation catches up with them this week. Green Bay is in a different class.

Saints -6 2H. Let's go!

This just sets up to be a close game. Liberty +7.

Fresh off their 45-0 beat down at the hands of the New England Patriots, these Chargers are playing out the stretch under embattled head coach Anthony Lynn. He likely has only three more games in that role. Whether the team shows up and plays for Lynn moving forward remains to be seen. As for the Raiders, they've been in a tail spin but they still have a lot to play for. Despite some recent struggles, Jon Gruden has this squad at 7-6 and in playoff contention despite a blowout loss to the Colts and the firing of defensive coordinator Paul Guenther. Quarterback Derek Carr has put up 24 touchdowns compared to seven interceptions. He’ll be taking on a Chargers defense that is yielding nearly 29 points per game. Do the math, people.

Cleveland has looked great last couple of weeks and coming off of a big win over Tennessee, but prior to Titans game they struggled to put away a bad Jaquars team. I want to believe in Mayfield but still don't trust the kid is top shelf QB level and the loss of OBJ is going to catchup with them. But Cleveland has become a pretty complete team under Kevin Stefanski and maybe they catch lightning in a bottle. Against my better judgement I'm leaning Cleveland here and for some reason think we see some points tonight despite the cold weather. 32 degrees is perfect football temperature.

Cleveland wins 31-28.

Cleveland just simply don’t have an answer for Derrick Henry and theTitans take advantage of a depleted Browns’ secondary to make just enough plays through the air to win. I've got the Titans here 38-28.

The Saints' defense is playing too well right now to pick against them and Taysom Hill could be creating a QB controversy....just kidding.

Iowa State 27, West Virginia 17

Iowa State will clinch a spot to the Big 12 Championship on Saturday. It's a crazy sentence to write, but I think it's going to become a reality.