+8 feels like a big number. I guess it depends on who shows up. The Cowboys will be hungry and Bucs could have a bit of a Super Bowl hangover. Couple negatives for the Cowboys, is the fact that Dak hasn't played in 11 months and has tennis elbow. Plus Dak didn't see much pre-season action either. Zeke Elliott didn't get any touches in pre-season either, so expect to see some early rust from Dallas.
Losing Zach Martin was big loss, but Dallas has one of the best receiving trios in the NFL. CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper are both dangerous. It's going to be a great matchup against this stout Bucs defense, whom some have said is the best defense in the NFL.
Prediction: Dallas offense scores 24+ points and does enough to cover. Or the Cowboys offense plays like shit and TB wins by 20. It's going to be a fun one to watch. Not a strong opinion ATS, but I'm playing TB 1st half -4.5, just a hunch - I think the Bucs offense comes out and runs 8-10 scripted plays and scores early. Plus I'm predicting Dak and Zeke to get off to slow start, but get it going 2nd half. We'll see. BOL!
A youthful Hokiesâ€™ backcourt is dealing with some injury and team-discipline issues. Georgia Techâ€™s 2-5 stretch a few weeks ago could have gone the other way; GTU had a couple close losses and solid performances against very good opponents. Following the trends here and taking GT and the free points.
Texas Christian heads into this contest off back-to-back losses and having scored just 109 total points in those games. TCU has been held under 56 points five times in its last eight games. The Mountaineers are quietly one of the best teams in the Big 12 and play at a top-third pace. The Frogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight at home. This spread feels about right but I lean laying the points here with the much better WVU offense.
The Suns have cooled off from their hot start, losing six of their last 10 games and three of their last four at home. But the concern for Detroit bettors is that the Pistons have only won one game all season on the road. The Suns did lose to the Pistons earlier this season in a 105-110 OT game in Detroit, so while I like Phoenix to win, 8 feels like a lot of points.
Chad Henne, has only thrown 6 passes this season for 30 yards in two brief appearances this year. Reid will be sitting his best plays in preparation for the playoffs so even the injury-ravaged Chargers defense should have little trouble against a dull attack led by Henne.
Colorado's best player, Line Backer, Nate Landman suffered a severe ankle injury at the close of the first half of CUâ€™s 38-21 loss to Utah. After he left the game the Buffs defense then gave up 28 points in the second half. Will that unit recover in time to stifle a Longhorns attack that is 12th in scoring offense (41.3 ppg)?
The Horns are short handed in this game, but Texas is not short on talent so whoever they fill their spots with you know they are 3, 4 or 5 Star recruits. Texas still has Ehlinger under center and I think he gets it done with his legs and rushes for 100+ today. Sammie still has a couple of guys at receiver that can take the top off of defenses and the Buffs are have been susceptible this year.
This game boils down to Tom Herman for me, if Tom Herman is the coach he touts himself to be then he will manage this crisis and get the young guys coached up and have a good game plan coming in. If Texas comes out flat and gets out coached, then that's on Herman.
Cinci QB Brandon Allen spent last year, his rookie season, in Denver and went 1-2 as the starter, and now he has gone 0-3 as the Bengalsâ€™ main man, with 55 completions for 506 yards and 3 touchdowns with 2 picks, numbers that will not get the job done given how porous the Cincinnati defense can be. I don't like double digits spreads in the NFL, as we saw yesterday there is a ton of parity in the NFL even with starting QB's out, but I like Pittsburgh here buying the hook -14 (-120).
San Fran will run all over this Cowboys sieve of a defense. Even 49ers backup QB Nick Mullens can put up points against a Cowboys defense which ranks dead last in points allowed per game. Plus, all the injuries to San Franciscoâ€™s defense make that unit a shell of its 2020 self so the Red Rifle and the potent Cowboys receiving corp should do work today.
Brees is healthy just in time to give the Sunday late-window national audience what it wants here today. But the question is will Brees have any noticeable rust after the protracted layoff. I think this game comes down to a FG and would take KC if forced to bet it but the value here IMO is on the OVER 52.5 as the Chiefs defense has been prone to give up points all season and Mahomes will do work today. Scoreboard operator don't blink.
With Danny Dimes out, the money pouring in on Cleveland, driving the line up from an open of three to nearly a flat seven. Despite the loss, Clevelandâ€™s offense looked great last week, getting conversions and scores whenever they needed them. The Giants only scored one touchdown last week and with Colt McCoy under center I'm not expecting miracles. Easy answer is Cleveland by a TD here.
Slight lean on the UNDER here with the Giants are averaging just 14.3 PPG across the past three, hitting the Under in five straight overall.
UCLA will see Chris Smith return to the team, and that is a massive advantage, especially after former star Prince Ali left the team. Most of the core from last season is back, along with Johnny Juzang, who is transferring from Kentucky. However, the biggest returning asset is Mike Cronin, who will enter his second season at the helm of the Bruins.
San Diego State lost three big starters from last year in Malachi Flynn, Yanni Wetzell, and KJ Feagin. They have retooled around remaining starters, Jordan Schakel and Matt Mitchell. However, they have a weak backcourt duo, with a 5â€™8 PG (Terrel Gomez) and a starting shooting guard who averaged under four points last season (Trey Pulliam).
The continuity that UCLA is bringing into the season will be hard to overcome. San Diego State has the ingredients for success, but it remains to be seen if they can come together to repeat last seasonâ€™s success. Got to like UCLA here tonight laying only 3.
I wonder what this spread would have been with Lawrence in the lineup? Clemson is obviously still a vastly more talented team and they still have the best defense in college. The Boston College line, one that has not played well at times this season, will face its biggest challenge of the year. It's doubtful that rushing yards will be plentiful, so much of the pressure will fall on Jurkovec and the passing game. But of course, more people are interested in what the Clemson offense will look like without Lawrence under center. Uiagalelei will look like a freshman at times, but I suspect Dabo keep the reigns on him and it doesn't take much to hand the ball off to Etienne . I do think Boston College's defense was going to present some difficulties anyway, even with Lawrence in the lineup and 25 points just feels like too many points here...much like we saw with the 45 point spread against Syracuse last week which the Orange easily covered. BC is a lot better than the Orange.
UCF has a 7'6 Center!!!! They also have great guard play. They also know how to use tacko's size on both sides of the floor. They have wins over Cincinnati,houston, and Alabama, vcu had great game agains Texas but where is Texas? ?? UCF has never won a game on this stage so look for them to play with a ton of motivation.
Both of these teams are coming off heartbreaking losses last week. It will be a match of will today to see which team reaches deep and pulls out with motivation and guts to get it done. Florida, ranked 13, has more to play for but Missouri would like to make this a winning season so they wonâ€™t go away easily. Florida has a defense that will pressure Lock and want him to make mistakes by rushing him. Missouri will make it a game but Florida is just a better team so they will pull the win and cover 6.
This is the game of the day and it will be a good one. Alabama has come out ahead in the last 3 meetings in Baton rouge and did so by an average of 7 points per game but the Crimson Tide didnâ€™t have the offense they have now. If the Tigers can survive the 1st half the 2nd half will be interesting. I canâ€™t see betting against Alabama right now. I predict Alabama gets this one 37-20.
Both these teams have a list of injuries and players just coming off the injury list who may not be able to play 100% today. Ravens have a dinged up defense and for that reason I have a slight lean on Tennessee to take the upset.
The Jags QB, Blake Bortles made some big errors last week against KC and took the breath out of the offense. Dallas has an even better pass rush and their secondary is better so expect lots of short dump offs to T.J. Yeldon. Jacksonville has a good defense and with the limited and inconsistent Dallas passing game they will keep the Cowboys on the ground and will work to make sure Elliott doesn't get it done on the ground. Jags cover.
The Los Angeles Rams have been dominating through the first four weeks of play and have a 4-0 record to show for it. Rams have won the first four games by double digit to boot. I don't expect this week to be any different against Seattle. Wilson has been playing good and this one is at home, but I won't bet on the Seattle defense stopping Gurley. Rams by 10.
The Cardinals are hitting the ball very well right now and are going up against Castillo, who has given up 13 runs in his last three starts. The Reds will also be able to score runs against the Cardinals, who will likely give a reliever the start in this game.
I got burned by taking Boston on the run line on Tuesday, as the series opener was more exciting than Iâ€™m sure anyone had anticipated. But as the old saying goes, fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. Price has been electric, giving up two runs or less in each of his last six starts and on the other side Richards has been up and down lately and gave up five runs in just 4.1 innings of work in his lone start against Boston. Boston clearly the favorite here (as the odds indicate) and Boston is probably free money if you can stomach the risk factor.
CLEVELAND INDIANS -1.5 - Across his last six starts, Clevinger sports a nice 2.52 ERA with 37 Ks and 13 walks over 35.2 inningsâ€”pretty darn good. As for Keller, he posted a win in his last outing Saturday against the White Sox, going five innings with one run on seven hits. Don't be afraid of the run line tonight, Cleveland Indians roll.