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James Kaprielian is junk and Beau Brieske isn't anything special. Two of the worst offenses in all of baseball but 7 runs just feels low here for the meatballs on the mound. If there's a time to get the bats going it's here.

Pick: OVER 7

Adon has allowed 35 hits and he has 36 strikeouts in 33 innings pitched. Adon (1-5 career win-loss mark) has a 6.42 ERA and has conceded 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 24 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.663 and a FIP of 5.1. His K/BB ratio is 1.71

Walker has taken the ball for 751 frames and is sitting with 681 K's during his career. Walker (42-45 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.32 and his earned run average is 3.99 (333 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.235.

Plus money is tempting here with Washington +125, but Mets -165 is too pricey. I think we see some offense with Adon and Walker on the hill.

Pick: OVER 9

The Nets are now with their back against the wall as the Celtics are 3-0 up. Everybody expected KD and Kyrie to step up but the two super stars are having their worst shooting performances in a while. The Celtics, on the other hand, have Jayson Tatum who is killing the Nets on the offensive floor. However, the Nets are too good of a team and superstars like Durant and Irving will not allow being swept in the first round of the -playoffs. I'm betting KD has a game here at home.

Xavier has some quality wins this season but I'm not stepping in front of this Aggies team right now that is 9-1 over their last 10 games and have been winning by double digit margins.

Both of these offenses have been playing a very similar level and the defense is going to be the major difference maker. The Aggies have not been forced to sweat throughout the tournament as they have won by at least 12 points in each of their previous four games while the Musketeers have been eking out wins. Texas A&M also has has the better defense here.

Prediction: Texas A&M Aggies -4 (-120) Buying the hook just in case.

I really think Coastal wins this game out right. Not a game I am rushing to the window on that's for sure. Coastal has the better overall ranked team. I did 3 scoring scenarios. Coastal won 67 to 63 in the first scenario. The Neutral court scenario and the tournament play scenario both showed a tie at 68 68 and 69 69. Also a starter is out for Fresno State. It didn't matter much against Southern Utah because their star player was out but Coastal is Healthy. Again I'm not betting this game but if I did I would take Coastal +3

If Arizona plays like it did in the first two games of the tournament, it’s about to get smoked. Getting past Wright State with a sloppy effort was a bad look, but not being able to match TCU’s intensity was a big deal, too. The few days off will do wonders for Kriisa and Arizona. the talent is undeniable, but there are way too many lulls. This will be a defensive game from both sides, but again, the height on Arizona down low will be too much for Houston to overcome.

Providence is coming off a huge 21-point win (72-51) over Creighton Saturday. The Friars have won 3 straight games since losing at home to Villanova 89-84. They’ve only lost to Virginia, ‘Nova and Marquette.

The Friars have gotten quite a bit of flak this season for winning close games and not putting it on weaker opponents, but at then end of the day they only have a 3 losses. As mentioned, one of the losses was to the Wildcats by just 5 points.

Also, if the three times the Friars were underdogs by 5 or more points this season, they not only covered, but they went 3-0 straight up. Those 3 times were against good teams in UConn, at Xavier and at Wisconsin. Another nugget here for Providence betters is that the Friars are 5-0 ATS as a road underdog.

Pick: ***PROVIDENCE +9.5***

All that ails quarterback Baker Mayfield won't be fixed before this game and can't be fixed this season. Steelers will be amped by the atmosphere in what looks like Ben Roethlisberger's last game at Heinz Field.

Steelers 28, Browns 17

🏈 San Francisco -12.5

HOU has played six teams that rank T10 in OFF efficiency. They won one by 12, then lost five by 40, 28, 26, 16 and 31. In 3 games vs T5 rush teams, they allowed 588 yards and 5.2 per rush in 3 losses. Trey Lance is an upgrade at QB here IMO. SF runs all over them, and beats up the OL/Mills too.

🏈 Minnesota +13

I liked Minny w/ Kirk Cousins available. He’s out, so let’s knock a touchdown off of Minnesota’s score. Sean Mannion in single-digit temperatures at Lambeau Field? Against MVP favorite Aaron Rodgers? The only worry is that the bitter cold is a neutralizer of sorts and the Vikings stand tall in a physical battle at the line of scrimmage. 13 points just feels like too many for a Packers defense that can't stop the run. GB OL issues here again. This is too high of number considering it's going to be a low scoring game, Packers have O-line problems and a defense that can't stop the run.

K. State looked flat on offense last week, but that had more to do with a stout Baylor defense and there is no shame falling short against 11th-ranked Bears, and let's not forget KSU had won four in a row previous. And the concern for K. State bettors is QB Skylar Thompson (carted off last week and likely out this week) but don't panic as soph backup Will Howard has starting experience, including last year vs. Herman’s Longhorns.

We still can't overlook the fact that Texas offensive line is flat terrible and the Horns own the 107th-ranked defense in the country, and are vulnerable to a rushing attack. Texas also dealing with QB issues as both Hudson Card & Casey Thompson got banged up last week in Morgantown. So the question is, is Skylar Thompson absence really enough to justify ice-cold Texas being made a favorite? I don't think so, Will Howard will do enough to manage this game and Deuce Vaughn will have a monster game against this Texas sieve of a defense.

Wrong team favored. Play Kansas State.

The Pack will be without running back Aaron Jones in this one, but if AJ Dillon can keep the ground game going, Rodgers should have little problem moving the ball through the air on a mediocre Vikings secondary and Green Bay's defense will get more stops in this game.

Jeremy McNichols (concussion) and Bud Dupree (abdomen) have been out of practice for the Titans. With the backdoor cover also in play and Texans quarterback Tyrod Taylor more than capable, I want the 10 points in my pocket.

🏈***NCAAF EARLY WORMS 10/18*** 🐛

Scanning the opening lines vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/ and these games caught my attention. 🔒

🏈WAKE -3.5 - Army tough team but Wake more tested + better offense

🏈SYRACUSE +3 - Orange over VT - The Cuse' 9 points away from being 4-1 this year and have played a tougher schedule.

🏈PITTSBURGH -2 - Clemson is legitimately not good.

🏈Oklahoma -38 - KU has thrown in the towel. Sooners will score 60+

🏈OK STATE +7 - This line should be ISU -3 IMO

🏈UTSA -6.5 - I'm sold on this UTSA offense, plus La Tech has been bad last 2 weeks (coming off loss to UTEP).

You see anything that jumps off the page at you this week?

DROP YOUR CFB PICKS ⬇️

The Colts finally got a win last week, as they beat the lowly Dolphins to improve to 1-3. But the Colts lost a start off the D line last week and come into this game beat ups and not at all ready to contend with a much better Ravens team that is coming off a big win in Denver. The Ravens are getting their groove back after a rash of running back injuries. The Colts don’t stand a chance.

Predictions: Ravens 27, Colts 13

Georgia’s defense is elite, and I still don’t trust Bo Nix. The Auburn offense had issues getting going against LSU, and they are going to struggle to score in this game. I like Georgia in a 35-10 type of game.

The Steelers shocked the Buffalo Bills in Week 1, but it's been all downhill since. The Green Bay Packers were shocked by the New Orleans Saints in Week 1, but it's been all uphill since.

I really thought Aaron Rodgers had checked out mentally, but he has looked like a MVP in his last 2 starts. On the other side, Ben Roethlisberger is looking like what most would expect a nearing-40-year-old quarterback with an injury history to look like. It has not been pretty.

The Steelers offensive line just can't protect Roethlisberger, and the defense is no longer dominant enough to compensate for that. The Packers know how to bury teams at Lambeau, and the depleted Steelers are extremely vulnerable. This should be a no-brainer.

The Broncos are 3-0 straight-up and against the spread this season, while the Baltimore Ravens are 1-2 ATS against the Lions (despite hanging on to win) and Las Vegas Raiders.

The Broncos may be bound to come back to earth soon. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is off to the best start of his career, but he's now down two receivers with KJ Hamler joining Jerry Jeudy and the absence of Bradley Chubb could catch up to them today.

Lamar Jackson reportedly missed practice Wednesday and Thursday with a sore back, but he's expected to be ready to go for this one. I like the Ravens here at a near pick em' to take advantage of a banged up Denver team.

Prediction: Ravens 24, Broncos 21

Why Arkansas Will Win - Arkansas runs well, hits the big play down the field, controls games defensively on third downs, and has been winning the turnover battle. Georgia has turned the ball over seven times already this season in just 4 games. Arkansas needs to come up with a few takeaways on Saturday to have any chance.

Why Georgia Will Win - The Bulldog defense is special, it has only allowed 23 points so far against Clemson, two SEC teams, and a great UAB squad. South Carolina might not be great, but it has a defense. UAB’s D is solid, and Vanderbilt is … uh … Vanderbilt plays in the SEC. The Dawg O came up with over 1,500 yards and 158 in those three games.

Prediction: Arkansas has been phenomenal so far this season and deserve to be ranked, but it there’s a problem with penalties or turnovers the Hogs will have no chance. So if you like Arkansas this week, then you better pray for them to have a perfect game….and against Georgia I just don’t think that’s possible. I’ve got Georgia winning 34-13 and doing just enough to cover this big spread.

*UNDER - This Georgia defense is special and I don’t see Arkansas scoring more than 14 points here. But the Hogs also have a defense and haven’t allowed more than 255 yards in any of the last three games, so I think this is a defensive (low scoring) game.

Carson Wentz is reportedly starting today but he's not 100%. The Titans are coming off of a big win over the Seattle Seahawks and I think last week's game in Seattle really set the tone for the Titans this season.

Tennessee's pass defense continues to be worrisome but with Wentz not 100%, I expectTennessee will pound away with Derrick Henry, hit on a long score to A.J. Brown or Julio Jones and win by at least a touchdown to send the reeling Colts to 0-3.

Goff gets sacked 4+ times today.

Michigan wide receiver Ronnie Bell suffered a season-ending knee injury in the Week 1 win over Western Michigan. And that is a massive blow for this Wolverines offense. They ran very well against the Broncos, racking up 335 yards and three touchdowns on the ground, but moving the ball against Power Five defenses is going to be much more difficult unless/until they're able to establish a new deep threat or two. Big Blue will miss Bell this week.

And though Washington's offense was a train wreck in a 13-7 loss to Montana, defense has been the Huskies' calling card for the past six years. They were unable to force any turnovers against the Grizzlies, but that could change in a big way in this game.

A Washington win won't make any sense to anyone who watched both of these teams play in Week 1, but neither did Michigan losing to Michigan State in their second games of the 2020 season, after the former stomped Minnesota on the road and the latter lost at home to Rutgers.

With Washington's defense I like the 7 points here. I think this sets up for a closer than expected game and Huskies could win out right. Also think this is a defensive game so taking the UNDER 48.

Prediction: Washington 23, Michigan 17

Can BYU adjust to life after Zach Wilson? New quarterback Jaren Hall was adequate (198 passing yards, 36 rushing yards, two touchdowns) in the opener against Arizona, but that win over a team now on a 13-game losing streak was hardly a suitable litmus test for facing a usually excellent Utah defense.

Utah has won nine consecutive games in this rivalry, though eight of the last 10 in the series have been decided by eight points or fewer. Utah has 5th year Baylor transfer Charlie Brewer under center and the kid was excellent at Baylor and will have complete command of this Utah offense. I think it's going to be a close game determined by turn-overs, but in the end I think Brewer and the Utes are too much for a BYU team that is in a bit of re-building year. This line opened at -6 and got bet up to -7, tough number here but slightest of lean on taking the points.

Prediction: Utah 30, BYU 24

In each of its six games played last fall, Eastern Michigan allowed at least 400 yards of offense (210 passing yards and at least 190 rushing yards). Wisconsin has been held below 370 yards of total offense in each of its last six game so no time like the present to get the Badgers offense going.

This line opened at Wisconsin -32 but public action has pounded EMU driving this number down to Wisconsin -26. Little leery to keep chasing public sentiment here and I think Wisconsin has shaken off the rust and can win by 4 TD's. More of a fade of a bad Eastern Michigan team.

Prediction: Wisconsin 38, Eastern Michigan 9

Come on Royals lets work man, it's Labor Day. Pay me.

What happened to Corbin? He used to be good.

Virginia Tech is returning all five of its leading receivers from last season and junior quarterback Braxton Burmeister, plus they’re playing at home under the lights inside Lane Stadium. Sure VT has to deal with Sam Howell who is a Heisman contender this year, but UNC lost a pile of players including: Dazz Newsome, Dyami Brown, Javonte Williams and Michael Carter.

Virginia Tech is a very talented football team with bulk of starters returning on both sides of the ball, but the quarterback position is a question mark, but if Braxton Burmeister can play quality football the Hokies will surprise a lot of people, and I think that begins tonight against the Tar Heels. Taking the 6 points here in a game VT could win out right.

Wood has been pretty choppy over his last three games, posting 13 earned runs on 19 hits in a span of 15.0 innings. SF Giants don't deserve to be -200 favs here.

Detroit has played much better baseball over the last two months, but they aren't in Boston's class.