Picks Saturday Jul, 20, 2019
6 Picks
$750 RISKED
MLB 1:05pm EST
UNDER 11.5
 
Colorado +215
New York -235
MLB 4:05pm EST
SF -142
 
New York +132
Giants -142
MLB 6:10pm EST
TOR -116
 
Toronto -116
Detroit +106
MLB 7:05pm EST
UNDER 11.5
 
Boston -215
Orioles +195
MLB 7:10pm EST
CLE -162
Over11
Royals +152
Indians -162
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • @SimonSays • 4h

    Both starters in this game will get hit hard, especially Junis, who has given up nearly a run an inning in his three starts against Cleveland this season. I expect the Tribe to get to Junis again tonight.

    My Pick: Cleveland -162 & Over 11 90%
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  • @SimonSays • 5h

    We should see some runs here today with Porcello and Eshelman on the hill, but 11.5 just feels a little high and thats due to the public not believing in Porcello and maybe even underestimating Eshelman. Either way, I think Porcello keeps the O's 28th ranked offense at Bay with an easy winner and goes under the total. Boston wins a 7-3 type of game.

    My Pick: Under 11.5 90%
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  • @SimonSays • 5h

    Theres not much to like about this game, two of the worst two teams in baseball on both sides of the ball. I would lean Toronto in this spot. Thornton has been decent and the Jays bullpen is far and away better than the Tigers bullpen. Norris is a gas can and Toronto is decent against lefties.

    My Pick: Toronto -116 90%
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  • @SimonSays • 5h

    The Giants have been on fire lately and have already won the first two games of this series. The Giants also have the significantly better starting pitcher for this matchup and I can see Samardzija shutting down the 21st ranked Mets offense in this one. Break out the broom, I think it's a sweep.

    My Pick: San Francisco -142 90%
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  • @SimonSays • 5h

    ***UNDER 11.5*** Tanaka being on the mound at home against a struggling Rockies road offense is one of two reasons why I wouldnt take the over in this game. The other reason is the fact that the Rockies pitching rotation quietly has the fifth-best road ERA in baseball. I expect their bullpen to show some fight down the stretch. Love the UNDER 11.5 this afternoon.

    My Pick: Under 11.5 90%
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    • 13
  • @SimonSays • 2d

    ***PHILLY (4 UNITS)*** - It's hard to bet against Philly and Aaron Nola right now - the Philly ace has been dominate, holding his opponents to one or zero earned runs in each of his last five starts, and that includes outings against the tough Braves and Nationals. Ross Stripling is solid, he is the one pitcher in the Dodgers rotation that will give up runs.

    My Pick: Philadelphia -101 90%
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    • 105
  • @SimonSays • 4d

    ***OVER 8 (3 UNIT PLAY) ***Yamamoto had a good game against Atlanta (giving up 0 runs in 6 innings) but his underlying peripherals suggest that his successful run could be coming to an end soon. He owns a very slim BABIP, a higher-than-average walk rate, and an xFIP (4.76) that is 3.5-runs higher than his current ERA. Logan Allen has given up 8 runs in last six innings of work and even as bad as Miami's offense is I still think they will be able to hit Allen today. This total should be 9 or 10 IMO, I like the OVERS here today.

    My Pick: Over 8 90%
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    • 115
  • @SimonSays • 4d

    Stanek has been solid this season but the Yankees starter CC Sabathia has seen plenty of the Rays this season and he has silenced their bats by allowing only seven runs in 24 innings which equates to a sharp 2.63 ERA. The left-hander is very tough to solve at Yankee Stadium where he features a 4-1 record and a stifling 2.31 ERA on the season. The Rays have lost 5 of their last 6 games at Yankee Stadium and the way their offense has been swinging the bats I don't see that changing today.

    My Pick: New York +104 90%
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  • @SimonSays • 6d

    Two teams trending opposite directions here - Milwaukee has dropped six of their last seven, while San Francisco has won seven of their last eight contests. Chacin has been struggling and shocked to see Brewers has such a heavy favorite here - the Giants have a much better bullpen to work with and Beede is just as good as Chacin IMO. Got to like the +155 money here today.

    My Pick: San Francisco +155 90%
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    • 117
  • @SimonSays • 6d

    New York is the better of these two teams and is rightfully a heavy favorite but -220 might be a little extreme here. Alacantara is more than serviceable and if a couple of balls falls for Miami I think they can pull the upset here. In what should be a low scoring game I like the 2X money with the Fins here at home.

    My Pick: Miami +190 90%
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    • 110
  • @SimonSays • 7d

    I like Washington tonight and mostly because of Corbin and the Phillies inability to consistently hit lefties. Corbin has allowed only three earned runs over the past 28 innings pitched. Nola could be great but hes been inconsistent and the Nationals know how to smash lefties. Got to love the Nats here at virtual even money.

    My Pick: Washington +104 90%
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  • @SimonSays • 7d

    Chicago Cubs is the better of these two teams and it is not even close. The Cubs are one of the best home teams in the entire league and should play well in this one behind the better hurler in Jon Lester. Not the best odds here but would play Cubs on the run line if forced to play it.

    My Pick: Chicago -180 90%
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    • 120
  • @SimonSays • 7d

    The Orioles may be sending their best arm to the mound in Means, but they struggled with their run production throughout the year from their offense. This should come to their detriment in the nightcap of the doubleheader. Ultimately I predict it will be a clean sweep. Tampa Bay all day.

    My Pick: Tampa Bay -103 90%
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    • 139
  • @SimonSays • 1w

    The big plus money is tempting here and I think we could see the Blue Jays make this a closer game than it should be, but they still lack the firepower offensively to hang with the Yankees. German should have strong night on the mound and the Yankees should be able to win the series opener. RUN LINE - New York Yankees (-1 -138)

    My Pick: New York -260 90%
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    • 118
  • @SimonSays • 1w

    The Nationals should be able to tee off against Pivetta and should set the table for a high scoring game.

    My Pick: Washington -130 & Over 9.5 90%
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    • 168
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