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Colts Chiefs

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction, preview and odds.

Indianapolis Colts (11-6) take on the Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) on January 12, 2019, 4:35 PM ET at the Arrowhead Stadium.

ODDS: IND +4.5 o/u 55.0
OPEN: IND +5 o/u 56.5

Weather:
Snow Showers with 100% cloud cover and a 55% chance for rain. It will be 32° with 88% humidity and winds at 11 mph NNE. The Arrowhead Stadium has an open roof so weather should be considered.

Rankings:
Indianapolis is ranked #7 in offense and #9 in defense while Kansas City is ranked #1 offensively and #24 defensively.

Indianapolis Stats
Passing Yards 278.8 6th
Rushing Yards 107.4 20th
Points For 27.1 5th
Points Against 21.5 10th
Kansas City Stats
Passing Yards 309.7 3rd
Rushing Yards 115.9 16th
Points For 35.3 1st
Points Against 26.3 24th

Betting Trends:

  • Colts are 11-6 (9-7-1 ATS) this season
  • Indianapolis o/u is 4-6 the last 10 games
  • Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Chiefs are 12-4 (9-6-1 ATS) this season
  • Kansas City o/u is 6-4 the last 10 games
  • Kansas City is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Kansas City is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

Prediction: Colts 27 - Chiefs 27
Betting Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 and UNDER 55

Computer Prediction - Sportsjaw Scorecaster is a free prediction tool using fundamental NFL handicapping metrics: offensive and defensive stats, score differentials, yards per attempt, rushing yards, NFL power rankings, rushing/passing yards, and points allowed.

  • Bettor Insights

  • January 12 at 7:17pm


    • Comment
    • 54 Agree
  • January 12 at 6:06pm

    2nd Half Bets- Colts PK Over/Under 24.5?? Who you got?

    • 2 Comments
    • 53 Agree
    • @GoldFinger
      January 12 at 6:09pmMore
      Well weather certainly hasn't been an issue like predicted. I would lean Indy 2nd half but the Chiefs offense looks unstoppable. I'll pass.
    • @GeorgeW
      January 12 at 6:12pmMore
      I like Colts second half, cant imagine a repeat of that 1st half
  • Bet on MyBookie
  • January 12 at 5:07pm

    Will someone let the Colts know the game started.

    • Comment
    • 64 Agree
  • @MarkStevens 60% Last 10
    January 12 at 4:29pm

    Patrick Mahomes is a unique talent that simply likes to play the game of football and now hes on the big stage and it's his time to shine. The weather isn't going to phase him, look for the Chiefs to attack early and often.

    My Pick: Kansas City -5.5

    • Comment
    • 73 Agree
  • @texasg 60% Last 10
    January 12 at 3:29pm

    Luck is a competitor and if it's close, and it should be, he is one of the best at pulling off the upset. Mahomes is a good quarterback and possibly the MVP this season but I've seen him fall in the 2 biggest games he has had this season and I expect the same today.

    My Pick: Indianapolis +5.5

    • Comment
    • 45 Agree
  • January 12 at 12:43pm

    Money keeps rolling in on Indy. So I am switching my gears. While I thought originally this line was too high on the Chiefs and that Luck and Co. can compete in a shootout, I'm beginning to think, you shut down Ebron as a security blanket, keep a Safety overtop for Hilton and this Offense suddenly seems like the type that can't keep up with the headache that is one of Andy Reid's most fascinating creations in his illustrious career. It's been a heck of a ride for Indy this year and hats off but Andy Reid isn't messing around as he's been one-n-done'd way too many times in his career. KC covers and we go over in late 4th quarter on a meaningless TD from Indy. KC 33- 24.

    My Pick: Kansas City -5 & Over 56

    • 1 Comment
    • 42 Agree
  • @JohnWilks 50% Last 10
    January 12 at 11:47am

    I know everyone is in love with KC and they are America's sweetheart. But There is no denying how well the Colts have been playing and they have a stout D. As we have seen over the years defense seems to be a bigger factor in the post season and the line has moved since yesterday from 5.5 to 5. This tells us people are starting to come around to the colts and I'll do the same and take the points.

    My Pick: Indianapolis +5

    • 1 Comment
    • 59 Agree
    • @maurice76
      January 12 at 11:51amMore
      I don't think the Colts win but it's going to be a close game.
  • January 12 at 10:33am

    Nyheim Hines game log has a theme to it if you study it carefully. In games where the Colts have won by single digits or lost, he averages 4.7 targets compared to just 3 when they are winning by more than single digits. This is basically saying if the colts are trailing or the game is close, he will be invovled and if he see's 5 or more targets today I think he's a lock for over 24.5 passing yards. I like the colts today and surely don't see them blowing the Chiefs out so I'll ride Hines over 24.5 receiving yards

    • Comment
    • 52 Agree
  • January 12 at 9:59am


    • Comment
    • 68 Agree
  • January 12 at 8:39am

    Pumped for this game today. Weather may make it even more fun. Not sure the Colts can win outright but I took them to cover.

    • Comment
    • 52 Agree
  • January 11 at 11:02am

    Weather is forecasted to be a cold mess in Kansas City tomorrow, 70% chance of snow/rain and 34 degrees at kickoff....and gusting winds up to 15MPH. I think these conditions favor the run game and the team with the better defense. I full expect to see this total of 57 drop to 53-54 before kickoff so lock in the UNDERS now.

    My Pick: Indianapolis +5.5 & Under 57

    • 2 Comments
    • 67 Agree
    • @RoyceJacobs
      January 11 at 11:43amMore
      Thanks for the heads up! Got it locked in.
    • @BadMan
      January 11 at 12:28pmMore
      I agree, Denver to NYC is going to turn white over the weekend. Locked in.
  • January 11 at 10:46am

    Expect the Chiefs to show a little rust in the beginning after a 2 week break and a rookie QB in his first playoff game. I hope this line moves to Colts +6 or 7 but either way I'm going with Indy +5.5.

    • 1 Comment
    • 73 Agree
    • @IrishBlue
      January 11 at 12:07pmMore
      Mahomes doesn't strike me as a player who will get rattled by playoffs buy I'm with ya. I got Colts at 5.5 too.
  • January 11 at 9:38am

    Colts +5.5. I think this Indianapolis team will surprise a lot of people. I think their defense is a lot better than what people give them credit for and Luck is playing lights out right now. I won't be surprised if they win but I'm going to grab points just in case.

    • Comment
    • 60 Agree
  • January 11 at 9:00am

    This is where Colts luck stops. KC will blow them away. The chiefs are real playoffs contender , even SB and they don't 'play around' at home.

    My Pick: Kansas City -5.5

    • 3 Comments
    • 67 Agree
    • @JoeM81
      January 11 at 9:30amMore
      Hum. I went the other way. KC has slowed their roll while Colts seem to have found their groove. Not sure colts win but think its closer than 5.5.
    • @RoyceJacobs
      January 11 at 9:57amMore
      Lol. I came here looking for some help deciding on this one. I keep going back and forth.
    • @GoldPicks
      January 11 at 11:04amMore
      I think freezing sleet is going to hamper the KC passing game.
  • January 9 at 11:37am


    • Comment
    • 53 Agree
  • January 9 at 9:54am

    Everyone will be on KC to cover but we all know what happens when you expect too much from a team to win & cover .... This is playoffs, everyteam will play hard as f* , im pretty sure Colts will keep this game close so ill take the + pts. BOL

    My Pick: Kansas City -5.5

    • Comment
    • 39 Agree
  • @MarkStevens 60% Last 10
    January 7 at 1:43pm

    The Colts haven't faced a real quarterback lately and the Chiefs have the MVP, who will take off and run on you as well if he has to. The Chiefs defense is better than their rank as well, with how fast and early that the Chiefs score teams have to go to the air more than the average to try and catch up. I expect a high scoring game with the Chiefs outlasting the Colts.

    My Pick: Kansas City -5.5

    • 1 Comment
    • 77 Agree
  • January 7 at 1:41pm


    • Comment
    • 54 Agree
  • @EasyMoney 80% Last 10
    January 7 at 2:54am

    Kansas City has the #1 ranked offense in the league which is great. However, the wheels have been coming off this joy ride for a while. Indianapolis is going to expose them.

    My Pick: Indianapolis +5.5

    • Comment
    • 59 Agree
  • @texasg 60% Last 10
    January 7 at 12:43am

    All year long the Chiefs defense has been suspect. Andrew Luck and the Colts offense have started hitting their stride and that spells trouble for the Chiefs and the rest of the AFC. When you combine it with a defense that has gotten tougher over the last couple weeks we very well could see them in the super bowl.

    My Pick: Indianapolis +5.5

    • Comment
    • 60 Agree
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