Picks Thursday Sep, 19, 2019
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09/06/2019   -   LOST $135

BAL -135
 
Texas 7
Orioles 6
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • @Natdog • 2w

    Burke is a decent pitching prospect that had a 26% strikeout rate at both the Double and Triple-A levels this season. In his first three major league starts, he owns a 5.03 SIERA with a k-rate of only 15%. While the Orioles are an enticing matchup, I have a hard time trusting young pitchers on the road, especially in hitter-friendly ballparks. I'll take Bundy and the O's

    My Pick: Baltimore -135
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  • @Natdog • 2w

    This is where I ended up landing with tonights game as well. We have a lot of unknowns but I just love this D from chicago

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  • @Natdog • 2w

    Perez may not be the best pitching in the twins rotation but he's slightly above average overall. I really don't think the same can be said about Nathan Eovaldi. Granted I have a personal grudge against this guy because I had the under in the game they let him get his first look in the bigs this year in relief and he gave up three in one inning. People will think i'm crazy, but I take the twins lineup over the red sox and Iove the twins at this price

    My Pick: Minnesota +138
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    • 129
  • @Natdog • 2w

    Ovbiously everyone is going to have the indians as winners here but can you really pay that price? I suppose you can but I like Nova a little here and have a feeling if you bet the indians you may be sweating. Nova has great groundball rate and really limits damage. His ERA is really determined more by his medium than his mean because he never really gets lit up. He is really consistent and always gives up 2-5 range and it's not like he shuts teams out then gets rocked for 10. I see the indians getting 3-4 today and I think the Under is the play because of Bieber on the other side.

    My Pick: Under 8.5
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    • 105
  • @Natdog • 3w

    Price hasn't looked good at all of late and I cna't get behind him at all. He's giving up 7 4 3 and 6 his last four and has only gone as far as 6 innings once. This angels team is 2nd best at not striking out and they have a hitting ump behind the plate today. I also don't like Heaney and he's coming in with bad form and I like one of these two to get lit up and i'll take the over

    My Pick: Over 9.5
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    • 131
  • @Natdog • 3w

    Morton did not look good in his last start and he's had way to many starts where he's got rocked. This Indians lineup looks really good and I'm not to worried about the Rays piling up runs, so this is a great dog spot

    My Pick: Cleveland +165
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    • 149
  • @Natdog • 3w

    I love Bieber in this spot and this ball park. Pruitt is a talented pitcher in his own right and the rays came alive yesterday on the bats against the astros, but I don't think that's going to happen on the biebs

    My Pick: Cleveland -138
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    • 138
  • @Natdog • 3w

    Berrios struggles on the road and hasn't looked sharp at all in his last couple of starts. Cease has good stuff and if he's on, he's really a good pitcher. I just like the value and I actaully like the over as well becaues i have a feeling that Berrios struggles and gets rocked. I'll bet half a unit on a white sox win/over parlay

    My Pick: Chicago +160 & Over 10
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    • 151
  • @Natdog • 3w

    Clevinger has taking over as the Indians Ace and has been pitching lights out. I love the run line on this game at -150 because the indians get their 9th inning at bat no matter what. I also like that the indians have more power righties like Puig to match Norris and I think this is a slam dunk win for the indians. They really need this because they are in a close race and they have their best pitcher on the mound against a leftie who's had a horrific season and is playing for nothing. Sometimes it's best not to over think things

    My Pick: Cleveland -230
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    • 100
  • @Natdog • 3w

    I just have a feeling this game is going to see more run production than most would think. I can't get behind Hendricks on the road and Thor has had his moments, but he's not as elite as most make him out to be. 7.5 is a low score for this era of baseball

    My Pick: Over 7.5
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    • 144
  • @Natdog • 3w

    I agree, not to mention scherzer is most likely still on a pitch count adn this nats pen has been lit up plenty of times.

    My Pick: Baltimore +350
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  • @Natdog • 3w

    Cole should have a simular game as verlander you'd think, and I don't see many runs coming from the Rays. Yarbrough is pretty good and I don't think we see that many runs like we did yesterday. THis seems like a great under

    My Pick: Under 8
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    • 115
  • @Natdog • 3w

    why does this feel like such a trap? Luis Castillo vs the fins and he's only -150? Well i've been saying all year that Caleb smith is the marlins ace (granted I like zach gallen more and trevor richard as well but they are both traded) and baseball is all about pitching. Castillo has seems to change his game up and you can tell by his recent performances. His control has dramastically improved because he's sacrificing strike outs for soft contact. Therefore his walks are down because he's not going for swinging misses like he used to. This total is really low because Smith has the same periphials as a lot of other aces but I just have to give the edge to castillo here and I like under F5 if I'm being honest because I don't see many runs giving up by these starters

    My Pick: Under 7
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  • @Natdog • 3w

    Dustin May's one of the top pitching prospects in baseball and while he hasnt shown a ton of strikeout upside at any level, he has tremendous control and an ability to generate ground balls at a high rate. The lack of strikeouts is a concern in most matchups, but not against the Padres. Their projected lineup has an average xwOBA of only .289 with an average k-rate of 28% against right-handed pitching. On the other side Lauer has made 23 starts this season, posting a respectable 4.80 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 19% and a walk rate of 7%. He typically offers a relatively high floor and a relatively low ceiling. While hes pitching at home in a great ballpark, he draws a difficult matchup against the Dodgers. Their projected lineup has an average xwOBA of .327 with an average ISO of .197 against southpaws. I have to go with the dodgers on this one

    My Pick: Los Angeles -145
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    • 101
  • @Natdog • 3w

    I really like The Dbacks in this spot and Beede has been horrible. Granted he pitches a lot better at home but this Dbacks lineup just looks a lot better than the Giants. The Dbacks are a lot better against righties now with Lamb back in the lineup and Peralta hitting the way he has. I just like the Dbacks lineup better and this game is set at a pick

    My Pick: Arizona -105
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    • 111
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