Clayton Richard has looked horrible to start his year and I'm not sure if ballpark has something to do with it. Going from San Diego to Toronto is a pretty extreme change but Richard has always been a soft contact high ground ball pitcher. I don't think this Astros lineup is as good as their reputiion right now and I like this to go under. Vladdy JR took a ball off his hand is not in the line up and this blue jay line up isn't that great either. I think this goes under because Framber is starting to find his zone as well. I like the under in todays game
Minor pitched 8 innings on Monday against the Red Sox, striking out six and allowing only two runs in the Rangers' win. Roark has had control issues. Let's get on the Rangers tonight.
this is one of those games where I don't think Lopez is that bad of a pitcher, and I also like the Pirates at this price because Agrazai looked pretty good in the minors and I think his skill set should transfer over to this game for the reasons jon wilks said. This should feel just like a minor league game for him. But This total has dropped a full run so I like the under in this game. Got it at 8 but I guess 7.5 isn't the worst. This is a tough park to hit in so balls should stay in the park
Arizona has been crushing as of late but they haven't faced any aces like Strasburg. This is one of those games where I feel like Stras won't get run support and I'll just ride the under. Clacke isn't the greatest but I don't see him getting lit up and as scary as this is after yesterday, i'm on another under
well yesterday was a fucking mess and all my unders went over! It happens but today I'm hoping to see some dogs win and I like this price. Every game today has heavy favorite and I like Bundy here. I know sale has had a few games where he's blown up and while bundy is HR prone, he's a decent pitcher so I'll drop a unit baltimore today
I'm not a huge supporter of Valdez but he has found a nice spot in Houston with his 2.73 ERA and he will be helped by the Houston bats today. They threw up 15 last night. I don't think they do another 15 but with the Astros it's always possible.50%
With Strasburg on the mound today the natural reaction would be to lean his way in a decision but I think this one is maybe a little more difficult to pick. Arizona has been stunning offensively and defensively which I think kind of evens this out. I'll go with the under today though playing sort of safe.70%
@DCornell74 has hit the key points on this game on the head. The potential for the Giants to steal one here is real. I like Bumgarner and hope he leaves San Francisco sooner rather than later. He may not still be an "ace" but under the right conditions and right team he is solid.70%
Shane Bieber is a great real life pitcher but doesn't get too much attentnion because his strike out rate isn't too crazy. He does a great job limiting opponents and this Tiger team is nothing to fear in it's own right. On the other side Gregory Soto is making a spot start for Kyle Funkouser and Soto hasn't looked good at all this year. He hasnt' pitched more than 4 innings in a game and he's giving up 14 runs in his 9.2 innings pitched this year. With that being said, I think he does a little better today and he is still a major league pitcher. I like the under in this match up because I just don't think these numbers are this sustanable or he woudln't be in the majors. You can get under 9 even money right now and that's what I'm going to take today
Pablo Lopez isn't a great pitcher and this pirates team lines up really well against him. Lopez see's his strike out rate drop 33% to left handed batters and he gives up a .348 WOBA to them as well. More inporantly he's giving up a 38% hard contact rate to lefties meaning they really put the ball in play against him. The pirates are rolling out 5 left handed batters and the lineup as a whole has a 38% hard hit rate. Dario (I love that name for some reason) is making his major league debut and as we've seen in the pasts teams often struggle because they don't have anything to go off of to prepare for him but minor league info. I try not to take pitchers making their debut but this shouldn't feel any different than a minor league game for him anyways. The marlins lineup looks like a minor league team and there is probably as many people in the stands for a marlins game as their is a minor league game so his nerves shouldn't get the best of him. I love his 55% ground ball rate and love the value of the pirates here.50%
Getting even money with Minor (2.52 ERA) and the 2nd best offense in MLB? Yes Please. Laying the lumber on Texas today!60%
There are three reasons why San Francisco is the pick here, #1 Milwaukee starter Jimmy Nelson has only started one game (on June 5th) since 2017 and his rust showed. He was chased in three innings by Miami, a poor offense, after allowing four earned runs and three walks. Plus, his fastball lacked zip, registering 1.7 mph slower on average than 2017. #2 Madison Bumgarner is a potential trade chip and hes been busy showing what hes worth. In eight starts since May 1st, hes gone 6-plus innings in every start while walking just 12 batters (2.2 per nine innings). #3 San Fran fans have no one left to cheer for except the Giants; expect a legitimate home-field advantage for the Giants on Saturday.60%
This line is a bit of a head scratcher. Yes, Newcomb has been used sparingly in a reliever role lately, and Nola has some strong numbers in his career against Atlanta and is 6-1 on the year. The Braves are riding an eight game winning streak, and if we are being honest, I dont think Nola has pitched as well as his record would indicate. Nola has allowed nine runs in his last two starts spanning 12 innings of work, and while he may stifle the Braves again, I cant pass on Atlanta at this price today. I like Atlanta with Newcomb at home to win a low scoring game.50%
The +172 plus money is tempting, but the issue with the Angels here is that Morton has been stellar on the year, and is coming off of back-to-back seven inning shutout performances heading into this start. Tampa Bay should be able to get the win here today, but at these odds the value bet is probably on the UNDER 8.5 in what should be a defensive game today.50%
Bieber has one good start in his last 3 games over his last three outings, and has given up 13 runs in 13 innings of work but oddly enough hes won two of those and hasnt even recorded a loss since May 13 on the road against the White Sox. Biebers two bad starts came against the Yankees and Boston, so I think we can trust him in this spot against a Detroit offense that ranks 29th. I'll lay the juice with the Indians on the road.50%
I originally thought the Yankees would split this series like their last two but I realize C.C. is starting and he has lost something. He can still be a good pitcher but I don't see him dominating like in the past. Chicago at home.60%
This game has red flags all over it. Why are the brewers only -138 against the Giants? This seems kind of square to be locking the brewers because I said the same thing when Kershaw faced Pomeranz and these Giants. Davies has a SIERA of 5 so that worries me. Pomeranz does a great job against lefties and that's where the brewers best bats are. I like the Giants +1.5 here but there is a case to be made for +12850%
Good matchup tonight expect a good game. Pivetta despite his 4-1 record has gotten roughed up whereas Fried has been pretty consistent and settled in for the stretch of the season.
I'm going with the Mets at home tonight. Both teams are unbalanced right now and that makes them very unpredictable, however the Mets are dare to say good at home.
Run Line has value here at (+100). The Dodgers are tough at home, winning 26 of 33 and I like Rich Hill, who has allowed just two earned runs in his last 17 innings. Two good offenses going at it but I think the unders are also worth a look. LA wins 5-2 type of game.