Henderson, NV

Picks Thursday Sep, 19, 2019
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09/08/2019   -   WON $200

NE -5.5
Steelers 3
Patriots 33
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • With Flacco the Broncos now get a mix of talent and experience they havent had since Manning. Flacco has a slew of weapons now which makes another losing season unacceptable. Helping Flacco on offense is Phillip Lindsey, and Courtland Sutton and Emmanuel Sanders. Defensively, the Broncos bring back one of the best units in the league. Under Fangio, whos touted as a defensive mastermind, the Broncos D enters 2019 projected as the 2nd best defense in the NFL. This game was a PICK EM' before the Antonio Brown news broke, but now sits at DEN (-2.5). That goes to show big Browns influence is on Oaklands overall success. Without him, theyre a bad team; their defense is second-worst in the league. I predict the Broncos win by double digits tonight, lay the points. Predicted Score: Denver 34- Oakland 13

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  • The Texans took some major strides forward this past season having won the AFC South that earned them a trip back to the playoffs only to get thrashed by the Colts. It was a loss that only further underlined the issues that the team had all of the 2018 campaign with their lack of consistent play along the offensive line that contributed to their offense struggling to put up points. The Texans appear to have a franchise cornerstone under center with Deshaun Watson, but the teams inability to pass protect draws some major concerns.

    After the missed call and interception in overtime against the Rams, New Orleans once again has their eyes on putting forth another highly successful campaign with their eyes set on reaching the Super Bowl once again.

    I like New Orleans to win this game but 7 points is a big number in NFL against a quality Texans team. These two teams are fairly balanced against each other but the Saints pass-rush should prove to be the difference as the Texans offensive line is work in progress as Tunsil is still getting acclimated to his new surroundings and playbook. Meanwhile, the Saints had(have) one of the best pass rushes in the league and I think they make life miserable for Watson. Betting Prediction: New Orleans -6.5

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  • The Patriots opened at 6.5 point favorites and most books on the strip have the Patriots at 5.5 points. I would take the Steelers but Im not sure how Juju is going to work out now that Antonio Brown has left. Its much easier to snag balls when the number one receiver is being double-teamed but another matter altogether when Schuster is the main man.

    For all of the transitional talk for the Patriots, the same could be said about the Steelers with Smith-Schuster stepping into the role of a No. 1 receiver for the first time. Patriots coach Bill Belichick will either put him on an island with All-Pro corner Stephon Gilmore or double him with safety help over the top.

    Unless he figures out a way to win those battles, the Steelers are pretty limited in their receiving options behind him. They can try to lean heavily on the running game, but the Patriots defensive front should be able to stand its ground against James Conner, who is fantastic but still not Bell. The easy pick is on laying the 5.5 points with the New England Patriots tonight. The UNDER 49 is also worth a look as I expect Pittsburgh to struggle scoring tonight against this Patriots defense.

    My Pick: New England -5.5 & Under 49 60%
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  • KC ROYALS +120 (DOG OF THE DAY) - While Jorge Lopez hasn't looked great I still trust him more than Pablo Lopez. The Royals are playing good ball right now and have the better pitcher on the mound. I think Vegas has the wrong team favored here - Lock up this plus money now as I suspect this line to move before first pitch.

    My Pick: Kansas City +120 60%
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  • The Packers have a healthy Aaron Rodgers and made a couple of significant additions to their defense. The Bears are understandably the favorite, but Green Bay has the pieces to be a contender again as long as Rodgers and new coach Matt LaFleur coexist. Packers 21, Bears 17.

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  • Notre Dame reportedly getting 71% of the public action today, line has moved from 16.5 to now 19 at most books.

    My Pick: Notre Dame -18.5 60%
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  • It's set to be a retooling year for Louisville with a new HC and several new faces on both sides of the ball. So long as the Irish play as theyre capable, I dont see a whole lot of issues with them winning by 3 TD's here tonight.

    My Pick: Notre Dame -18.5 60%
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  • A bettor just placed an $11,000 bet on the over of 79.5 points for Oklahoma-Houston tonight at
    @PointsBetUSA . Wins $10,000.

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  • Does a 4-8 Nebraska team deserve to be 36 point favorites here? Nebraska has an explosive offense led by a dominant quarterback, while South Alabamas untested sophomore will make his first career start. I see Nebraska getting off to a fast start against the porous Jags defense and the Huskers will cruise to a big lead in the 1st half. But I think we see a lot of reserves in 2nd half for Nebraska and South Alabama has enough big play makers to snap off big plays and get a back door cover. Low confidence play, but got to take the boat load of points.

    My Pick: South Alabama +36 60%
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  • The days of Iowa State losing to an FCS team are in the rearview mirror. If you want to bet on a FCS team beating a Big 12 team then maybe take Indiana Sycamores beating Kansas. Purdy lights it up today, and ISU defense stifles Northern Iowa, lay the points. Predicted score: Iowa State, 37, UNI 9

    My Pick: Iowa St. -20.5 60%
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  • The Seminoles have a very talented team, especially on defense, despite the loss of Brian Burns, but I can't forget out bad the Nole's looked last season offensively. The Broncos program shows up every single game and have more trust in their coaching. The Broncos won 10 games in their last three seasons but dont feel like they get the respect they deserve. Even though they will have a true freshman under center, they got most of their defense back and 3 starters back on the O-line. Dont expect the Broncos to be intimidated in this game. This FSU program reminds me a lot of South Florida. I'm taking Boise and the points until the Noles can show me something.

    My Pick: Boise St. +6.5 60%
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  • The Ragin Cajuns showed a lot of promise a season ago and this program could develop into a solid one. That said, theres still a gulf of talent between the Ragin Cajuns and the Bulldogs that will make things difficult for Napier in this game.While there might be some bumps in the road for this pairing as Stevens gets accustomed to starting for the Bulldogs, MSUs offense should thrive in this game against an outmatched opponent on defense. Bulldogs will dominate the line of scrimmage and move the ball at will 3 yards and a cloud of dust style. Score: Mississippi State 52, Louisiana 17

    My Pick: Mississippi St. -19 60%
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  • BYU may be at home but the fact remains that there is a lot of youth for the Cougars. Utah has a stingy defense and they have quality talent to work with offensively. Looking at Sagarin's rankings, BYU is ranked #71 with a rating of 69.62 and Utah is ranked #22 with a rating of 81.18. Sagarins formula currently values home field advantage as worth 2.25 points. So subtracting the difference between the ratings and adding home-field points, Sagarin has Utah by 9.3. Lock in Utah at -6.5 because I wouldn't be surprised to see this one move to -7 before kick.

    My Pick: Utah -6.5 60%
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  • This might be a sucker bet but hard to pass up 37 points in this game. This line opened at -33 and the money still poured in on Clemson moving the line all the way to 37. This is a very high spread, and while Georgia Tech is a team in transition, they are still an ACC team that plays with a ton of pride and has D1 talent. The Yellow Jackets defense, especially their secondary is solid, so I expect them to at least slow Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence and the potent Tiger offense. And I just think it's hard to cover a 37 point spread when GT runs the triple option which burns a lot of clock and limits Clemson's possessions. Clemson wins a 48-17 type of game and GT gets the cover.

    My Pick: Georgia Tech +37 60%
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  • We should see some fire works in this game with two offensive minded teams. The Bruins are deeper on offense, particularly at receiver, but UCLA is expected to be defensively deficient this season and I think Cincinnati will win the battle in the trenches tonight. Chip Kelly and UCLA on the road is the scariest proposition in college football, and with all that experience back for the Bearcats you have to like them at home. I'l lay the points here and think Cinci wins the home opener.

    My Pick: Cincinnati -2.5 60%
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  • Pending

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