@MichaelBenson

Henderson, NV

Picks Sunday Jul, 21, 2019
1 Picks
$100 RISKED
MLB 10:10pm EST
LAA +105
 
Angels +105
Seattle -115
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • The Stro's have played well with Verlander on the mound, winning 11 of his last 15 starts, but Verlander has looked human most of the season and while Houston should be favored here, I don't think they are -220 favorites. Texas' Mike Minor has been one of the bright spots in the Texas rotation and gives the Rangers a fighting chance to win this game tonight. I'll take Texas here getting 2X on my money eve if it is more of a vale bet.

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  • Leake has been touched up in 2 of his last 3 starts and the Mariners are simply not playing well right now. The Angels are on a roll and have won five of their last six games and Barria is better than his 5.21 ERA. The Angels are the better team with the better pitcher here tonight.

    My Pick: Los Angeles +105 60%
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    • 76
  • Robbie Ray is coming off an outstanding start against the Cardinals in which he allowed just one run on two hits over 6 1/3 innings. I think the D-backs will get to Chavez tonight. Got to take Arizona at the cheap price with Robbie Ray on the hill tonight.

    My Pick: Arizona -128 60%
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    • 150
  • Cole was touched up against Texas but he has been terrific lately, going 5-0 with a 2.21 ERA in his last nine starts. Pena is has been solid in his own right, he's now 7-2 on the season the right-hander is coming off an unforgettable outing against the Mariners, throwing seven no-hit innings to complete a combined no-hitter. Houston deserves to be favored here but the at +170 odds the betting value is with LA here tonight, but the smarter bet is probably the UNDER 9 in what should be a low scoring game.

    My Pick: Under 9 60%
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    • 77
  • ***OVER 9.5*** Josh James, who dialed it up to 101 mph while throwing two hitless innings in relief on Saturday, will start as an opener ahead of lefty Framber Valdez, who has posted an 11.57 ERA in the first inning of the five games he's started this year. Canning had a solid first half in his rookie season, but he gave up six runs over 3 1/3 innings against the Rangers last time out. Prior to that outing, Canning had a 4.60 ERA in five June starts. I think we should see some offense here tonight...

    My Pick: Over 9.5 60%
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    • 91
  • Juiced balls or not, Verlander continues to be one of the best pitchers in the MLB. Jurado is going for the Rangers today and he was hit hard against the Angels in his last start but he has been relatively reliable prior to that rough start. Two top 10 offenses here but with Verlander on the hill I think this is a game the Stro's should win with ease. Give me Houston RL -135 (1 UNIT) and UNDER 10.5. (2 UNITS)

    My Pick: Houston -220 & Under 10.5 60%
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  • In 12 starts this season, Chirinos has posted a 2.89 ERA and has struck out 63 over 74 2/3 innings of work. On the other side Bundy is coming off one of his better outings of 2019, as he allowed just one run over 6 2/3 innings against Toronto while striking out six. Home runs tend to steer his success, though, with 20 allowed this season, including six multi-homer starts. All things point to Tampa Bay here today and the RUN LINE +125 is worth a look.

    My Pick: Tampa Bay -156 60%
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    • 118
  • ***WASHINGTON -130 BEST BET*** It's flown under the radar, but Strasburg taking the ball each turn through the rotation has been an underrated key to the Nats' success. He has made 18 starts, tossed 116 1/3 innings and has 138 strikeouts, tied for the second most in the National League. Pivetta is on the hill for the Phillies tonight and he has been wildly inconsistent all season - posted an 8.35 ERA in his first four starts this season before being optioned to Triple-A in April. He went 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his first three starts back, but he is 0-2 with a 7.33 ERA in four starts since. The Nats are my best bet today.

    My Pick: Washington -130 60%
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  • The Angels took the first two games after the death of Skaggs but they have serious holes in their rotation, while injuries have taken a toll on their lineup. Tommy La Stella, who was named to the All-Star team, suffered a broken tibia when he fouled a ball off his leg earlier this week and is out eight to 10 weeks. Houston is a deep team as they continue to succeed even with Carlos Correa on the shelf. I predict an easy win here for the Stro's behind their Ace at home and another good spot for the RL -1.5 (-120).

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  • The Mets are starting to turn it around after a cold streak, winning two out of their last three games with a win against both the first-place Braves and Yankees. Mets starting deGrom here and he has been nails of late, sporting a stifling 2.70 ERA in his last six starts, and he shut down the Braves, Cubs, and Rockies in that span.
    I've got little confidence in Vince Velasquez who has been the Phillies most unreliable starter this season and he holds a poor 5.50 ERA on the road this season. I don't normally play the RL but I like the METS -1.5 (+105) in this matchup.

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  • Soroka enters this game with a 2.13 ERA, the lowest for a qualified Braves pitcher since Greg Maddux in 1995. Those numbers are hard to bet against. At -155 odds, I might suggest flipping the odds and putting 1/2 your money on the ATL RL +120 here today.

    My Pick: Atlanta -155 60%
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  • Happ will look to rebound from his last start, when he allowed eight runs in four innings against the hot bats of the Astros. He faced the Rays in the start before that, allowing two runs in five innings. In 11 starts this season, Chirinos is 4-4 with a 2.79 ERA, and if the Rays can get 6 innings out of Chirinos then I think they can get the slight upset at home today. Give me Tampa at even money.

    My Pick: Tampa Bay +103 60%
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  • Berros allowed six runs (three earned) vs. the White Sox on Friday, but pitched 7 1/3 innings to preserve the Twins' bullpen after Minnesota used every reliever in its 18-inning game against Tampa Bay. The A's are starting Anderson who was roughed up in his last outing, allowing a season-high seven earned runs in a loss to the Angels. It's hard not to like Minny -130 at the cheap price today.

    My Pick: Minnesota -132 60%
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  • German will be making his return from the IR. He had been sidelined with a left hip flexor strain. His last start was June 7 in Cleveland when he allowed four runs in six innings. Vargas is going for the Mets today and he has gone 11 straight outings allowing three or fewer earned runs, posting a 2.55 ERA over that stretch. He held the Bronx Bombers to three runs over six innings in their first meeting this year, notching his first win in 11 starts against them. Vargas has been better than German all season and German might have a little rust today with his time off. Give me the Mets +128 tonight.

    My Pick: New York +128 60%
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  • Means has been mean, he takes a 7-4 reocrd and 2.50 ERA into this game and has been about the only bright spot for the O's this season. He is the first Orioles starter to earn All-Star honors since 2013. In 24 opens this season, Stanek has a 2.13 ERA over 38 innings, but in typical Rays fashion he probably won't go more than 2 innings. The O's offense is always a concern but, behind Means, this is a game they should win. No total at the time of this post, but I'm predicting this total opens at 7.5 today.

    My Pick: Baltimore -138 60%
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  • Pending

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