Picks Thursday Sep, 19, 2019
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09/15/2019   -   WON $100

Under43.5
 
Jaguars 12
Houston 13
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • @Mamba • 5d

    The Idaho State whatever they are lol, aren't one of the better FCS teams so going into Utah is a suicide mission. However, Utah will have a date with the USC Trojans next Friday, which means the Utes should be focused on getting the win and getting the hell out of there. This will be one of those classic blowouts before the big game scenarios. -36.5 is a lot and I'd like it a lot more at -32 or so but I think starters sit early so I'm going on the side of the team i don't know much about because they held some pretty good programs tight in recent histroy and that Utah date with USC coming up.

    My Pick: Idaho St. +36.5 70%
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    • 131
  • @Mamba • 5d

    Akron is ranked 55th out of 130 FBS teams in passing yardage per game and CMU is 114th in passing D! Both these teams are rebuilding so I see why oddsmakers think it's tight. Central Michigan has also faced superior talent this year in Wisconsin which in my mind, gives them an edge when going against, slower, weaker opponents all season long - that's a good reason to schedule games against powerhouses as the small school. Kato Nelson might have a big day but CMU comes to the occasion and I give them the edge.

    My Pick: Central Michigan -1 70%
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    • 92
  • @Mamba • 5d

    The RedHawks rank 115th in the nation with 297 per game. At the same time, Miamis defense ranks tied for 81st in the nation in points allowed with 27.5 while also ranking tied for 71st with 374.0 yards allowed per game. Cincinnati has had a rough first few weeks, barely beating UCLA who isn't that good this year and getting the smack down from OSU last week. Something tells me this is there "we are still for real game." They were an 11-2 team last year that went 6-2 in conference. MIA-OH is not in the same hemisphere of poise and expectation. CinCin figures it out this week and tells the committee, "not so fast." Lay the Points.

    My Pick: Cincinnati -17.5 70%
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    • 93
  • @Mamba • 5d

    Michael Penix is a game time decision. If he doesn't play, I wouldn't touch this line. The defense on IU is solid but they haven't been tested and this is THE Ohio State U. IU d-coordinator said he was going to try and get good shots on and rattle Justin Fields - easier said then done. I'll be monitoring this one closer to kickoff but I like the Under as whoever plays QB is going to have trouble against a defense like OSU's.

    My Pick: Under 59.5 70%
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    • 134
  • @Mamba • 5d

    I'm surprised this line is only -21. Yeah, I know VT hasn't looked good but they get rowdy in Blacksburg for game day. The Hokies have not been able to run the ball whatsoever. They'll focus on ground and pound in this one and it won't be easy as Furman held Georgia St. under 100 yds rushing last week. VT has ran for their least amount of rushing yds through the 1st two games of a season since joining the ACC. I'm going to play the UNDER because I can't trust VT yet but also can't trust another small program to come in and upset.

    My Pick: Under 64.5 70%
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    • 111
  • @Mamba • 5d

    The Mountaineers lost star quarterback Will Grier to the NFL AND head coach Dana Holgorsen so the program was expected to take a massive step back. That they are- WVU is 127th in the nation with 233 yds/game & also have scored a combined 26 points. Lot's of the public gonna jump on WVU because of their recent history - I think NC State cruises on the road though. WVU has a decent defense so I'd consider the Under since they are at home but NC State is clicking on all cylinders as they've picked up where they left off last season. They're poised, seasoned and ready to roll in this one.

    My Pick: N.C. State -7 70%
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    • 145
  • @Mamba • 6d

    Lol, dallasbuyers got yall so far. Yall bet each other?

    My Pick: Tampa Bay +6.5 70%
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  • @Mamba • 6d

    Lol, dallasbuyers got yall beat so far. Close one.

    My Pick: Tampa Bay +6.5 70%
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  • @Mamba • 1w

    I don't think Houston can win this game but they can cover if the defensive line can get the push consistently throughout. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. The public betting currently has 70 percent going on Washington State as the road favorite - I typically like to bet against the public. Houston has struggled on defense but the numbers are skewed when you have to start the season against a heisman winner @ Oklahoma. I'm going with my gut in Houston to cover 35-28, WSU.

    My Pick: Houston +9 70%
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    • 110
  • @Mamba • 1w

    Tough one here so I'm playing the Over. Jets lost CJ Mosely in the opener and I think he will be out for this one - that's a huge loss. The Browns Offensive line is the worst in the league and Gregg Williams knows more then anyone, what Baker's Kryptonite is as he coached the Browns D the last few seasons. Oh, and better believe Williams is telling his unit that he wants this f*$#ing game against the team that didn't hire him as head coach. I could see it going either way as the Jets have some key injuries and the Browns Oline is bad so i like the UNDER in this one - too many gifted minds on that side of the ball.

    My Pick: Under 45.5 70%
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    • 144
  • @Mamba • 1w

    The only thing that looked good in Arizona's tie was the 4th quarter and I think that's only because Detroit was winded. No way a Ravens Defense at home allows Murray to do anything more than he did in the first 3 quarters of his debut - that included about 60 yards passing, getting sacked 5 times and throwing a pick that should've been dumped outside. Baltimore will dominate in this one, maybe not as much as week 1 but because the talent gap - they will spank the small rookie QB, swat his passes down and make life a living hell for Kingsburry all day. It's a big number but it's one I'm lying the points on. Some close games this week - this isn't one of them.

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  • @Mamba • 1w

    Houston is a really good team with a ton of depth at WR and the running attack looks like it will be just fine sans their pro bowler. But Jacksonville is a strong defensive unit especially up front. It's hard to back a rookie QB on the road against a team that nearly beat the Saints in the Dome on Monday Night. I suspect Jacksonville will send a lot of blitz packages and slow the pace as much as possible with a steady ground attack with Fournette. I'm going to wait and see where this line ends up as the public picks a side and I'm going to play the UNDER in this one.

    My Pick: Under 43.5 70%
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    • 91
  • @Mamba • 1w

    Short week after facing the NFC Champion Rams and going against a new look TB team under former coach of the year Bruce Arians, in a divisonal rivalry game (although TB hasn't done anything in a long time). Arians said of the 3 picks thrown by Winston on Sunday, only one was the QB's sole fault. 2 of those picks were returned for scores. I don't think he has the same bad luck in this one. I get the feeling the public loses bad in this one and the Bucs cover what's now a +7 line. This defensive front with Suh and Golston is much better and I think they can hold McCaffery in check.

    My Pick: Tampa Bay +6.5 70%
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    • 59
  • @Mamba • 2w

    This should be a great matchup between two exciting young QBs with programs in good shape after exciting new (but veteran) hires. However, Miami is the much better talent all around and while UNC should be happy about the win against USC, I think it will show on Saturday that they are rebuilding. Miami had to face a Chapionship Contender in Florida and has had an extra week of preparation since they started the season early. Miami still has an elite defense and a mobile quarterback that should give North Carolina some fits defensively. I think Miami gets the TO Chain out a few times but more importantly, the offense, lead by a dynamic young QB, are hot today and they cover on the road. ACC Championship contender in Miami.

    My Pick: Miami -5 70%
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    • 143
  • @Mamba • 2w

    Im not going to lie, Gaej Walker gives me reason for pause. The lightly-recruited running back out of Tampa had an excellent first game after spending three seasons as a reserve corner. FIU has given up at least 170 rushing in nine of their last 14 contests. But in the end, FIU is flat out a better team than WKU and cant afford to start 0-2. I think it'll be tight because WKU has some talent on that D Line and against Tulane, FIU's Oline was getting punked.

    My Pick: Western Kentucky +8 70%
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    • 101
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