Picks Tuesday Jul, 16, 2019
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07/03/2019   -   LOST $210

OVER 9.5
NYM +130
New York 5
New York 1
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • @Mamba • 24h

    In 5 June Starts, Blake Snell had an 11.94 ERA including his shortest outting in his career against the Yankees where he didn't get out of the first inning! He has a 6.48 ERA on the road this season and gave up 6 ER's in 1/3 of 1 inning at Yankee Stadium last month. Yankees bats haven't been mashing them out of the park but I don't think that trend lasts long. Paxton is poised to have a big second half as he should now be as near to 100% as can be and knows the team is riding his back as the #1 in the rotation. He struck out 11 at Tampa last week in a close 2-1 loss. I'm expecting more of the same tonight in the Bronx. I'll take the under in what I expect to be a pitcher's duel. Even though Snell has looked bad on the road, he pitched the Yankees much better in his last start and is the reigning Cy Young so those numbers should bounce back in July barring any unknown injuries.

    My Pick: New York -144 & Under 9 60%
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  • @Mamba • 2w

    You have to think fatigue plays a roll in this series for the Yankees traveling over 7K miles from over the pond and playing long games while their against their rival. German is also coming off the IR and will likely rusty. Vargas is 1-7 with a 6.59 ERA in 12 career appearances (11 starts) against the Yankees. German is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA in two starts against the Mets. I'm going with the Mets on the value as the Yankees are due for a setback for atleast a few days after the run they've been on. The pen's best arms were used last night backing the best starters. I don't trust German to get far in this one. I think the OVER is the safest bet though.

    My Pick: New York +130 & Over 9.5 60%
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    • 136
  • @Mamba • 2w

    The White Sox have been hitting the ball well so I am taking them on the Team Total on Over4.5 at +100. They've scored for or more in 7 of their last 9 games.Boyd had a 5.90 ERA in June and their bullpen is one of the worst in the league. Look for Abreau to have a good game this evening, perhaps on some props.

    My Pick: Chicago +101 & Over 9 60%
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  • @Mamba • 2w


    All Star SNUB and profit king on Prop Bets!

  • @Mamba • 3w

    Detroit is dead last in runs scored in the last 20 days. They've lost the last 5 games that Zimemrman has started and the bullpen is 23rd in FIP in the last 20. Chavez is getting his first start after an incredible 0.51 ERA in his last 21 appearances. He's given up just 2 ERs since May. Detroit is 29th in OPS vs righties in the last 20 days. They've won only 2 games in the last 19 at home - yikes. Good value on hard hitting Rangers here in Detroit.

    My Pick: Texas -143 & Under 10 60%
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    • 113
  • @Mamba • 3w

    Pitching for the Indians - 5th in the majors (league best in the bullpen - sneaky good!). Cleveland is a great 2nd half team and have a lot of matchups with bad teams in the 2nd half. They are now A +900 to win the division and I know the Twins have looked good but they aren't acustom to playing well for an entire season. I like them on a Futures Bet to win the division on that +900 once they get healthy. Jose Ramirez will get back on track too.

    My Pick: Cleveland -170 60%
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  • @Mamba • 3w

    Folty had his best game in nearly a month in a strong start against ehe Phillies in his last outing. He's also been much better on the road this season for whatever reason. The risk/reward on this play is too juicy imo to not take the dog Braves who have been tearing the cover off the ball. Look for the former all star to show his teammates he's still one of the prize starters in this rotation as he may feel some heat with the addition of Keuchel. Sanchez numbers are fools gold. He can get hammered on any given day. Love this number and play at +100.

    My Pick: Atlanta +100 60%
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    • 123
  • @Mamba • 3w

    Here's my asshole play of the day - taking the Rockies. I get it - Ryu has been devastating to all hitters in the NL the last 2 months with an insane ERA of 0.50. But the Rockies lead by Arenado and Blackmon have hit him hard in 90 career ABs with a slash of .356/.420/.656. They've got 15 XBH's and the way they've been swinging the bats I feel Ryu is due for a balance out game (hardly balancing out with his insane season to date). Looking for a BIG upset and Lambert to keep things close. Let's remember that before that insane series in Colorado against the Padres where the ball could not stay in the park, Lambert pitched well against a great Cubs lineup going 12 innings and surrendering just 2 ER's while striking out 12 cubbies.

    My Pick: Colorado +225 & Over 8.5 60%
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    • 146
  • @Mamba • 4w

    +103 on the + runs. Kikuchi has a +10 ERA in his last 4 starts and the Seattle bullpen is bad! Bailey has a 6.75 ERA on the road. The Mariners are 6th in runs this month and have gone over in 11 of their last 13. The OVER is 12-2-1 in Kikuchi's starts this year! Yikes! The M's hit Bailey hard knocking him around for 7 runs in their last matchup against him.

    My Pick: Over 9 60%
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    • 104
  • @Mamba • 4w

    Give me the Cubs at -1.5 runs to get a lot more value (-115) in this easy money for me!!! Hamels has a 2.18 ERA at home and hasn't given up a run in June. The Cubs are 9-3 in his starts since picking him up. The Sox are 23rd in runs on the road and since the start of May they are last in the league in OPS. They can't figure it out and are going up against a beast in Hamels.

    My Pick: Chicago -215 60%
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    • 123
  • @Mamba • 1m

    Both teams were bad offensively really in game 2 and still hit over this number. Limping in, you'd probably play under but alot of defensive units for GS, the perimieter and paint should be more open for Toronto to get things done. Raptors 3pt defense is 10% then in the conference finals. A lot of foul shots will happen which means stopped clock scoring.

    My Pick: Over 213.5 60%
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    • 164
  • @Mamba • 2m

    Take the Brewers at Team Total OVER 4.5 Runs (-123)***** and thank me later! Brew crew is 6th in OPS vs Righties in the last 20 days. Archer has not looked good in Pittsburgh. Opponents have topped 4.5 or more in 6 of last 8. He walks a ton of guys and the Brew Crew has one of the best Walk Ratios vs Righties. Pirates bullpen is not looking good either - they're 26th in FIP in the last 3 weeks.

    My Pick: Over 9.5 60%
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    • 141
  • @Mamba • 2m

    Took a little vacation but I am back with more winner after getting 7 for my last 10 pre-vacation. Follow me or send me a message to get more locks. Anyway, I like The Twins on the +115 tonight a ton. Berrios is a stud. The Twins are 9-2 when he starts and the Twins are 14-3 after an L this season (best in the league). The bullpen is 5th in the league in the last month. Twins Offense is the best in baseball. They lead the league in runs per game on the road. Great + Money game here.

    My Pick: Minnesota +115 60%
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  • @Mamba • 2m

    Chris Sale in his last six starts, has fanned 69 hitters, averaging 11.5 Ks per game during that stretch. But Houston has the second best K ratio in the league as well as the 2nd best HR per AB ratio in the league. At home on a Friday night for a team that is 12-3 SU in their last 15, I'll go with them and trust Miley to hang around in this one as well. I like a tight 4-3 win for Houston tonight and I'll take the UNDER PROP on K's for Sale at -8.5 (+103)!

    My Pick: Houston +126 & Under 8.5 60%
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  • @Mamba • 2m

    Walker Buehler is a stud and I can't believe Dodgers are a plus here. I don't buy into this Pirates team who is 0-5 in their last 5 home game #1's vs winning teams. Musgrove is going for them and he has slowed down a ton since his hot anomaly of a start. LA is 6-0 in Buehlers last 6 starts during game 1 of a series and he has done well in May in his young career with a 2.12 career ERA over 8 career starts.

    My Pick: Los Angeles +165 60%
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    • 144
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