Picks Saturday Jul, 20, 2019
4 Picks
$634 RISKED
MLB 4:05pm EST
SF -149
 
New York +139
Giants -149
MLB 7:05pm EST
BOS -215
 
Boston -215
Orioles +195
MLB 7:05pm EST
PHI +118
 
Phillies +118
Pirates -128
MLB 7:10pm EST
CLE -170
 
Royals +160
Indians -170
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • Royals are brutal on the road with a 14-34 record and I dont think that turns around here. Plutko should get plenty of run support as Jakob Junis has gone 2-4 with a 6.43 ERA in nine games against the Indians in his career, including 1-2 with a 3.33 ERA in four starts against them at Progressive Field.

    My Pick: Cleveland -170 70%
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  • Keep a look out for the wind conditions. Likely to take a toll on some of these fly balls that got hit after what we saw yesterday.

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  • I like the Phillies at plus odds if you can get it. The Pirates are falling off a cliff right now, losing six out of their last seven games, while their bats have gone cold as they have only scored 18 runs in that six-game span. This looks like a good opportunity for Eflin to get back on track. Plus I like the way the Phillies have been playing as of late winning three out of their last four games which included two wins against the first-place Dodgers, and a 6-1 win last night.

    My Pick: Philadelphia +118 70%
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  • I will look for the Phillies here to win this game and keep Nola's momentum going. Aaron Nola has been on a roll as of late and he is just what the Phillies need at the moment. Their Bullpen has been taxed in this series and they need someone to go deep into this game. Thankfully for them the young ace is dominating his opposition recently, holding his opponents to one or zero earned runs in each of his last five starts, and that includes outings against the tough Braves and Nationals. They are also 8-1 in Nolas last 9 starts against the NL West and 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a right-handed starter. So the match up is in their favor. Why is that?
    While Dodgers starter Ross Stripling is solid, he is the one pitcher in the Dodgers rotation that will give up runs. The right-hander has squandered nine runs on 17 hits in his last 14 innings of work. The Dodgers are also 1-4 in Striplings last 5 starts in the fourth game of a series, 3-7 in their last 10 road games against a right-handed starter, and 3-7 in their last 10 games in Philadelphia. Take the Phillies here

    My Pick: Philadelphia -101 70%
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    • 90
  • I like the Marlins getting plus odds here. The Marlins have had pretty good success against the Padres comiing into this series. Despite dropping the game last night they have still won three of five against the Padres this season. Marlins starter Caleb Smith is pretty decent, allowing only five earned runs in his last two starts spread across 12 innings, and he limited the Padres to just two runs in the lone meeting this season. The Marlins are also 4-1 in Smiths last 5 home starts and
    7-1 in Smiths last 8 starts against a team with a losing record. When we look at the other side we see that Padres starter Dinelson Lamet has been unreliable in his two outings this season. The right-hander has impressive stuff but has squandered seven runs including three home runs in his 10 innings pitched, and this is only his third start at the Major League level since 2018. Coming back from Tommy John can be tough. I like the Marlins to win this game

    My Pick: Miami +107 70%
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    • 110
  • This has been a brutal showing for the Rockies against these Giants. After winning three straight against these Rockies the Giants have put them in a real bind come trade deadline. What looked like the Rockies could make a play off push is becoming more of an after thought. And like every year, pitching fails them. They stormed back to score 3 runs off on of the better closers in baseball in the bottom of the ninth to only give up 4 runs in the top of the 10th. So there will likely be at least a few scouts on hand for this one to watch Colorado's Jon Gray. The Rockies need to ask themselves how much is it worth to simply earn a Wild-Card spot? Because the NL West isn't winnable with the Dodgers' huge lead. Gray (9-6, 3.83) keeps building value, allowing three earned or fewer in his past six outings. He's 1-1 with a 0.71 ERA in two starts this year against the Giants so he has had success. We should note tho that the Giants were not playing at this level when these starts occurred so take that into consideration. Brandon Belt is 4-for-14 with a homer and four walks against him. San Francisco's Shaun Anderson (3-2, 4.48) hasn't lost since mid-June. It's the 24-year-old rookie's first career look at the Rockies. At +150 I gotta go with the Giants to put the nail in the coffin for the Rockies and sweep them into the Abyss.

    My Pick: San Francisco +150 70%
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  • I like the Braves here to get the win on the road. They play well away from Atlanta and I think they get game 1 in this series. Atlanta is 36-17 in its last 53 overall, 13-3 in its last 16 on the road against opponents with losing home records, 6-1 in its last seven against the National League West, and 18-8 in their last 26 road games.The Padres are 0-4 in their last four at home, and 0-4 in Lamets last four home starts. Not a good sign there. Ill take the Braves here

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    • 117
  • I love the Cardinals here. St. Louis has won five of Wainwrights last seven starts against Arizona and they've played well in this series as of late, winning 23 of the last 34 meetings. Busch Stadium has always been a tough place to play for the DBacks as of late with a record of 18-37 in their last 55 games there. They are also 1-4 in their last 5 road games. I like St. Louis and theri Veteran pitching staff to get the better of the Diamondbacks here out of the gate from the all star break

    My Pick: St. Louis -115 70%
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  • I like the Marlins in this spot at home. I believe they have a big edge on the mound with Smith over Vargas. Vargas has pitched at times this year but he has also melted down his fair share of moments. HE also has a terrible bullpen behind him and a team that is looking like they are sellers this year. I also think that the Marlins are better at home with Caleb Smith having a 1.84 ERA at home for the year. Smith is also 1-0 with a 3.24 ERA in his career against the Mets. We also note that New York is just 8-26 in their last 34 games on the road and 3-10 in their last 13 games overall. I like the MArlins to get a win in this spot here

    My Pick: Miami -111 70%
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  • I like the giants here in a big way at plus odds at home. Jack Flaherty has really struggled as of late as he is winless in his last eight starts. Its been a while since he has had any kind of success with his last win coming back on May 14 against the Braves. He really has struggled on the road this season, going 1-2 with a 6.81 ERA over 38.1 innings in eight starts. Samardzija looked good in his last start against the Padres shutting them down and I think he has no problem limiting this Cards offense.

    My Pick: San Francisco +105 70%
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    • 102
  • I like the Brewers here in this Sunday matchup. The Brewers are owning Pittsburgh this season, winning 10 of the 12 meetings this year, and they are 8-2 in Andersons last 10 starts against the Pirates overall. I expect his success to continue considering he is 4-1 in in his last 5 road starts against the Pirates. While the Pirates bats have shown signs of life I think Anderson will limit them here in a big way

    My Pick: Milwaukee -105 70%
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    • 88
  • Im all over the Twins in this one. Odorizzi has been stellar this year for the Twins and had a strech were he was lights out. He has come back down to earth as of late but I like this match up here. Daniel Mengden has been great for the A's after being called up but he hasnt faced an offense like the Twins since that call up. I think he struggles in a big way in this match up. I think this is a 7-3 game with the Twins coming out on top

    My Pick: Minnesota -118 70%
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    • 102
  • Love the White Sox at home in this one. While Boyd has been great for the Tigers this year he has just not been able to find a groove of late. Pitching in a place he has experienced no success is not exactly helpful and the White Sox are far better at home. We also note Reynaldo Lopezs recent track record against the Tigers is another factor against picking Detroit. While it barely crossed the threshold of being a quality start, Lopez did pitch well enough to win his last outing. If the White Sox right-hander can again limit the damage via the long ball, Chicago should be able to open this series with a victory. Take the Sox here to get a win and step back in the right direction.

    My Pick: Chicago +102 70%
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    • 86
  • Obviously it is never a good situation when a tragedy like what happened on Monday takes place. It hits home for a lot of people and makes everybody take a step back and realize how precious each day is. That said, I fully believe that the Angels have enough veterans on this team to rally everybody together and not let this define their season. Minor has been great for the Rangers and their offense has been solid all year but this game feels like the angels are going to will themselves to a victory for their fallen brother.

    My Pick: Los Angeles -125 70%
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    • 96
  • I like the Phillies here at these odds to pull out a victory. Keuchel is making his third appearance in 2019 and still is knocking off some rust. While I think he will be great for Atlanta in the second half I cant trust him until then. Philadelphias offense finally came alive over the weekend, but they still lost two of three to the Marlins. While Nola hasnt been the Ace everybody expected him to be I think he can do enough to limit the Braves offense here. I will look for Nola and the Phillies to build off the momentum of his last 2 starts and get a much needed win here at +146

    My Pick: Philadelphia +146 70%
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    • 73
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