Sports nut and avid sports bettor.

Timeframe # Picks Win% Bankroll
Last 365 269 49.2% -$2095 #980
Overall 366 49.3% -$2695 #1431
  • @JonWilks • 3w 70%

    reverse line move, it came back

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    • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

      Thonrton may not be the best pitcher but he's not coming into today in horrible form. He's giving up exactly three runs in his last three starts and only one the game before those three. While he did get hit hard against the rays last time he faced them, it's baseball. I don't really think Austin Pruitt is anything special that this game deserves a line like this and I like the blue jays because their young talent

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      • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

        The astro's should roll pretty easy in this one because the Marniers best batters are lefties that struggle to hit south paws which is what Wade Miley is. On the other side, the astro's crush southpaws and Marco Gonzales is not a good pitcher. I don't need to bore you with stats but this game should be closer to the -300 range

        $100 Houston -240
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        • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

          Dugger hasn't looked like anything special in his first two starts since being called up. The thing is he hasn't looked like anything special in triple A either and vegas usually calls these games right with these young call ups. He's a dog in a game that features 9 runs adn I think most of them will be coming from the pirates side. WIlliams isn't anything special but he's a seasoned vet adn gets to face the Marlins at home. I'll ride the pirates in this one for sure at this price

          $100 Pittsburgh -175
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          • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

            The Jays can't touch verlander and while they have been hitting hot, but they don't face pitchers like Velrander. I'm personally not going to take the astros here but I see some merrit in the run line because the astros are still playing for something and furthermore, it's baseball. These guys are all going to take profesional at bats and it's not like they are going to change who they approach the plate because they have a division locked up. So never tell me a pro baseball team doesn't care because they aren't playing for anything

            $100 Houston -300
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            • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

              Corbin has had a few shacky starts but he gets the gift of the marlins today. He should have no issue mowing down this team but on the others side is a pitcher that gets no respect because of the logo on his chest. Caleb smith a is a good pitcher and the nats have been cold as of late. This game looks like a great under spot.

              $100 Under 9
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              • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

                I actaully think this is a good over spot for a few reasons and we will start with Dakota Hudson. He relies on ground balls much more than generating swings-and-misses. Hudsons 17.2% strikeout rate on the season is hardly awe-inspiring, but his ground ball rate of 58% tops all pitchers today. He has horrible splits to lefties though and i think we can take advantage of that with his four decent lefites in the reds lineup. Then Bauer's walk rate has been very concerning and he's now over 10% on the season which is really high. This isn't a team right now you can afford to give free passes to and if he does today, then it's going to be a sweat free bet because the cards will punish him if his control is off

                $100 Over 8
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                • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

                  I like the under in this spot for a few reasons. The first being that Alcantara has pitched pretty well as of late and hasn't giving up more than three runs in his last start and is coming of 7 innigs of shut out baseball agaisnt the braves

                  $100 Under 8
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                  • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

                    Love this, Roark just shut down the Yankees and the astros and it seems he loves pitching in oakland. But this just seems like a smash spot

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                    • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

                      Giolito has been crushing as of late and he dominated this twins team last week. I like the under and think we see a great pitchers duel here

                      $100 Under 9
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                      • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

                        The tigers are a frustrating team and they most likely screwed a lot of people over by beating the twins. I actually like Spencer Turnbull and think he's the top rookie pitcher this year. Plutko isn't the greatest in the indians rotation but he's been serviceable as well and I just think neither team really gets it going tonight. I'm on the Under even though I'm semi worried because if there is on flaw to Turnbull it's his splits and the indains can throw up to 7 lefties in the lineup if they want.

                        $100 Under 9.5
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                        • @JonWilks • 3m 70%

                          I like both Verlander and Morton but they have shared one common theme all year. Great pitchers who give up more home runs than someone would guess. They really aren't that detectable because they are generally solo shots. Remember Verlander went on a rant about the balls being juiced because he's never giving up homeruns like he has this year and I actually believe him 100%. With that said I love the over but I honestly think the Astros will cover the majority of the runs and see this game in that 5-3 astros range but wouldn't be shocked if there is 10 runs tonight. I have most my action on the over and a little parlay with the astros and the over

                          $100 Houston -200 & $100 Over 7.5
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                          • @JonWilks • 4m 70%

                            So you like the rays to win but you like the O's? So what's your pick because i"m confused

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                            • @JonWilks • 4m 70%

                              THis seems like a great under spot to me. Paddack has been on fire this year and while he's on a pitch count (basically has been all year) he can pitch through 6 innings. I really like Velasquez for DFS reason because this padre team strikes out a ton and has a lot of right handed batters which is Vince's specialty striking out righties. Both these teams have been very uninspiring offensively and I just don't think these guys are getting to double digit runs tonight.

                              $100 Under 9
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                              • @JonWilks • 4m 70%

                                Verlander has been great but he's always subject to homeruns. If you haven't heard it yet, google his take on the balls being juiced this year. Roark isn't my favorite pitcher and i didn't like him with the reds and while he see's a HUGE ballpark upgrade, I still think he gets rocked. I like the over in this game because I don't believe in Roark and Verlander is just prone to give up at least 2 but can still give up more. I'm not going crazy here but I'm still going to throw a unit on it

                                $100 Over 9
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