Picks Tuesday Apr, 23, 2019
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04/19/2019   -   WON $200

Under7.5
 
Giants 1
Pirates 4
CHW +100
 
Chicago 7
Detroit 3
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10

    F5 Under is really attractive as both these teams rank down near the bottom in OPS this year and Pirates are awful against lefties so Bum should have a strong outting. Lyles has looked magnificant too.

    My Pick: Under 7.5

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    Chicago vs Detroit (Apr 19) April 19 at 11:28am

    While Zimmerman has looked better this season I like these improved bats in Southside to do what they did last year against him and that's hit him hard. Zimm's ERA was +7.00 in 2018 vs these Sox. Rodon looked great in the Bronx and the Tigers are 27th in F5 runs per game. All over the SOX here!

    My Pick: Chicago +100

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    Boston vs New York (Apr 17) April 17 at 3:45pm

    Happ pitched well against these Red Sox last season. It was a big component in picking him up down the stretch. Aside from Pearce, Sox don't have great career numbers against him. He's looked bad so far but so too has Eovaldi as a weekly rotational starter. I think this one goes under and both pitchers give decent performances. I'm leaning Yankees on the ML but feel safe money is on the Under tonight in the Bronx.

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    San Antonio vs Denver (Apr 13) April 13 at 2:27pm

    Love Denver and the top notch D in this one. They just demolished this Spurs team a week and a half ago and based on San Antonio has looked in April, I have no reason to think they have what it takes to win this series against a talented, well coached and most importantly disciplined and hungry Nuggets team. Sure, there isn't a ton of experience there but I'd argue there is a lot more chemistry amongst the players on the roster.

    My Pick: Denver -5.5 & Over 211

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    Orlando vs Toronto (Apr 13) April 13 at 2:20pm

    Among Eastern Conference teams, only the top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks have won more games since Jan. 30. The Raptors are without one of the most underrated pieces not just on this team but in the league as OG Anunoby, who underwent an emergency appendectomy Thursday night, is out. I think this series could turn out to be pretty good (or I'm completely wrong and it's over quick). But each year, there's a team that everyone counts out before the games start and they have a coming out party of sorts in terms of foreseeable future. I think Orlando is that team we don't take as lightly going into next season and they prove in this series, taking one on the road just as they did in February up in Toronto.

    My Pick: Orlando +9

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    Chicago vs New York (Apr 12) April 12 at 3:26pm


    My Pick: Chicago +160

  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    Oakland vs Texas (Apr 12) April 12 at 3:22pm

    Fiers dominated Texas last season striking out 19 in 18 Innings with a 1.47 ERA. This A's lineup can mash against lefties and I also expect a lot of long ball's to carry in Arlington tonight. The A's have hit 17 homeruns in the last 5 games. Smyly has already given up 2 homeruns in 10 innings this season - expect atleast a 3rd off of him in the first 3 innings tonight.

    My Pick: Oakland -124

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    • 69
  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10

    I like the Under as Corbin should dominate this Pirates lineup that has looked bad against lefties ranking 30th in OPS. Williams had two quality starts last year against these Nationals who have a combined 8 hits in 39 AB's against him. Could see this one going either way but I like this one to stay tight and low scoring.

    My Pick: Under 7

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10

    Ride the hot hand here. King Felix is a gamer and he feels underappreciated coming into this season losing his top of the rotation spot. The Royals are one of the worst teams in the majors right now and the M's should keep swinging the bats quite well. Jay Bruce has a homer in 2 career AB's against Bailey. I'd definitely take Seattle on the Over 4 1/2 runs at -140 as well.

    My Pick: Seattle -125

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    New York vs Houston (Apr 08) April 8 at 4:15pm

    All over Houston on this one. The Astros lineup has a career avg. of .349 against Tanaka with 8 HRs and this is the home opener. Yankees coming off a sweep of an inferior Baltimore team this is a completely different level of talent they're up against and they will K a lot tonight as they did in the first 2 series at home. Torres, Sanchez and Judge combined 2-18 with with 9 K's career against Verlander.

    My Pick: Houston -170

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10

    Goldshmidt is batting .423 with 3 homers and 9 RBI's in his career against Ryu and he's been swinging the bat well early this season. In the home opener (his debut in Stl) against the Dodgers who played late last night I like the Cards to get it done and lean on thier pen to get the W tonight.

    My Pick: St. Louis +118

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10

    I like the prop on Jamal Murray in this one at +17.5 points (-122). He's avg. 26.5 last couple and Paul George is nursing a shoulder injury. OKC can play some D and so too can OKC and what could be a first round preview, I think it's a little chippy and low-scoring.

    My Pick: Under 218

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    St. Louis vs Milwaukee (Mar 29) March 29 at 12:31pm

    A couple of Stud Sophmore Pitchers face off in what will be game 2 between what I see as the best two teams in the best division in baseball in 2019. I give the edge to Flaherty because he doesn't give up the long ball often and while Peralta doesn't either, he traditionally can get in trouble with Walks. I think STL is patient and it pays off.

    My Pick: St. Louis -105

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    Boston vs Seattle (Mar 29) March 29 at 11:03am

    This is a tough one. BoSox have never seen the 3-time all star from Japan who looked good in 4 innings in his debut. At the same time, Seattle has limited experience against Evoldi. I'm playing it safe and going with the under here. Pitchers ballpark with two great arms and limited AB's for both sides.

    My Pick: Boston -135 & Under 8

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  • @JohnMiller 70% Last 10
    Lipscomb vs N.C. State (Mar 27) March 27 at 6:47pm

    Both teams can play at a relatively quick pace and I think Lipscomb can hang around. They won't be able to match the Wolfpack in the paint or on the boards so it's important they're knocking down the three ball. Play the over here.

    My Pick: N.C. State -5 & Over 162.5

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