Picks Saturday Jun, 15, 2019
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06/03/2019   -   WON $100

OVER 5.5
 
Boston 2
Blues 4
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • Game 1 and 3 went well Over and I like the reward at +115 on the OVER tonight. Jordan Bennington has an 873 save percentage/3.90 goals in this series. He took a while to blossom and he's been cold in the limelight. Bruins score often all year and the fatigue of the playoffs is showing. Blues are well overwhelmed in this series which means goals will come often.

    My Pick: Over 5.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 124
  • Dog of the day (barely and hardly). Yankees just went 20-7 in May (tying the 98 yankees for most best win %) and did it with primarily a second unit - that is incredible but balance is key to gambling and while riding the hot hand is wise most days, against superior talent you take dogs in these plays. Sanchez, Torres and Hicks are a measly 7-52 against Porcello in their careers and German came back to Earth his last outing against Kansas City where he gave up 7 ER on 4 HR's. I don't feel great about him figuring out whatever was off before a matchup with the Sox in the Bronx with short porches involved. Would lean Over as neither pitcher is a match for these lineups on most days but I am only playing the ML-Boston.

    My Pick: Boston +110 & Over 9.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 138
  • The Phillies have scored 17 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last nine games. Meanwhile the Dodgers have scored 17 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in eight of their last 11 games. I love the over in this one as most betters get caught up in HOF names that are past their prime. Sure, Kershaw is still a monster but so too is this Philly lineup at times so I lean to the young lineup on a roll + Dodgers lineup that can put up 8+ on their own any given night. I would stay away from moneyline as it's just too hard to bet against the Dodgers as much as you might like the play and reward. The Dodgers have won five straight home games when Kershaw is favored and 13 of his last 15 overall.

    My Pick: Over 8.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 118
  • Washington is 1-4 in Feddes last five starts and 1-5 in his last six versus a team with a losing record. They are however hitting the ball much better as of late. Fedde has done pretty well in his two starts this year. In those games combined, hes put up 10.0 innings with eight hits, one earned run, five Ks and four walks. Roark has been rolling giving up 3ER or less in in his 5 starts. I think it's tight and low scoring so I like the F5 Under play here and would lean Cincinnati with Roark the way he's pitching and against his old team today for the first time. Leaning Under for the Total but don't really trust either pen.

    My Pick: Cincinnati -130 & Under 10 50%
    • Comment
    • 87
  • Toronto is holding their opponents to just about 99 ppg. Only 4 playoff games have gone over that for them this year. Both teams are playing at a much slower pace. With KD out, the games are -8 points per game for GS this season. The Raptors held GS to 30% from 3 in 2 regular season games this year. This is a reputation game from the public. Raptors have looked great, especially at home and they aren't playing playground ball like they did against the poor D of the Blazers. No emotions go into this bet. Cousins is back and guess what- the team is much more efficient without him.

    My Pick: Toronto -1.5 & Under 213.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 131
  • I like the pitching matchup here in an early start game after a pretty long game last night between these two. In 70 plate appearances, the Cards lineup has just a .286 OBP against Eickhoff who pitches better at home and I expect a bounce back game from him. Hudson has also handled the Phillies lineup reasonably well and has some electric stuff. I wouldn't be surprised to see the bullpen early and often for Philly to keep this one tight in the event Eickhoff gets in to some trouble.

    My Pick: Under 10.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 85

  • My Pick: Toronto -1.5 & Under 213.5 50%

  • Looking at the Run Line on this one at -15 for +1.5 for Philly. Nola has been good lately. 5-2 ATS in Nola's last 7. He gave up just 3 hits last time out against the Cardinals. Cabrera had a +6.00 ERA at Triple A and this is a call up start. 25 of the Phillies wins have been by 2 runs or more. St. Louis pitching has been bad and tonight it doesn't get better against a monster Philly lineup.

    My Pick: Philadelphia -160 50%
    • Comment
    • 109
  • Rays on the Run line (slightly above -110). Snell on the mound. Rays have a great OPS at home ranking 6th in the league this month. Jays are bad against Lefties batting .190 (league low) this month. 30 of the Rays 33 wins have been by 2 runs or more!!Snell has given up just 1 ER in his last 4 starts against Toronto. Thornton has been hit off by these Rays this month. Love this one.

    My Pick: Tampa Bay -240 50%
    • Comment
    • 83

  • Taking the Sox on the First 5. Sox are 4-0 SU in Gioloto's last 4 starts and Corbin Martin had only 2 swing and misses against the Red Sox in his 2nd career start. Chi Sox lead the majors with a .315 BABIP. Only a .176 batting average for opponenets when Gioloto pitches on the road this season. Good risk/reward play. But I only like the first 5.

    My Pick: Chicago +165 50%
    • Comment
    • 128
  • The 0's last 3 losses amount to being outscored....31-11. This is an MLB team, not the Ravens. Frazier and Sanchez have been hot against the )'s and both have HR's against Straily (3 total ABs) so look for those $$$ TB's and HR props! The Yankees have a combined 1.130 OPS against Straily. CC has looked strong and I think he goes 6+ today. Only reason I wouldn't play the Over is because I don't think Baltimore scores much today.

    My Pick: New York -250 50%
    • Comment
    • 92
  • Padres are 12-5 Straight up in Day Games this year while the D-backs are 7-10. San Diego has won of four of Lauer's last five home starts against opponents with winning records. Kelly got a W against the Padres in April and Lauer has been shelled for 17 hits (3 HRs) in 10 innings against the D-backs. Play the OVER 7.5.

    My Pick: Over 7.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 56
  • The Tribe are 15-8 in Day Games this Season and are Dogs on a game 3 that would mean a sweep. Rodriguez has pitched well to open the season and so too has Montas. I like a low scoring game but Cleveland gets it done, avoids a sweep.

    My Pick: Cleveland +115 & Under 9.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 100
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