Picks Saturday Aug, 17, 2019
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08/16/2019   -   LOST $10

OVER 10.5
 
Indians 2
New York 3
COL -230
 
Miami 0
Colorado 3
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • @JamesC • 1d

    Civale is a decent prospect that had good numbers in the minors before getting called up. He has a strike out rate of 27% which will help him against the swing happy yank's tonight. The issue is NY is pretty healthy and their current lineup only strikes out at a 20% rate and has a team xwOBA of .347 so I think it may be time to fade this guy. Tanaka has been giving us SOOOOO much hard contact and subseguently, a lot of home runs. These teams are both dialed in at at the plate and Ilike this to go over

    My Pick: Over 10.5
    • Comment
    • 36
  • @JamesC • 1d

    I love the rockies in this spot at home against the Marlins. The marlins just traveled after playing in Miami yesterday and Gray is a little banged up but took last start off and should be good to go. Alcantara has not been good and has a strike out rate of 16.8% and a walk rate of 11.1% which does not bode well for him at all. He basically is a contact pitcher with a sub par groundball rate of 42% traveling to Coors facing five left handed batters in the projected lineup. Meanwhile Gray does well at home and has a huge advantage. I just love the rockies run line here at -125 and I hit that this morning so jump aboard!

    My Pick: Colorado -230
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    • 47
  • @JamesC • 2d

    Heaney could have on hell of a game because he has a high strike out rate and he's facing the team that strikes out more than any other. But the sox could have a lot of momentum after winning two against the astros and this team can hit! I like white sox to win but my real pick is on the over. Lopez is so over due for a blow game himself and 9 seems way too low. I just don't buy into Lopez and I've seen this guy pitch way to many times to believe he's suddenly a great pitcher like his game log recomends. This game should reach double digit runs easy

    My Pick: Chicago +146 & Over 9
    • Comment
    • 38
  • @JamesC • 3d

    sorry, but I always laugh when I see Edwin Jacksons name listed as the starting pitcher. I just don't know how this guy keeps getting gigs. Marco Gonzales has been a let down after a killer start to the year but you won't get a price this good against the tigers that often so you might as well jump on it

    My Pick: Seattle -154
    • Comment
    • 132
  • @JamesC • 3d

    This is an interesting one because we are dealing with pitchers that don't have much of a sample size in the majors. This is the way I'm going to approach this game, i'm going to bet the under and watch the first few innings and hope there is no score. Then I'm going to hope I can get a number like 7.5 and I'm going to hit the over and try to middle because I think these starters get by okay then we see the bullpen lose it and runs are scored late. Not the best stratagy but I'm keeping my units low and I never mind risking juice to land a middle spot

    • Comment
    • 108
  • @JamesC • 4d

    Both these teams are catching each other at the tail end of their rotations. Wheeler has been in great form but I think he's due for some regression and I like it to come from the braves tonight. His Era is in line with his SIERA but this is more of a gut call. Same can be said about Fried who hasn't look great at times and this mets team is rolling. I like the over.

    My Pick: Over 9.5
    • Comment
    • 94
  • @JamesC • 5d

    have you seen Lambert pitch? He's very capable of giving up 7-10 in the first 5 innings. Kelly isn't that much better and I'm sure he won't perform as well in coors. I like the over

    • Comment
  • @JamesC • 5d

    I just gave out my yankee's game one write up and I'm parlaying it with the astros. Astros just lost so and I just don't think they lose twice in a row with the level of aces they have vs the scrubs they are going against. I like Cease and think he has some talent but he is far from polished right now and it's evident from his ERA. I like the astros to rack up some runs and don't think this one stays close. I'll take the astros with the yankess parlayed and I"m calling it a day

    My Pick: Houston -300
    • Comment
    • 131
  • @JamesC • 5d

    honestly i'm not seeing too much to take advanatage of today and I am just taking some chalk city parlay because I love action. The first pick i'm rolling is the yankees because Paxton has looked great his last couple of starts and I'm sure he's going to strike out over 10 guys today. The Yanks should be able to smack the shit out of Ynoa so I'm hoping nothing crazy happens today since the O's just won a crazy one yesterday

    My Pick: New York -295
    • Comment
    • 86
  • @JamesC • 6d

    this total has already dropped half a run and I love the under. Castillo has been on fire and I don't see him giving up any more than 2 today. Lester has been in bad form but I like him to bounce back as well and just love this under spot

    My Pick: Under 9
    • Comment
    • 108
  • @JamesC • 1w

    The mets are making a push and I really never saw it coming. I like this teams energy heading into the late season push and I think htey get to strasburg tonight. I also like the nationals to get to stroman because he's a low strike out pitcher who depends on his ground balls. This Nationals lineup doesn't strike out that much and is fourth lowest strike out team in the league. So balls will be put in play and I the over. I know it's hard to swallow but it's a gut call

    My Pick: Over 7.5
    • Comment
    • 127
  • @JamesC • 1w

    Smyly has been in great form then he reminded us all who he is in his last start. This is a great bounce back spot for him and I like him to contain the giants and limit damage. Beede does a lot better at home (ovbiously) and this philly team just isn't clicking right now. I love the under in this spot and htink we see a 5 run game

    My Pick: Under 8.5
    • Comment
    • 118
  • @JamesC • 1w

    This line isn't really something i'm willing to bet at -325. But I think the royals might actually get to rodriguez and I also think the red sox pound sparkman. Sparkman has been a gas can and I ovbiously like runs to be had in boston today and I'll take the over. The royals are a patient team and if rodriguez is off then he could pay if he gives up a lot of free passes. I don't have the balls to take the royals but I like the over

    My Pick: Over 11
    • Comment
    • 142
  • @JamesC • 1w

    damn, I really like McKay and I took him when he faced the Red sox as a dog, but like all his other starts I can't bet him at -200. He's going to be a top pitcvher in the league but he's not quite there since he only has four or five appearances so while I like the Rays, not at this price

    • Comment
    • 131
  • @JamesC • 2w

    This is not a great matchup for Menez set of skills. He has a pretty high strike out rate and this team doesn't strike out that much, he also walks batters at a 12% clip in the minors and that isn't going to bode well against a team that shows great patience at the plate. I'm with you on this one because Sanchez has one issue and that's his fly ball rate. Well good thing he's in one of the biggest parks in the MLB so he should be fine

    My Pick: Washington -116
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