Picks Sunday May, 26, 2019
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05/23/2019   -   LOST $111

OVER 7.5
 
Atlanta 5
Giants 4
CHC -101
 
Phillies 9
Chicago 7
MIL -7
 
Toronto 105
Bucks 99
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • @EMC • 3d

    Bumgarner has a +5 ERA in his last 5 starts. He isn't the same ace we recall. The over has hit in 4 of his last 5 starts. For Gausman it's no better - The Over is 4-1-1 in his last 6 starts. Both Bullpens are in the bottom half of the league and the Braves bats are 5th in OPS in the last week and averaging 6 runs per game. Don't get caught up in HOF guys on these run lines. Take the OVER!

    My Pick: Over 7.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 127
  • @EMC • 3d

    Lester has a 0.46 ERA at Wrigley this season and Cubs bullpen has been good lately. Phillies are 4-8 against Lefties lately and Nola hasn't been great on the road. Rizzo has 2 HR's in 6 ABs against Nola and he's been mashing lately. Cubs have 2nd best record at home and 23-9 since losing 8 of 11 to start the season.

    My Pick: Chicago -101 50%
    • Comment
    • 113
  • @EMC • 3d

    Bucks bench had been averaging 43 per game and had a bad performance (outlier) in game 4. Quad for Kawai is still an issue. Bucks are 22-2 SU and 19-5 ATS coming off a loss. They haven't lost 3 in a row all season long. Bucks are 6-1 SU and ATS at home in the playoffs. They won by 8 and 22 in this series at home. Oh, and Drake is not a season ticket/assistant coach in Milwaukee.

    My Pick: Milwaukee -7 50%
    • Comment
    • 121
  • @EMC • 4d

    Sensing a skid coming along for the Rays which seems reasonable with the teams they've been and will be playing. These guys do not hit Lefties well - they lead the Majors in Ks vs LHPs and have about a .200 batting avg against lefties in the last month. Rich Hill will cause problems for these guys tonight. Under on Total Runs for Rays at 3.5 and LA on the Moneyline.

    My Pick: Under 8.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 109
  • @EMC • 6d

    Carrasco has been keeping the ball low as of late and has a 0.00 ERA in his last 2 starts going 12 IP and Striking out 12 along the way. You could argue +160 is a good play with the A's lineup being one that can unload early and often but I just think Carrasco is too good as of late and the A's are undisciplined. Good parlay here with the Rangers for me.

    My Pick: Cleveland -180 50%
    • Comment
    • 138
  • @EMC • 6d

    This lineup down in Texas has demolished Leake in 168 career ABs batting .351 plus they're 4th in the league this Season in OPS against RHP's. Leake got hit hard by these guys in late April giving up 10 hits and 5 earned runs. Seattle doesn't hit lefties all that well - they are 26th in the league against them over the last month. I like the Rangers to stay hot here behind Minor. 10.5 a bit high on the total but might take Over on the Rangers total runs.

    My Pick: Texas -145 50%
    • Comment
    • 102
  • @EMC • 1w

    If some of the bats in Cleveland were going to come alive and build some confidence, this is the team to figure it out against. Baltimore's pitching is Batting Practice Material and Dylan Bundy is tossing tonight. I like this one as a lock, maybe a parlay play with the Mets. Baltimore has lost 6 of Bundy's 8 starts and he has a road ERA of 6.59. It doesn't get any better when the starters exit games for the O's either as they rank 28th in bullpen ERA over the last month. Rodriguez has a 2.92 ERA in his 4 starts and the Indians bullpen ranks 6th in ERA over the last month.

    My Pick: Cleveland -155 50%
    • Comment
    • 93
  • @EMC • 1w

    It's a wash play from the standpoint of offenses against RHP's but I like Cole a lot more than Porcello. The scary bats (Brantley, Bregman and Springer) are a combined 18-57 with 6 walks and 3 HR's.

    My Pick: Houston -132 50%
    • Comment
    • 123
  • @EMC • 2w

    Corbin shut out the Dodgers in his last outing striking out 8 along the way. This will be his 3rd Start against the Mets already this season. Font on the other hand, is only getting his 2nd start of the season after being aquired in a trade with Tampa Bay. I like the Under for the F5 but I trust the Nats in this one to rattle an otherwise reliever and get to an ineffective bullpen.

    My Pick: Washington -156 50%
    • Comment
    • 152
  • @EMC • 2w

    Raptors Team Total is at 106. They're averaging 103.6 in the playoffs (100.4 on the road) and are playing much better defensive team than the Sixers and Magic. MIL is contesting 72.1% of shots in the playoffs, Sixers were at 54.2, Magic were lower than that. The total has gone under in 10 of Toronto's previous 13 games.

    My Pick: Under 218 50%
    • Comment
    • 120
  • @EMC • 2w

    Robbie Ray has struck out 19 and given up only 1 ER in two May Starts and now he faces a Bucks lineup that is down at the bottom in the league in OPS. Meanwhile Kingham has a 8.53 ERA in two May Starts and the Dbacks have lost 3 in a row and are chomping at the bit for this matchup tonight.

    My Pick: Arizona -170 50%
    • Comment
    • 112
  • @EMC • 2w

  • @EMC • 2w

    Twins are almost flawless when Berrios pitches at home going 23-5 in his starts. He's 4-0 at home this season and Skaggs has a +6.00 ERA on the road.

    My Pick: Minnesota -128 50%
    • Comment
    • 87
  • @EMC • 2w

    Do or die and an odd start time for any NBA game let alone a game 7. I have to play it safe with a 5.5 spread and the more experienced team as the dog - even on the road.

    My Pick: Portland +5.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 120
  • @EMC • 2w

    I like the under in this one. Two plus starters and two lineups that usually don't put up big runs in the First 5 innings this season. Question becomes can the pens hold up.

    My Pick: Under 8.5 50%
    • Comment
    • 147
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