Picks Saturday Jun, 15, 2019
2 Picks
$205 RISKED
MLB 4:05pm EST
SF -105
 
Brewers -105
Giants -105
MLB 7:10pm EST
TEX +100
 
Texas +100
Reds -120
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • @DCornell74 • 14h

    Getting even money with Minor (2.52 ERA) and the 2nd best offense in MLB? Yes Please. Laying the lumber on Texas today!

    My Pick: Texas +100 60%
    • Comment
    • 41
  • @DCornell74 • 14h

    There are three reasons why San Francisco is the pick here, #1 Milwaukee starter Jimmy Nelson has only started one game (on June 5th) since 2017 and his rust showed. He was chased in three innings by Miami, a poor offense, after allowing four earned runs and three walks. Plus, his fastball lacked zip, registering 1.7 mph slower on average than 2017. #2 Madison Bumgarner is a potential trade chip and hes been busy showing what hes worth. In eight starts since May 1st, hes gone 6-plus innings in every start while walking just 12 batters (2.2 per nine innings). #3 San Fran fans have no one left to cheer for except the Giants; expect a legitimate home-field advantage for the Giants on Saturday.

    My Pick: San Francisco -105 60%
    • Comment
    • 33
  • It's hard to bet against David Price but Sampson has been nails in his last 2 starts, giving up only 1 earned in 9 innings against Oakland in his last start. Boston may have the slight edge here but getting 2X on your money, you've got to take Texas here as the value bet.

    My Pick: Texas +195 60%
    • Comment
    • 92
  • I had to double check to make sure these odds were correct today. Atlanta is +143 at home with Soroka facing Keller? Give me Soroka and the better offense at home today.

    My Pick: Atlanta +143 60%
    • Comment
    • 116
  • Texas enters this matchup as the hotter team as the Rangers are now five games above .500 and have won 7 out of their last 10 games. The Rangers offense has moved up to 2nd in the big leagues in runs per game. Texas is averaging a remarkable 5.6 runs in their last ten games and they are up against a struggling Rick Porcello in this one. The right-hander has conceded nine runs in his last two starts spanning 10.2 innings. Rangers starter Lance Lynn has been more consistent than Rick Porcello, and it's a bit of a head scratcher as to why Vegas has Boston as a -140 favorite here. Feels like a great spot to take Texas and the +130 money.

    My Pick: Texas +130 60%
    • Comment
    • 181
  • I definitely dont see the Cubs losing four straight to the NL Central rival Cardinals, especially with Hamels on the hill. Hamels held the Cardinals to just one run (zero earned) in seven innings last weekend. Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas is a completely different pitcher on the road where he struggles. He owns a terrible 7.66 ERA in his five road starts on the season.

    My Pick: Chicago -128 60%
    • Comment
    • 134
  • Shaun Anderson has actually been better (or just as good) as Wheeler over the past month. Giants offense has been slumping all season and Mets should be a slight favorite here but -170 just seems ridiculous in this spot. I'll put something small on the Giants +160 even if it is more of a value bet today.

    My Pick: San Francisco +160 60%
    • Comment
    • 105
  • I'll play the Phillies here. The Phillies need to get off the snide and this is a good opportunity to do so. Arrieta got beat up pretty good in his last start versus the Dodgers, but the Padres arent the Dodgers. Arrieta has been solid this year, not great, but he needs to make a good start here to get the Phillies back on track. The Phillies offense has been bad as of late but given the uncertainty of the Padres starter here, they should be able to break out.

    My Pick: Philadelphia -115 60%
    • Comment
    • 86
  • Fried has been arguably the best starter for the Braves this season and Atlanta should be able to lock up a victory here today, but at -155 odds it's either Atlanta on the RL or nothing at all.

    • Comment
    • 122
  • Bieber is coming off of his worst start of the year in which he allowed six runs in five innings of work. Minnesota has been the hotter of the two teams for quite some time now, especially on the road and Smeltzer looked solid in his debut so Ill take a shot with Minnesota and the +120 plus money tonight.

    My Pick: Minnesota +120 60%
    • Comment
    • 162
  • Fedde has done pretty well in his two starts this year. In those games combined, hes put up 10.0 innings with eight hits, one earned run, five Ks and four walks. As for Roark, hes been rolling along nicely with three earned or fewer in each of his last five outings and a 2.5 ERA last 3 games. This should be a fun pitching matchup, but Fedde will probably be out after five innings at most. I would lean Reds here at -130 but I think the safer bet is UNDER 10 runs here with both hurlers coming in sharp for this game.

    My Pick: Under 10 60%
    • Comment
    • 121
  • Chirinos leads the Rays in wins and Gibson has had his issues against the Rays in the past, with an ERA just under six and that ERA goes up to 7.52 at Tropicana Field. The Twins are the hotter tea right now with the better bats but I like Chirinos in this spot tonight here at even money.

    My Pick: Tampa Bay -103 60%
    • Comment
    • 130
  • Clarke has been decent for somebody who has just three career starts (2.94 ERA) but I need a larger sample size before I know what I'm working with. Freeland has rough numbers on the season and they get even worse at home where he has an ERA over eight and a .294 allowed batting average. Freeland also allowed nine hits and eight runs in six innings when he pitched against these Diamondbacks earlier this month. The Colorado Rockies are playing better baseball, but I'll take a stab with the plus money to avoid backing Freeland with the way he's pitched lately.

    My Pick: Arizona +122 60%
    • Comment
    • 131
  • I dont see that many runs being scored in this matchup today as neither side has an offensive powerhouse and both pitchers have been relatively stingy giving up runs of late. Further, umpire Kerwin Danley is scheduled to be behind the plate and his games have all been trending under.

    My Pick: Under 10.5 60%
    • Comment
    • 127
  • Both of these offenses have been putting up crooked numbers and both of these starters tonight are pretty weak. Kelly has an ERA over 7 on the road this season and Senzatela is giving up a .301 batting average on the season and has an ERA of 7.99 in the month. This game sets up nicely for a high scoring game, even with the high O/U set at 12, I still like the OVERS here today.

    My Pick: Over 12 60%
    • Comment
    • 123
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