Picks Friday Aug, 23, 2019
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08/21/2019   -   WON $90

TEX -123
Angels 7
Texas 8
Seattle 6
Rays 7
CIN -138
Padres 2
Reds 4
Money Risked represents $100 wagers. No actual money is being bet here.
  • ***3 UNIT PLAY*** Minor has been solid for Texas all year, as pointed out, while the left-hander will also be looking to atone for a rough outing in his last start. I think the Rangers get back into the race for third-place in the AL West by picking up a win over Trout and the Angels. Texas remains a dangerous team at the plate, however, their team batting average has decreased during their current losing skid. Aside from Trout, the Angels have been far too inconsistent at the plate and will struggle versus a talented Minor. I'm taking the Rangers on the low line tonight.

    My Pick: Texas -123 70%
    • Comment
    • 101
  • The Mariners have no chance in this one with Charlie Morton on the mound who has a ERA of 2.77. The Mariners dont have a lot of good pitching options beyond their first couple of starters so sets up for an easy Tampa win this afternoon but at -265 I'm priced out, so will put something small on the UNDER 8.5. When Morton is pitching, games are usually played in the under. He has an ERA under 3, so look for him to hold down the injury-plagued Mariners lineup. Rays win a 5-2 type of game.

    My Pick: Under 8.5 70%
    • Comment
    • 108
  • The Reds have their best starter on the hill, Luis Castillo, who has a 3.10 ERA in 25 starts. Matth Strahm has been hit hard in his last 3 starts and has a 5.21 ERA on the season. AND San Diego has trouble against righties, hitting just .239 against them this year, and without Tatis Jr., itll just get worse. Lay the juice with the Reds this afternoon.

    My Pick: Cincinnati -138 70%
    • Comment
    • 153
  • The Rays have been playing significantly better than the Tigers lately and I think that the Rays have a significant pitching advantage in this game. Zimmermann is 1-8 on the season and Yarbrough has an 11-3 record so I can see Tampa Bay winning this one easily by more than 2 runs but I'm not sure even the RL has much value at these odds. I think this game is a pass.

    • Comment
    • 91
  • Small sample size from Armenteros and Chris Bassitt has been stellar last 3 games with a 1.5 ERA over 19 innings. As hot as Houston has been, I think this is spot where the A's can surprise at home. Give me the big plus money.

    My Pick: Oakland +165 70%
    • Comment
    • 78
  • The over has been the play in the last four road games for Plesac while also being the result in four of Paxtons last five starts, overall. With the way Cleveland has handled the bat lately along with the dangerous hitters within the Yankees lineup, this game could swing either way so I'm not touching the side, but something small on the OVER 10 here with two hot offenses on the short tract at Yankee stadium.

    My Pick: Over 10 70%
    • Comment
    • 131
  • Got to love the UNDER 10 here as this is a great pitching match up and Odorizzi and Minor are two of the best pitchers in the American League. I like the Rangers to eke out a win here but the safer bet is on the UNDER 10.

    My Pick: Under 10 70%
    • Comment
    • 127
  • Simply put, the Pirates continue to be one of the worst teams in the league since the All-Star Break and I do not trust Musgrove any further than I can throw him. The Cubs have been underwhelming on the road this season, but Kyle Hendricks is still a much better pitcher than Musgrove and -140 is a reasonable price on the much better Cubs with the much better pitcher. Lay the juice.

    My Pick: Chicago -141 70%
    • Comment
    • 98
  • Washington is coming into this series red-hot from a three-game home series sweep over the Cincinnati Reds. Corbin is a beast with a 1.71 ERA and a 6-1 record at Nationals Park this season. BUT at -150 odds, I think we are priced out on the Nats here and the betting value is with the Brewers +140. Houser hasn't been great on the road but he is better than his ERA and I think he gives the Brew Crew a legit shot to win this game. Don't love this game, but I'd lean taking the +140 odds with Milwaukee here.

    My Pick: Milwaukee +141 70%
    • Comment
    • 169
  • The Nationals have lost both of Strasburgs last two starts where he was not that bad in the last one and they have won 41 of his last 60 home starts and that is a trend that I think continues in this game. Bauer will be decent, but Strasburg will have the better outing and should be able to lead the Nationals to the win in this spot.

    My Pick: Washington -150 70%
    • Comment
    • 115
  • I expect another lights out pitching performance from Yarborough. This will be the first time the Mariners have actually seen the Rays starter head-to-head, which will only add to their problems at the plate. Yarborough has avoided the crooked numbers and the Mariners are still giving up the second-most average runs per game on defense, which typically leaves them vulnerable if theyre unable to muster a big offensive performance. That will be the story of the night with Yarborough making their hitters whiff at the plate. At -155 odds, I'll average down and put 50% of my money on the RL and 50% on the ML.

    My Pick: Tampa Bay -155 70%
    • Comment
    • 108
  • Jordan Lyles has actually looked impressive in his first couple games in a Brewers uniform, but that production will dip on Sunday against a desperate Rangers team trying to avoid falling below .500 win percentage. The Rangers showed some fight in their ability to steal one game from the Indians at Progressive Field. They should be able to do the same against the lukewarm Brewers with their ace Mike Minor on the hill. Minor is riding a high right now after shutting out the Indians, which should aid in his confidence when facing the Brewers. I think Vegas has got the wrong team favored her, love the Rangers and the plus money in this spot.

    My Pick: Texas +125 70%
    • Comment
    • 108
  • The Reds have Sonny Gray on the mound for this one and he has pitched very well of late, but I still like the edge the Cubs have with Kyle Hendricks on the mound. Hendricks has been on fire of late as he owns a 0.98 ERA in his last three starts and he is 6-2 in his career against the Reds. Gray comes in at 8-13 during the month of August in his career while Hendricks is 15-3 with a 2.70 ERA in his career during this month. That seals the deal for me as I will take the hotter team with the better starter in this one.

    My Pick: Chicago -107 70%
    • Comment
    • 143
  • Montgomery is a well-traveled gas can and Detroit should be able to light him up enough to give Turnbull a win today.

    My Pick: Detroit -134 70%
    • Comment
    • 117
  • The Red Sox are in much better form and Barria has been awful on the road this season with a 10.13 ERA and I do not trust him at all in this matchup. Plus, Los Angeles offense has gone ice cold over the last week and I think the Boston sluggers will get to Barria today. I like Boston but -160 odds is a little rich, so the OVER 11.5 is value bet here as this one should be a shoot out.

    My Pick: Over 11.5 70%
    • Comment
    • 166
  • Pending

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