Verlander has been a little shaky this season but got back on track against Seattle in last outing only giving up 1 run in 6 innings. On the other side Smyly hasn't been terrible but Texas is only getting 3-4 innings out of him and that's a problem with the Ranger's weak ass bullpen. Hard to bet this game with these crazy odds, but Houston should certainly win here, the only play is Stro's -1.5 (-140) and the UNDER 9.5 is worth a look as I don't see Texas's anemic offense scoring more than 2 runs tonight.
My Pick: Houston -220 & Under 9.5
- 3 Agree
Another small road dog I like today, simply because I think Flaherty is better than Woodruff and the Red Birds have the slight edge on offense.
My Pick: St. Louis +103
- 62 Agree
Matz gets the start for the Mets and believe it or not he has been the most consistent starter so for the Mets. He has 3 starts and has a 1.65 ERA. Philly counters with Pivetta. He is coming off of a dreadful outing in which he game up 7 runs and has lost 2 out of 3 starts. I like the little road dog in this one.
My Pick: New York +105
- 54 Agree
***Chicago -130*** This has been a horrible start to the season for Darvish to say the least, as he's walked 11 batters in 12 innings while giving up 12 hits and 10 earned runs. Richards has given the Marlins six innings in all three starts and chances to win each outing, but he's gotten a combined six runs of run support in those games. That's the problem with the Marlins, even with when they have a pitching advantage, you remember this offense is god awful. I like the Cubs at the cheap price today.
My Pick: Chicago -135
- 1 Comment
- 64 Agree
***BOSTON -1.5 (-140)*** This is a very early start and could be wet and rainy, so weird things could happen, but I'm not giving the O's a chance with Straily on the mound. Straily has given up 13 hits and 10 runs in just 4.2 innings of work this season and was about just as bad in his two seasons with the Miami Marlins. Straily is a homer machine and often gets blasted. This one has the makings to get ugly.
My Pick: Boston -250
- 53 Agree
The wiseman would probably take the bigger brand of school here and that's Marshall. But the Thundering Herd have struggled against the spread this season and lost six of their last nine non-conference games and six of their last eight home games against teams with losing road records. Hampton is a team you might not know much about but the Pirates won six of their last seven games against teams with winning records and seven of their last nine games. Hampton has played exceptionally well during the CIT, going 3-0 SU and ATS in its three games with the most recent two as road dogs. The Pirates have covered the number in 8 of the last 10 overall. Marshall has failed to cover 7 of the last 8 at home versus an opponent with a .400 or lower winning record on the road. I'll follow the trends here and take Hampton and don't be surprised if they win this game out right.
My Pick: Hampton +5.5
- 69 Agree
The Wolverines got their swagger back (if they ever really lost it) Thursday by treating an over-matched Montana team like an over-matched Montana team. The Wolverines thrashed the Grizzlies defensively and never allowed Montana to even sniff an upset in a 19-point opening-round victory. Floridas the highest-rated double-digit seed in the tournament, per KenPoms efficiency numbers. On Thursday night, Nevada found that out the hard way. The Gators only had four Quadrant 1 wins this year, but they played in 16 of those games. Theyre battle-tested. Florida wants to play slow and rely on its defense, as the Gators scratched out most of their quality wins this season via old fashioned rock fights.
Prediction - Florida, on paper, is a worse version of Michigan in that its defense out-paces its offense. Problem there for the Gators is that they entered the tournament No. 61 nationally in offensive efficiency and No. 15 in defense. Michigan was No. 18 and No. 2, respectively. Michigans the better team and this is a much better matchup for the Wolverines than Nevada might have been. The Gators are much more capable than their 20-15 record might show, but I'm not sure if Florida can score enough points against this stout Michigan defense. First to 60 gets this game. Score prediction: Michigan 65, Florida 58
- 57 Agree
Florida State is the better overall team, but I think that Murray State is getting too many points in this one. Florida State is an elite team with recent wins over top ranked Virginia and Virginia but they only have two players who average at least ten points per game so one has to be a bit skeptical about this teams ability to cover point spreads of this magnitude on a neutral site in this game. It is also an NCAA tournament game in which the underdog will have the best player on the court. Intriguing matchup and not getting too heavy here but will put something small on Murray St.
My Pick: Murray St. +4.5
- 76 Agree
I haven't been very high on this UTA team this season, but they have come out of nowhere the past 2 weeks and now playing in the Sun Belt conference championship game. Who would have thunk it? Georgia State won both regular season matchups in close games 77-71 and 63-58. The Mavericks have found their offense and it's hard to beat a team 3 times in a row; I predict a very close game today- give me the points.
My Pick: Texas-Arlington +4
- 91 Agree
The Rams took down VCU in impressive fashion on Friday and they beat the Bonnies in their only meeting this season on Jan. 16. So it's kind of a head scratcher as to why Vegas has St. Bonaventure favored here today. Although the Bonnies lost to the Rams in their only meeting of the season, St. Bonaventure has played very strong down the stretch winning 8 of its last 9 and held George Mason to just 57 points in their quarterfinal win. Rhode Island has averaged an eye popping 81 PPG in their last 5 games and while I don't expect them to score that many today against this stout St. Bonaventure defense, I do think this total is set a little low today. This is another one of those games that could come down to the final shot, so I like the points here and will also put a little on the OVER 127.5.
My Pick: Rhode Island +2 & Over 127.5
- 73 Agree
This line opened at Auburn -2.5 and the Sharp betting action has come in on Auburn moving this line to -3.5. Both of these two teams are dancing this year; Auburn is a projected No. 7 seed, while Florida is projected to play in the First Four as a No. 12 seed. Florida has proven to be a dangerous team rallying to beat top ranked LSU yesterday 76-74. These two teams played in February and Auburn won that game (at home) 76-62. While it's tempting to take the points, I'll follow the betting public and take Auburn on the low line.
My Pick: Auburn -3.5
- 61 Agree
Its been a disappointing season for Rhode Island as the Rams have had trouble generating offense and have been terrible on the road this season. Dayton is one of the better A-10 teams this year as theyve gotten some nice production from their underclassman and between the fact that the Flyers are 12-3 at home and defeated Rhode Island by a 77-48 margin on the road in early February, it's hard to think Dayton won't dominate this rematch game on their home floor.
My Pick: Dayton -7.5
- 40 Agree
The consensus is on West Virginia for a reason, too many points here in my opinion. If Tech didn't sneak by Arkansas they would have dropped 4 out of their last 5 games and West Virginia coming off a big win against Oklahoma and also beat Kansas a couple weeks ago. I don't trust this Texas Tech team right now, even at home.
My Pick: West Virginia +12
- 1 Comment
- 75 Agree